The Inferno Collection ×2+The Ascent Collection ×8
Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade MW 10 items
Contract
Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Minimal Wear
Inputs
Sand Dune
2x $2.81
Blue Tac
2x $0.08
Grey Smoke
4x $0.09
Plum Netting
1x $0.16
Blue Blast
1x $0.32
↓
Possible Outputs
Tornado
10.0% $92.65
Gunsmoke
10.0% $7.46
Ocean Topo
8.9% $0.26
Electric Blue
8.9% $0.19
Sour Grapes
8.9% $0.17
Turquoise Pour
8.9% $0.16
Max Win
$92.65 (+1133.6%)
EV (ROI %)
$10.14 (+35.0%)
Win %
10.0%
Volatility
+367.4%
Cost
$7.51
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $7.51
Ask Price EV $10.14 (+35.0%)
Bid Price EV $8.46 (+12.7%)
Ask Profit $2.63 (+35.0%)
Bid Profit $0.95 (+12.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.68 (+22.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$2.63
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.95
Risk
Win Probability 10.0%
Loss Probability 90.0%
Best Case $92.65 (+1133.6%)
Worst Case $0.11 (-98.5%)
Volatility +367.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 80.0%
Avg Win +$85.14
Avg Loss -$6.54
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.11 (-98.5%)
Std Dev $27.59
Avg Norm Float 0.1215
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 11m
Oldest Output Price 140h 58m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAG-7 | Sand Dune
—
Well-Worn
$2.81 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Sand Dune
—
Well-Worn
$2.92 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Blue Tac
—
Factory New
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Grey Smoke
—
Factory New
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Plum Netting
—
Factory New
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Grey Smoke
—
Factory New
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Grey Smoke
—
Factory New
$0.25 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Blue Tac
—
Factory New
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Blue Blast
—
Factory New
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Grey Smoke
—
Factory New
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 25M 55S //TOTAL COST $7.51 //ASK PRICE EV $10.14 //BID PRICE EV $8.46 //ASK PROFIT $2.63 (+35.0%) //BID PROFIT $0.95 (+12.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 10.0% //BEST CASE $92.65 //VOLATILITY +367.4% //
Possible Outputs · 11
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$92.65
+$85.14
+1133.6%
$76.76
+$69.25
+922.1%
$15.89
17.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$7.46
-$0.05
-0.7%
$6.78
-$0.73
-9.7%
$0.68
9.1%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.26
-$7.25
-96.5%
$0.23
-$7.28
-96.9%
$0.03
12.7%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.19
-$7.32
-97.5%
$0.17
-$7.34
-97.7%
$0.02
9.1%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.17
-$7.34
-97.7%
$0.16
-$7.35
-97.9%
$0.01
7.8%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.16
-$7.35
-97.8%
$0.13
-$7.38
-98.3%
$0.03
20.5%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.14
-$7.37
-98.1%
$0.12
-$7.39
-98.4%
$0.02
16.4%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.13
-$7.38
-98.3%
$0.10
-$7.41
-98.7%
$0.03
23.1%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.12
-$7.39
-98.4%
$0.10
-$7.41
-98.7%
$0.02
19.0%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.12
-$7.39
-98.4%
$0.10
-$7.41
-98.7%
$0.02
19.0%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.11
-$7.40
-98.5%
$0.10
-$7.41
-98.7%
$0.01
11.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-inferno|Consumer Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool|Consumer Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.14993220000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7f6fd04e5efe",
"realistic_value": 92.646,
"optimistic_value": 90,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Tornado",
"conservative_value": 76.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Tornado (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:56.764908Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7f6fd04e5efe.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.14993220000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
"realistic_value": 7.461,
"optimistic_value": 7.37,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
"conservative_value": 6.78,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:12:49.260296Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.085071,
"output_skin_id": "skin-b6116401828b",
"realistic_value": 0.1135,
"optimistic_value": 0.11,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre",
"conservative_value": 0.1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:51:45.988670Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b6116401828b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.072918,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7b6d780443fc",
"realistic_value": 0.1235,
"optimistic_value": 0.12,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Sky Blue",
"conservative_value": 0.1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Sky Blue (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:50:54.000916Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7b6d780443fc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.072918,
"output_skin_id": "skin-69fcaf121180",
"realistic_value": 0.13,
"optimistic_value": 0.13,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg",
"conservative_value": 0.1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:49:12.994090Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-69fcaf121180.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.072918,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ad93599cbfb9",
"realistic_value": 0.2635,
"optimistic_value": 0.26,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Ocean Topo",
"conservative_value": 0.23,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Ocean Topo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:37:17.637802Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ad93599cbfb9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.072918,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c096d50b4039",
"realistic_value": 0.14350000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 0.14,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo",
"conservative_value": 0.12,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:48:45.841158Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c096d50b4039.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.097224,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2891a487ea6c",
"realistic_value": 0.17350000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 0.17,
"output_full_name": "Negev | Sour Grapes",
"conservative_value": 0.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Sour Grapes (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:26:08.083443Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2891a487ea6c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.08244971943,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d219c8f3fe3b",
"realistic_value": 0.1635,
"optimistic_value": 0.16,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Turquoise Pour",
"conservative_value": 0.13,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Turquoise Pour (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:02:07.924400Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d219c8f3fe3b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.072918,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8f8277af6b54",
"realistic_value": 0.1235,
"optimistic_value": 0.12,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo",
"conservative_value": 0.1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:51:31.028968Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8f8277af6b54.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.09114749999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55264b2a150c",
"realistic_value": 0.187,
"optimistic_value": 0.18,
"output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue",
"conservative_value": 0.17,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:51:38.469482Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55264b2a150c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_6eb71c53c71e32599d516847",
"input_rarity": "Consumer Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 2.81,
"skin_id": "skin-02ab67711447",
"listing_id": "524249735517341655",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Sand Dune",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-02ab67711447.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:56:21.861846Z"
},
{
"price": 2.92,
"skin_id": "skin-02ab67711447",
"listing_id": "517493591335111942",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Sand Dune",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-02ab67711447.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:56:21.861846Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-23a748f6b597",
"listing_id": "500605889841186455",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Blue Tac (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Blue Tac",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-23a748f6b597.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:48:23.591545Z"
},
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-080ca3f34d18",
"listing_id": "519746188258350008",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Grey Smoke (Factory New)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Grey Smoke",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-080ca3f34d18.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:50:27.882902Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-4aa647360d8e",
"listing_id": "518620122759533332",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Plum Netting (Factory New)",
"name": "P250 | Plum Netting",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4aa647360d8e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:48:46.834618Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-080ca3f34d18",
"listing_id": "509612923502742711",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Grey Smoke (Factory New)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Grey Smoke",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-080ca3f34d18.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:50:27.882902Z"
},
{
"price": 0.25,
"skin_id": "skin-080ca3f34d18",
"listing_id": "492723793462158945",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Grey Smoke (Factory New)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Grey Smoke",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-080ca3f34d18.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:50:27.882902Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-23a748f6b597",
"listing_id": "509612923502750487",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Blue Tac (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Blue Tac",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-23a748f6b597.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:48:23.591545Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-6c86170a7e6d",
"listing_id": "497228190141289037",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Blue Blast (Factory New)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Blue Blast",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6c86170a7e6d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:47:56.566503Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-080ca3f34d18",
"listing_id": "503983589618123095",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Grey Smoke (Factory New)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Grey Smoke",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-080ca3f34d18.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:50:27.882902Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Consumer Grade|Industrial Grade|normal|10|collection-set-inferno:2+collection-set-timed-drops-cool:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Inferno Collection ×3+The Ascent Collection ×7 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Minimal Wear | Tornado 15.0% $92.65 Gunsmoke 15.0% $7.46 Ocean Topo 7.8% $0.26 Electric Blue 7.8% $0.18 Sour Grapes 7.8% $0.18 Turquoise Pour 7.8% $0.16 | $92.65 +631.8% | $15.13 +19.5% | 15.0% | +247.2% | $12.66 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Inferno Collection ×2+The Ascent Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Brass  10.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy  10.0% $35.31 Yeti Camo  16.0% $4.46 Mint Fan  16.0% $3.37 Cobalt Paisley  16.0% $2.66 Royal Baroque  16.0% $2.64 | $181.74 +896.4% | $24.16 +32.5% | 20.0% | +288.8% | $18.24 | — |