The Inferno Collection ×2+The Ascent Collection ×8
Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade FT 10 items
Contract
Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Field-Tested
Inputs
Sand Dune
2x $2.81
Blue Tac
2x $0.03
Grey Smoke
1x $0.04
Storm Camo
1x $0.04
Buff Blue
1x $0.04
Runoff
1x $0.04
↓
Possible Outputs
Tornado
10.0% $16.17
Gunsmoke
10.0% $3.31
Ocean Topo
8.9% $0.26
Electric Blue
8.9% $0.20
Sour Grapes
8.9% $0.18
Turquoise Pour
8.9% $0.16
Max Win
$16.17 (+165.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.08 (-66.0%)
Win %
10.0%
Volatility
+78.5%
Cost
$6.10
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $6.10
Ask Price EV $2.08 (-66.0%)
Bid Price EV $1.90 (-68.8%)
Ask Profit $-4.02 (-66.0%)
Bid Profit $-4.20 (-68.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.18 (+2.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$4.02
Bid Slippage Buffer -$4.20
Risk
Win Probability 10.0%
Loss Probability 90.0%
Best Case $16.17 (+165.0%)
Worst Case $0.11 (-98.1%)
Volatility +78.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 90.0%
Avg Win +$10.07
Avg Loss -$5.59
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.11 (-98.1%)
Std Dev $4.79
Avg Norm Float 0.1720
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 141h 57m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAG-7 | Sand Dune
—
Well-Worn
$2.81 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Sand Dune
—
Well-Worn
$2.92 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Blue Tac
—
Minimal Wear
$0.03 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Grey Smoke
—
Minimal Wear
$0.04 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Storm Camo
—
Minimal Wear
$0.04 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Buff Blue
—
Minimal Wear
$0.04 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Runoff
—
Minimal Wear
$0.04 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Cobalt Grip
—
Minimal Wear
$0.05 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Blue Blast
—
Minimal Wear
$0.06 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Blue Tac
—
Factory New
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 25M 48S //TOTAL COST $6.10 //ASK PRICE EV $2.08 //BID PRICE EV $1.90 //ASK PROFIT $-4.02 (-66.0%) //BID PROFIT $-4.20 (-68.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 10.0% //BEST CASE $16.17 //VOLATILITY +78.5% //
Possible Outputs · 11
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
10.0%
$16.17
+$10.07
+165.0%
$14.75
+$8.65
+141.8%
$1.42
8.8%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$3.31
-$2.79
-45.7%
$3.18
-$2.92
-47.9%
$0.13
4.1%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.26
-$5.84
-95.7%
$0.23
-$5.87
-96.2%
$0.03
12.7%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.20
-$5.90
-96.7%
$0.17
-$5.93
-97.2%
$0.03
15.0%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.18
-$5.92
-97.1%
$0.16
-$5.94
-97.4%
$0.02
9.6%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.16
-$5.94
-97.3%
$0.13
-$5.97
-97.9%
$0.03
20.5%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.14
-$5.96
-97.6%
$0.12
-$5.98
-98.0%
$0.02
16.4%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.13
-$5.97
-97.9%
$0.10
-$6.00
-98.4%
$0.03
23.1%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.12
-$5.98
-98.0%
$0.10
-$6.00
-98.4%
$0.02
19.0%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.12
-$5.98
-98.0%
$0.10
-$6.00
-98.4%
$0.02
19.0%
—
NUKE
8.9%
$0.11
-$5.99
-98.1%
$0.10
-$6.00
-98.4%
$0.01
11.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-inferno|Consumer Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool|Consumer Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1872504,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7f6fd04e5efe",
"realistic_value": 16.1675,
"optimistic_value": 15.87,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Tornado",
"conservative_value": 14.75,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Tornado (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:59:18.085334Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7f6fd04e5efe.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1872504,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
"realistic_value": 3.3145000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 3.22,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
"conservative_value": 3.18,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:44:27.007710Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.12037199999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-b6116401828b",
"realistic_value": 0.1135,
"optimistic_value": 0.11,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre",
"conservative_value": 0.1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:42:10.225143Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b6116401828b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.103176,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7b6d780443fc",
"realistic_value": 0.13,
"optimistic_value": 0.13,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Sky Blue",
"conservative_value": 0.1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Sky Blue (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:39:46.732156Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7b6d780443fc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.103176,
"output_skin_id": "skin-69fcaf121180",
"realistic_value": 0.1235,
"optimistic_value": 0.12,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg",
"conservative_value": 0.1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:39:44.493596Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-69fcaf121180.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.103176,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ad93599cbfb9",
"realistic_value": 0.2635,
"optimistic_value": 0.26,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Ocean Topo",
"conservative_value": 0.23,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Ocean Topo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:37:17.637802Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ad93599cbfb9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.103176,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c096d50b4039",
"realistic_value": 0.14350000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 0.14,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo",
"conservative_value": 0.12,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:16:26.562501Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c096d50b4039.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.137568,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2891a487ea6c",
"realistic_value": 0.17700000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 0.17,
"output_full_name": "Negev | Sour Grapes",
"conservative_value": 0.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Sour Grapes (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:37:24.953273Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2891a487ea6c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.11666299476,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d219c8f3fe3b",
"realistic_value": 0.1635,
"optimistic_value": 0.16,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Turquoise Pour",
"conservative_value": 0.13,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Turquoise Pour (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:02:07.924400Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d219c8f3fe3b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.103176,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8f8277af6b54",
"realistic_value": 0.1235,
"optimistic_value": 0.12,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo",
"conservative_value": 0.1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:40:08.975885Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8f8277af6b54.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08888888888888889,
"output_float": 0.12897,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55264b2a150c",
"realistic_value": 0.2,
"optimistic_value": 0.2,
"output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue",
"conservative_value": 0.17,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:41:32.294276Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55264b2a150c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_6eb71c53c71e32599d516847",
"input_rarity": "Consumer Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 2.81,
"skin_id": "skin-02ab67711447",
"listing_id": "524249735517341655",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Sand Dune",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-02ab67711447.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:44:19.423977Z"
},
{
"price": 2.92,
"skin_id": "skin-02ab67711447",
"listing_id": "517493591335111942",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Sand Dune",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-02ab67711447.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:44:19.423977Z"
},
{
"price": 0.03,
"skin_id": "skin-23a748f6b597",
"listing_id": "499479989896280101",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Blue Tac (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Blue Tac",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-23a748f6b597.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:39:44.439997Z"
},
{
"price": 0.04,
"skin_id": "skin-6d3d5d849392",
"listing_id": "517494222852987790",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Grey Smoke",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6d3d5d849392.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:39:00.827951Z"
},
{
"price": 0.04,
"skin_id": "skin-9973f96c93b5",
"listing_id": "492724538183080161",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Storm Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Storm Camo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9973f96c93b5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:38:35.099322Z"
},
{
"price": 0.04,
"skin_id": "skin-53f83414cf17",
"listing_id": "508487189339773838",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Buff Blue (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Buff Blue",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53f83414cf17.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:41:12.674012Z"
},
{
"price": 0.04,
"skin_id": "skin-f2dd022eab22",
"listing_id": "493850438107563940",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Runoff (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Runoff",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f2dd022eab22.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:34:32.323413Z"
},
{
"price": 0.05,
"skin_id": "skin-58d507811bd8",
"listing_id": "523123888071251398",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Cobalt Grip (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Cobalt Grip",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-58d507811bd8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:39:46.027675Z"
},
{
"price": 0.06,
"skin_id": "skin-6c86170a7e6d",
"listing_id": "492723793464904845",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Blue Blast (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Blue Blast",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6c86170a7e6d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:38:36.218316Z"
},
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-23a748f6b597",
"listing_id": "497228190141754517",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Blue Tac (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Blue Tac",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-23a748f6b597.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:38:29.187707Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Consumer Grade|Industrial Grade|normal|10|collection-set-inferno:2+collection-set-timed-drops-cool:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Inferno Collection ×2+The Ascent Collection ×8 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Factory New | Tornado 10.0% $92.65 Gunsmoke 10.0% $7.46 Sour Grapes 8.9% $0.90 Ocean Topo 8.9% $0.87 Electric Blue 8.9% $0.78 Naval Shred Camo 8.9% $0.70 | $92.65 +806.5% | $10.49 +2.6% | 10.0% | +260.6% | $10.22 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Inferno Collection ×3+The Ascent Collection ×7 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Minimal Wear | Tornado 15.0% $92.65 Gunsmoke 15.0% $7.46 Ocean Topo 7.8% $0.26 Electric Blue 7.8% $0.19 Sour Grapes 7.8% $0.17 Turquoise Pour 7.8% $0.16 | $92.65 +684.5% | $15.13 +28.1% | 15.0% | +265.0% | $11.81 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Inferno Collection ×2+The Ascent Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Brass  10.0% $181.74 Anodized Navy  10.0% $35.31 Yeti Camo  16.0% $4.46 Mint Fan  16.0% $3.37 Cobalt Paisley  16.0% $2.66 Royal Baroque  16.0% $2.64 | $181.74 +896.4% | $24.15 +32.4% | 20.0% | +288.8% | $18.24 | — |