The Dust 2 Collection ×3+The Ascent Collection ×7
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade MW 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear
Inputs
VariCamo
3x $0.11
Gum Wall Camo
1x $0.13
Robin's Egg
2x $0.14
Naval Shred Camo
1x $0.17
Rose Nacre
1x $0.17
Electric Blue
2x $0.20
↓
Possible Outputs
Mint Fan
14.0% $3.37
VariCamo
10.0% $2.94
Royal Baroque
14.0% $2.64
Reef Grief
14.0% $2.26
Yeti Camo
14.0% $1.89
Cobalt Paisley
14.0% $1.11
Max Win
$3.37 (+114.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.01 (+28.3%)
Win %
66.0%
Volatility
+59.3%
Cost
$1.57
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $1.57
Ask Price EV $2.01 (+28.3%)
Bid Price EV $1.93 (+23.1%)
Ask Profit $0.44 (+28.3%)
Bid Profit $0.36 (+23.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.08 (+5.2%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.44
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.36
Risk
Win Probability 66.0%
Loss Probability 34.0%
Best Case $3.37 (+114.9%)
Worst Case $0.69 (-55.8%)
Volatility +59.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 34.0%
Avg Win +$1.03
Avg Loss -$0.70
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.69 (-55.8%)
Std Dev $0.93
Avg Norm Float 0.1158
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Stale
Oldest Input Price 27m
Oldest Output Price 29m
Fill Confidence Medium
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Tec-9 | VariCamo
—
Minimal Wear
$0.11 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | VariCamo
—
Minimal Wear
$0.12 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | VariCamo
—
Minimal Wear
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo
—
Minimal Wear
$0.13 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Robin's Egg
—
Minimal Wear
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Robin's Egg
—
Minimal Wear
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
Zeus x27 | Electric Blue
—
Minimal Wear
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
Zeus x27 | Electric Blue
—
Minimal Wear
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 39M 20S //TOTAL COST $1.57 //ASK PRICE EV $2.01 //BID PRICE EV $1.93 //ASK PROFIT $0.44 (+28.3%) //BID PROFIT $0.36 (+23.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 66.0% //BEST CASE $3.37 //VOLATILITY +59.3% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$3.37
+$1.80
+114.9%
$3.34
+$1.77
+112.7%
$0.03
1.0%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$2.94
+$1.37
+87.3%
$2.88
+$1.31
+83.4%
$0.06
2.1%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$2.64
+$1.07
+68.2%
$2.62
+$1.05
+66.9%
$0.02
0.8%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$2.26
+$0.69
+43.8%
$2.00
+$0.43
+27.4%
$0.26
11.4%
—
WIN
14.0%
$1.89
+$0.32
+20.6%
$1.81
+$0.24
+15.3%
$0.08
4.4%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$1.11
-$0.46
-29.1%
$1.04
-$0.53
-33.8%
$0.07
6.6%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.72
-$0.85
-54.3%
$0.65
-$0.92
-58.6%
$0.07
9.3%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.69
-$0.88
-55.8%
$0.66
-$0.91
-58.0%
$0.03
4.8%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-dust-2|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06950999999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-96bbc2859318",
"realistic_value": 3.3735,
"optimistic_value": 3.37,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan",
"conservative_value": 3.34,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:12.767444Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96bbc2859318.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.08109499999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-97defdf0ce4c",
"realistic_value": 1.8935,
"optimistic_value": 1.89,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Yeti Camo",
"conservative_value": 1.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:14.876201Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-97defdf0ce4c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.0753025,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e400418cedad",
"realistic_value": 1.1135000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 1.11,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley",
"conservative_value": 1.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:49:59.401435Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e400418cedad.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06950999999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e010a1443ce8",
"realistic_value": 2.64,
"optimistic_value": 2.64,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque",
"conservative_value": 2.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:10.616732Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e010a1443ce8.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06950999999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d58c4622251a",
"realistic_value": 2.257,
"optimistic_value": 2.25,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Reef Grief",
"conservative_value": 2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:49:59.016792Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d58c4622251a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06950999999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2d90d1532701",
"realistic_value": 2.9405,
"optimistic_value": 2.93,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | VariCamo",
"conservative_value": 2.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dust 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | VariCamo (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:07:32.809649Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2d90d1532701.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.11585,
"output_skin_id": "skin-891034135d58",
"realistic_value": 0.6934999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 0.69,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Brass",
"conservative_value": 0.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dust 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Brass (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:04:59.757427Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-891034135d58.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.11585,
"output_skin_id": "skin-473110a625aa",
"realistic_value": 0.717,
"optimistic_value": 0.71,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Damascus Steel",
"conservative_value": 0.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dust 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:04:46.317023Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-473110a625aa.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_6dbd89ddfd1e03106ba3bb06",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.11,
"skin_id": "skin-f0efb98b360e",
"listing_id": "515242588553440297",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | VariCamo (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | VariCamo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0efb98b360e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:59:14.567408Z"
},
{
"price": 0.12,
"skin_id": "skin-f0efb98b360e",
"listing_id": "511864091800550745",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | VariCamo (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | VariCamo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0efb98b360e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:59:14.567408Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-f0efb98b360e",
"listing_id": "499479193098554197",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | VariCamo (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | VariCamo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0efb98b360e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:59:14.567408Z"
},
{
"price": 0.13,
"skin_id": "skin-8f8277af6b54",
"listing_id": "524249787961224195",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8f8277af6b54.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:15:48.519178Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-69fcaf121180",
"listing_id": "502857637417906948",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-69fcaf121180.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:16:28.397475Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-69fcaf121180",
"listing_id": "525375635593436155",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-69fcaf121180.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:16:28.397475Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-c096d50b4039",
"listing_id": "491597893797568694",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c096d50b4039.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:51:10.286529Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-b6116401828b",
"listing_id": "516368488724892626",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b6116401828b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:16:42.766030Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-55264b2a150c",
"listing_id": "490472790737224023",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55264b2a150c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:17:13.675374Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-55264b2a150c",
"listing_id": "505109489448989120",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55264b2a150c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:17:13.675374Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-dust-2:3+collection-set-timed-drops-cool:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dust 2 Collection ×3+The Ascent Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Yeti Camo 14.0% $1.89 Cobalt Paisley 14.0% $1.11 Royal Baroque 14.0% $1.10 Mint Fan 14.0% $1.09 Reef Grief 14.0% $1.08 VariCamo 10.0% $0.70 | $1.89 +130.9% | $1.00 +21.7% | 70.0% | +43.4% | $0.82 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dust 2 Collection ×5+The Ascent Collection ×5 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Mint Fan 10.0% $3.37 VariCamo 16.7% $2.92 Royal Baroque 10.0% $2.64 Reef Grief 10.0% $2.26 Yeti Camo 10.0% $1.89 Cobalt Paisley 10.0% $1.11 | $3.37 +114.9% | $1.85 +17.8% | 56.7% | +47.5% | $1.57 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dust 2 Collection ×1+The Ascent Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred | Midnight Laminate  45.0% $6.94 Royal Guard  45.0% $1.36 Amber Fade  10.0% $0.86 | $6.94 +115.6% | $3.82 +18.8% | 45.0% | +87.7% | $3.22 | — |