The Dust 2 Collection ×3+The Ascent Collection ×7
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FT 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested
Inputs
Orange Peel
1x $0.07
Snake Camo
2x $0.08
Rose Nacre
2x $0.06
Naval Shred Camo
1x $0.07
Gum Wall Camo
1x $0.08
Turquoise Pour
1x $0.08
↓
Possible Outputs
Yeti Camo
14.0% $1.88
Cobalt Paisley
14.0% $1.12
Royal Baroque
14.0% $1.10
Mint Fan
14.0% $1.09
Reef Grief
14.0% $1.07
VariCamo
10.0% $0.70
Max Win
$1.88 (+132.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$1.00 (+23.1%)
Win %
70.0%
Volatility
+60.1%
Cost
$0.81
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $0.81
Ask Price EV $1.00 (+23.1%)
Bid Price EV $0.91 (+12.8%)
Ask Profit $0.19 (+23.1%)
Bid Profit $0.10 (+12.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.08 (+10.2%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.19
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.10
Risk
Win Probability 70.0%
Loss Probability 30.0%
Best Case $1.88 (+132.2%)
Worst Case $0.24 (-70.4%)
Volatility +60.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 20.0%
Avg Win +$0.44
Avg Loss -$0.41
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.24 (-70.4%)
Std Dev $0.49
Avg Norm Float 0.2138
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 19m
Oldest Output Price 34h 17m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Five-SeveN | Orange Peel
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Snake Camo
—
Field-Tested
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Snake Camo
—
Field-Tested
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre
—
Field-Tested
$0.06 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo
—
Field-Tested
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Turquoise Pour
—
Field-Tested
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre
—
Field-Tested
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
Zeus x27 | Electric Blue
—
Field-Tested
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
Zeus x27 | Electric Blue
—
Field-Tested
$0.10 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 36M 47S //TOTAL COST $0.81 //ASK PRICE EV $1.00 //BID PRICE EV $0.91 //ASK PROFIT $0.19 (+23.1%) //BID PROFIT $0.10 (+12.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 70.0% //BEST CASE $1.88 //VOLATILITY +60.1% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$1.88
+$1.07
+132.2%
$1.81
+$1.00
+123.5%
$0.07
3.7%
—
WIN
14.0%
$1.12
+$0.31
+38.8%
$1.04
+$0.23
+28.4%
$0.08
7.5%
—
WIN
14.0%
$1.10
+$0.29
+36.0%
$1.01
+$0.20
+24.7%
$0.09
8.3%
—
WIN
14.0%
$1.09
+$0.28
+35.0%
$0.94
+$0.13
+16.0%
$0.15
14.0%
—
WIN
14.0%
$1.07
+$0.26
+32.3%
$0.95
+$0.14
+17.3%
$0.12
11.4%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$0.70
-$0.11
-14.0%
$0.64
-$0.17
-21.0%
$0.06
8.2%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.25
-$0.56
-69.1%
$0.24
-$0.57
-70.4%
$0.01
4.0%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.24
-$0.57
-70.4%
$0.21
-$0.60
-74.1%
$0.03
12.5%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-dust-2|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.128304,
"output_skin_id": "skin-96bbc2859318",
"realistic_value": 1.0935000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 1.09,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan",
"conservative_value": 0.94,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:05:44.198303Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96bbc2859318.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.149688,
"output_skin_id": "skin-97defdf0ce4c",
"realistic_value": 1.8805,
"optimistic_value": 1.87,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Yeti Camo",
"conservative_value": 1.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:03:21.899950Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-97defdf0ce4c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.138996,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e400418cedad",
"realistic_value": 1.1245,
"optimistic_value": 1.1,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley",
"conservative_value": 1.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:02:53.037696Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e400418cedad.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.128304,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e010a1443ce8",
"realistic_value": 1.1015,
"optimistic_value": 1.07,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque",
"conservative_value": 1.01,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:03:25.819945Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e010a1443ce8.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.128304,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d58c4622251a",
"realistic_value": 1.072,
"optimistic_value": 1.03,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Reef Grief",
"conservative_value": 0.95,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:03:00.114479Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d58c4622251a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.128304,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2d90d1532701",
"realistic_value": 0.697,
"optimistic_value": 0.69,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | VariCamo",
"conservative_value": 0.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dust 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | VariCamo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T19:00:48.772116Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2d90d1532701.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.21384,
"output_skin_id": "skin-891034135d58",
"realistic_value": 0.25,
"optimistic_value": 0.25,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Brass",
"conservative_value": 0.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dust 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Brass (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:57:30.345608Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-891034135d58.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.21384,
"output_skin_id": "skin-473110a625aa",
"realistic_value": 0.24,
"optimistic_value": 0.24,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Damascus Steel",
"conservative_value": 0.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dust 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:50:45.067850Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-473110a625aa.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_6dbd89ddfd1e03106ba3bb06",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-0464cbc467c0",
"listing_id": "496101493276939895",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Orange Peel",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0464cbc467c0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:58:47.877175Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-bacf6f1cd605",
"listing_id": "507361123688378581",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Snake Camo",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-bacf6f1cd605.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:08:08.812195Z"
},
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-bacf6f1cd605",
"listing_id": "509612292221185335",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Snake Camo",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-bacf6f1cd605.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:08:08.812195Z"
},
{
"price": 0.06,
"skin_id": "skin-b6116401828b",
"listing_id": "499479989896880293",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b6116401828b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:08:07.159691Z"
},
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-c096d50b4039",
"listing_id": "528753387757424781",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c096d50b4039.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:07:41.960738Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-8f8277af6b54",
"listing_id": "512989991916998255",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Field-Tested)",
"name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8f8277af6b54.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:04:46.639182Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-d219c8f3fe3b",
"listing_id": "519746188259096108",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Turquoise Pour (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Nova | Turquoise Pour",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d219c8f3fe3b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:05:43.736057Z"
},
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-b6116401828b",
"listing_id": "510738823413281230",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b6116401828b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:08:07.159691Z"
},
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-55264b2a150c",
"listing_id": "502856892584036416",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55264b2a150c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:03:08.819311Z"
},
{
"price": 0.1,
"skin_id": "skin-55264b2a150c",
"listing_id": "505108692513037256",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55264b2a150c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:03:08.819311Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-dust-2:3+collection-set-timed-drops-cool:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dust 2 Collection ×3+The Ascent Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Mint Fan 14.0% $3.37 VariCamo 10.0% $2.91 Royal Baroque 14.0% $2.64 Reef Grief 14.0% $2.18 Yeti Camo 14.0% $1.88 Cobalt Paisley 14.0% $1.12 | $3.37 +113.5% | $2.00 +26.6% | 66.0% | +45.6% | $1.58 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dust 2 Collection ×5+The Ascent Collection ×5 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Mint Fan 10.0% $3.37 VariCamo 16.7% $2.91 Royal Baroque 10.0% $2.64 Reef Grief 10.0% $2.18 Yeti Camo 10.0% $1.88 Cobalt Paisley 10.0% $1.12 | $3.37 +114.9% | $1.84 +17.2% | 56.7% | +47.4% | $1.57 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dust 2 Collection ×1+The Ascent Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred | Midnight Laminate  45.0% $6.94 Royal Guard  45.0% $1.36 Amber Fade  10.0% $0.86 | $6.94 +116.3% | $3.82 +19.1% | 45.0% | +88.1% | $3.21 | — |