The Revolution Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear
Inputs
Re.built
2x $0.39
Cyberforce
1x $1.45
Copperflage
3x $0.64
Poplar Thicket
2x $0.97
Gold Leaf
2x $1.47
↓
Possible Outputs
Sheet Lightning
35.0% $16.97
Glockingbird
35.0% $11.79
Umbral Rabbit
6.0% $4.31
Neoqueen
6.0% $3.13
Emphorosaur-S
6.0% $1.64
Banana Cannon
6.0% $1.61
Max Win
$16.97 (+67.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$10.79 (+6.3%)
Win %
70.0%
Volatility
+58.3%
Cost
$10.15
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $10.15
Ask Price EV $10.79 (+6.3%)
Bid Price EV $10.68 (+5.2%)
Ask Profit $0.64 (+6.3%)
Bid Profit $0.53 (+5.2%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.12 (+1.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.64
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.53
Risk
Win Probability 70.0%
Loss Probability 30.0%
Best Case $16.97 (+67.2%)
Worst Case $1.44 (-85.8%)
Volatility +58.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 30.0%
Avg Win +$4.23
Avg Loss -$7.72
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.44 (-85.8%)
Std Dev $5.92
Avg Norm Float 0.0931
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 102h 37m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P250 | Re.built
—
Minimal Wear
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Minimal Wear
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Factory New
$1.45 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Copperflage
—
Minimal Wear
$0.64 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Copperflage
—
Minimal Wear
$0.85 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Copperflage
—
Minimal Wear
$0.88 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket
—
Minimal Wear
$0.97 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Gold Leaf
—
Factory New
$1.47 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket
—
Factory New
$1.53 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Gold Leaf
—
Factory New
$1.54 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 35M 23S //TOTAL COST $10.15 //ASK PRICE EV $10.79 //BID PRICE EV $10.68 //ASK PROFIT $0.64 (+6.3%) //BID PROFIT $0.53 (+5.2%) //WIN PROBABILITY 70.0% //BEST CASE $16.97 //VOLATILITY +58.3% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
35.0%
$16.97
+$6.82
+67.2%
$16.88
+$6.73
+66.3%
$0.09
0.5%
—
WIN
35.0%
$11.79
+$1.64
+16.1%
$11.56
+$1.41
+13.9%
$0.23
1.9%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$4.31
-$5.84
-57.5%
$4.29
-$5.86
-57.7%
$0.02
0.5%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$3.13
-$7.02
-69.1%
$3.12
-$7.03
-69.3%
$0.01
0.4%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$1.64
-$8.51
-83.8%
$1.64
-$8.51
-83.8%
$0.00
0.0%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$1.61
-$8.54
-84.1%
$1.58
-$8.57
-84.4%
$0.03
2.1%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$1.44
-$8.71
-85.8%
$1.41
-$8.74
-86.1%
$0.03
2.1%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.35,
"output_float": 0.06237030000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-27a242e44f6b",
"realistic_value": 11.786,
"optimistic_value": 11.73,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Glockingbird",
"conservative_value": 11.56,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:26:30.554918Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-27a242e44f6b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.35,
"output_float": 0.0698175,
"output_skin_id": "skin-25e2a5c0a7df",
"realistic_value": 16.97,
"optimistic_value": 16.9,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Sheet Lightning",
"conservative_value": 16.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:15:34.184967Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25e2a5c0a7df.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.0698175,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 4.31,
"optimistic_value": 4.31,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 4.29,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:21:01.606918Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.07447200000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 1.64,
"optimistic_value": 1.64,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 1.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:32:32.757897Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.2639922,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 1.44,
"optimistic_value": 1.44,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 1.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:22:03.952204Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.055854,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 3.1335,
"optimistic_value": 3.13,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 3.12,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:02:31.301412Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.09309,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 1.6135000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 1.61,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 1.58,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T10:05:40.697941Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_6d4d54f5ae5de456498442be",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "520871922576571416",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Re.built (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:29:54.816413Z"
},
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "497228137695378905",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Re.built (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:29:54.816413Z"
},
{
"price": 1.45,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "516368541589225970",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce (Factory New)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:20:40.334123Z"
},
{
"price": 0.64,
"skin_id": "skin-17ba4cfaa721",
"listing_id": "492724643507492625",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | Copperflage",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-17ba4cfaa721.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:34:59.371595Z"
},
{
"price": 0.85,
"skin_id": "skin-17ba4cfaa721",
"listing_id": "524248990822512231",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | Copperflage",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-17ba4cfaa721.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:34:59.371595Z"
},
{
"price": 0.88,
"skin_id": "skin-17ba4cfaa721",
"listing_id": "649222707046030432",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | Copperflage",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-17ba4cfaa721.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:34:59.371595Z"
},
{
"price": 0.97,
"skin_id": "skin-efe243521c5e",
"listing_id": "516368322946009778",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-efe243521c5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:32:22.199813Z"
},
{
"price": 1.47,
"skin_id": "skin-279e913dd981",
"listing_id": "490472843634233451",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-279e913dd981.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:29:17.080525Z"
},
{
"price": 1.53,
"skin_id": "skin-efe243521c5e",
"listing_id": "529879340433366012",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Factory New)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-efe243521c5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:20:49.381303Z"
},
{
"price": 1.54,
"skin_id": "skin-279e913dd981",
"listing_id": "510739041955237846",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-279e913dd981.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:29:17.080525Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-32:3+collection-set-timed-drops-neutral:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Sheet Lightning 35.0% $5.48 Glockingbird 35.0% $3.55 Sakkaku 6.0% $1.44 Umbral Rabbit 6.0% $1.39 Neoqueen 6.0% $1.07 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $0.75 | $5.48 +81.5% | $3.48 +15.3% | 70.0% | +54.5% | $3.02 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Boreal Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Sheet Lightning 25.0% $5.34 Glockingbird 25.0% $3.70 Sakkaku 10.0% $1.44 Umbral Rabbit 10.0% $1.36 Neoqueen 10.0% $1.07 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $0.75 | $5.34 +128.3% | $2.79 +19.4% | 50.0% | +73.1% | $2.34 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Boreal Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Sheet Lightning 30.0% $5.48 Glockingbird 30.0% $3.55 Sakkaku 8.0% $1.44 Umbral Rabbit 8.0% $1.36 Neoqueen 8.0% $1.07 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $0.75 | $5.48 +103.7% | $3.14 +16.6% | 60.0% | +64.2% | $2.69 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Boreal Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Sheet Lightning 20.0% $5.54 Glockingbird 20.0% $3.57 Sakkaku 12.0% $1.44 Umbral Rabbit 12.0% $1.39 Neoqueen 12.0% $0.97 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $0.75 | $5.54 +158.8% | $2.45 +14.7% | 40.0% | +81.3% | $2.14 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Boreal Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Green Energy  50.0% $36.26 Wild Child  16.7% $5.67 Duality  16.7% $5.27 Wicked Sick  16.7% $5.27 | $36.26 +102.7% | $20.83 +16.4% | 50.0% | +86.2% | $17.89 | — |