The Revolution Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Fragments
1x $0.13
Re.built
1x $0.14
Rebel
1x $0.14
Gold Leaf
3x $0.18
Copperflage
2x $0.42
Poplar Thicket
2x $0.49
↓
Possible Outputs
Sheet Lightning
35.0% $5.28
Glockingbird
35.0% $3.81
Sakkaku
6.0% $1.43
Umbral Rabbit
6.0% $1.33
Neoqueen
6.0% $1.05
Emphorosaur-S
6.0% $0.75
Max Win
$5.28 (+75.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.50 (+16.2%)
Win %
70.0%
Volatility
+57.3%
Cost
$3.01
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.01
Ask Price EV $3.50 (+16.2%)
Bid Price EV $3.22 (+7.1%)
Ask Profit $0.49 (+16.2%)
Bid Profit $0.21 (+7.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.27 (+9.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.49
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.21
Risk
Win Probability 70.0%
Loss Probability 30.0%
Best Case $5.28 (+75.5%)
Worst Case $0.68 (-77.3%)
Volatility +57.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 30.0%
Avg Win +$1.54
Avg Loss -$1.96
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.68 (-77.3%)
Std Dev $1.72
Avg Norm Float 0.1991
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 21h 6m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Field-Tested
$0.13 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Rebel
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Gold Leaf
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Gold Leaf
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Gold Leaf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Copperflage
—
Minimal Wear
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Copperflage
—
Minimal Wear
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket
—
Minimal Wear
$0.49 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket
—
Minimal Wear
$0.50 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 24M 15S //TOTAL COST $3.01 //ASK PRICE EV $3.50 //BID PRICE EV $3.22 //ASK PROFIT $0.49 (+16.2%) //BID PROFIT $0.21 (+7.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 70.0% //BEST CASE $5.28 //VOLATILITY +57.3% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
35.0%
$5.28
+$2.27
+75.5%
$5.07
+$2.06
+68.4%
$0.21
4.0%
—
WIN
35.0%
$3.81
+$0.80
+26.6%
$3.31
+$0.30
+10.0%
$0.50
13.1%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$1.43
-$1.58
-52.4%
$1.41
-$1.60
-53.2%
$0.02
1.6%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$1.33
-$1.68
-55.8%
$1.19
-$1.82
-60.5%
$0.14
10.5%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$1.05
-$1.96
-65.0%
$0.93
-$2.08
-69.1%
$0.12
11.7%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$0.75
-$2.26
-75.2%
$0.70
-$2.31
-76.7%
$0.05
6.4%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$0.68
-$2.33
-77.3%
$0.62
-$2.39
-79.4%
$0.06
9.4%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.35,
"output_float": 0.1333903,
"output_skin_id": "skin-27a242e44f6b",
"realistic_value": 3.811,
"optimistic_value": 3.79,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Glockingbird",
"conservative_value": 3.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:31:09.454842Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-27a242e44f6b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.35,
"output_float": 0.1493175,
"output_skin_id": "skin-25e2a5c0a7df",
"realistic_value": 5.283,
"optimistic_value": 5.22,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Sheet Lightning",
"conservative_value": 5.07,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:25:56.030342Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25e2a5c0a7df.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.1493175,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 1.33,
"optimistic_value": 1.33,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 1.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:13:56.203241Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.159272,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 0.7475,
"optimistic_value": 0.73,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 0.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T18:33:49.520496Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.3254722,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 1.4335,
"optimistic_value": 1.43,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 1.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:31:45.331874Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.11945399999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 1.0535,
"optimistic_value": 1.05,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 0.93,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:23:44.736315Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.19909,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 0.6845,
"optimistic_value": 0.66,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 0.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:21:01.762738Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_6d4d54f5ae5de456498442be",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.13,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "517494441497340934",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:31:28.555960Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "518620122759318232",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:29:27.258728Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-e5141cf036fa",
"listing_id": "518619491429205748",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Rebel (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Rebel",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5141cf036fa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:24:52.657383Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-279e913dd981",
"listing_id": "491598638253896138",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-279e913dd981.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:29:59.413833Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-279e913dd981",
"listing_id": "514116523133772618",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-279e913dd981.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:29:59.413833Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-279e913dd981",
"listing_id": "496102343226934811",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-279e913dd981.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:26:25.023909Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-17ba4cfaa721",
"listing_id": "507361342334648329",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | Copperflage",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-17ba4cfaa721.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:20:41.415338Z"
},
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-17ba4cfaa721",
"listing_id": "512990789045074739",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | Copperflage",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-17ba4cfaa721.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:20:41.415338Z"
},
{
"price": 0.49,
"skin_id": "skin-efe243521c5e",
"listing_id": "519746241189549500",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-efe243521c5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:18:12.522339Z"
},
{
"price": 0.5,
"skin_id": "skin-efe243521c5e",
"listing_id": "529879340432880840",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-efe243521c5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:18:12.522339Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-32:3+collection-set-timed-drops-neutral:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Sheet Lightning 35.0% $16.97 Glockingbird 35.0% $11.77 Umbral Rabbit 6.0% $4.31 Neoqueen 6.0% $3.14 Banana Cannon 6.0% $1.61 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $1.56 | $16.97 +68.5% | $10.78 +7.1% | 70.0% | +54.3% | $10.07 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Boreal Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Sheet Lightning 30.0% $5.33 Glockingbird 30.0% $3.82 Sakkaku 8.0% $1.43 Umbral Rabbit 8.0% $1.27 Neoqueen 8.0% $1.05 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $0.75 | $5.33 +95.9% | $3.16 +16.1% | 60.0% | +62.5% | $2.72 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Boreal Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Sheet Lightning 25.0% $5.33 Glockingbird 25.0% $3.82 Sakkaku 10.0% $1.43 Umbral Rabbit 10.0% $1.29 Neoqueen 10.0% $1.05 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $0.75 | $5.33 +119.3% | $2.81 +15.5% | 50.0% | +71.3% | $2.43 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Boreal Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Sheet Lightning 20.0% $5.34 Glockingbird 20.0% $3.81 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $1.50 Sakkaku 12.0% $1.43 Umbral Rabbit 12.0% $1.33 Neoqueen 12.0% $1.07 | $5.34 +133.3% | $2.56 +11.6% | 40.0% | +70.3% | $2.29 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Boreal Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Green Energy  40.0% $36.26 Wicked Sick  20.0% $5.42 Duality  20.0% $5.27 Wild Child  20.0% $5.21 | $36.26 +149.6% | $17.69 +21.7% | 40.0% | +104.4% | $14.53 | — |