The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×2+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Ensnared
2x $0.15
Co-Processor
3x $0.16
Exchanger
4x $0.17
Facility Negative
1x $0.30
↓
Possible Outputs
Random Access
26.7% $4.26
Nuclear Garden
26.7% $3.34
Core Breach
26.7% $1.47
Zombie Offensive
4.0% $1.00
Night Terror
4.0% $1.00
Dream Glade
4.0% $0.88
Max Win
$4.26 (+98.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.60 (+21.0%)
Win %
53.3%
Volatility
+62.1%
Cost
$2.15
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.15
Ask Price EV $2.60 (+21.0%)
Bid Price EV $2.49 (+15.6%)
Ask Profit $0.45 (+21.0%)
Bid Profit $0.34 (+15.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.12 (+5.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.45
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.34
Risk
Win Probability 53.3%
Loss Probability 46.7%
Best Case $4.26 (+98.1%)
Worst Case $0.85 (-60.3%)
Volatility +62.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 46.7%
Avg Win +$1.65
Avg Loss -$0.91
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.86 (-59.8%)
Std Dev $1.33
Avg Norm Float 0.2986
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 14m
Oldest Output Price 149h 52m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAC-10 | Ensnared
—
Field-Tested
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Ensnared
—
Field-Tested
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Co-Processor
—
Field-Tested
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Exchanger
—
Field-Tested
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Co-Processor
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Exchanger
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Exchanger
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Co-Processor
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Facility Negative
—
Field-Tested
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Exchanger
—
Minimal Wear
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 44M 17S //TOTAL COST $2.15 //ASK PRICE EV $2.60 //BID PRICE EV $2.49 //ASK PROFIT $0.45 (+21.0%) //BID PROFIT $0.34 (+15.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 53.3% //BEST CASE $4.26 //VOLATILITY +62.1% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$4.26
+$2.11
+98.1%
$4.00
+$1.85
+86.0%
$0.26
6.1%
—
BIG WIN
26.7%
$3.34
+$1.19
+55.2%
$3.22
+$1.07
+49.8%
$0.12
3.5%
—
LOSS
26.7%
$1.47
-$0.68
-31.4%
$1.44
-$0.71
-33.0%
$0.03
2.3%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
4.0%
$1.00
-$1.15
-53.3%
$0.99
-$1.16
-54.0%
$0.01
1.3%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$1.00
-$1.15
-53.6%
$0.87
-$1.28
-59.5%
$0.13
12.7%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$0.88
-$1.27
-59.1%
$0.87
-$1.28
-59.5%
$0.01
1.1%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$0.86
-$1.29
-59.8%
$0.85
-$1.30
-60.5%
$0.01
1.6%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$0.85
-$1.30
-60.3%
$0.82
-$1.33
-61.9%
$0.03
4.0%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-30|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-nuke-2|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.14932,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8b56130194c8",
"realistic_value": 4.2585,
"optimistic_value": 4.22,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Random Access",
"conservative_value": 4,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:21:56.728219Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8b56130194c8.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.209048,
"output_skin_id": "skin-96e7c9f4d6b6",
"realistic_value": 3.337,
"optimistic_value": 3.33,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden",
"conservative_value": 3.22,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-05T02:38:41.005343Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96e7c9f4d6b6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.29864,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7444d53b5e17",
"realistic_value": 1.474,
"optimistic_value": 1.46,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | Core Breach",
"conservative_value": 1.44,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:16:57.938430Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7444d53b5e17.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.29864,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5efcaeb15ee",
"realistic_value": 0.88,
"optimistic_value": 0.88,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade",
"conservative_value": 0.87,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:10:01.840516Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5efcaeb15ee.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.209048,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec2dd0814c74",
"realistic_value": 0.997,
"optimistic_value": 0.99,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror",
"conservative_value": 0.87,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:45:35.810766Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec2dd0814c74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.2000888,
"output_skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"realistic_value": 0.854,
"optimistic_value": 0.84,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"conservative_value": 0.82,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:23:25.477085Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.2269664,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f3392bb443bc",
"realistic_value": 0.8634999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 0.86,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell",
"conservative_value": 0.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:20:40.845442Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f3392bb443bc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.14932,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"realistic_value": 1.0035,
"optimistic_value": 1,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"conservative_value": 0.99,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:07:15.157271Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_6776eafb44f7a0f3860470e5",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-7b9cc6bc31ef",
"listing_id": "529879287551817216",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Ensnared",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7b9cc6bc31ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:23:12.551344Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-7b9cc6bc31ef",
"listing_id": "507361342333856833",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Ensnared",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7b9cc6bc31ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:23:12.551344Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-1a3115020d99",
"listing_id": "494976390477410178",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1a3115020d99.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:35:20.224548Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-4609f8421163",
"listing_id": "511864888986048201",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Exchanger (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Exchanger",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4609f8421163.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:32:47.936384Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-1a3115020d99",
"listing_id": "502857689863199860",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1a3115020d99.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:35:20.224548Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-4609f8421163",
"listing_id": "526501587737192633",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Exchanger (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Exchanger",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4609f8421163.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:32:47.936384Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-4609f8421163",
"listing_id": "525375688036511467",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Exchanger (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Exchanger",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4609f8421163.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:32:47.936384Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-1a3115020d99",
"listing_id": "496101493268329235",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1a3115020d99.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:35:20.224548Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-ddc69b0796bd",
"listing_id": "804590545785002749",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Facility Negative (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Facility Negative",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ddc69b0796bd.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:30:33.796042Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-4609f8421163",
"listing_id": "510738936593868214",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Exchanger (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Exchanger",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4609f8421163.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:30:16.703985Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-30:2+collection-set-nuke-2:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×2+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Nuclear Garden 26.7% $55.76 Random Access 26.7% $19.77 Core Breach 26.7% $8.43 Night Terror 4.0% $4.01 Space Cat 4.0% $3.22 Zombie Offensive 4.0% $2.68 | $55.76 +170.1% | $22.91 +11.0% | 26.7% | +96.0% | $20.64 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×3+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Random Access 23.3% $4.26 Nuclear Garden 23.3% $3.34 Core Breach 23.3% $1.48 Zombie Offensive 6.0% $1.01 Night Terror 6.0% $1.00 Ticket to Hell 6.0% $0.94 | $4.26 +129.0% | $2.40 +28.9% | 46.7% | +67.4% | $1.86 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Random Access 20.0% $4.26 Nuclear Garden 20.0% $3.34 Core Breach 20.0% $1.48 Zombie Offensive 8.0% $1.01 Night Terror 8.0% $1.00 Ticket to Hell 8.0% $0.97 | $4.26 +149.0% | $2.19 +28.1% | 40.0% | +73.1% | $1.71 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Random Access 16.7% $4.26 Nuclear Garden 16.7% $3.34 Core Breach 16.7% $1.48 Zombie Offensive 10.0% $1.01 Night Terror 10.0% $1.00 Ticket to Hell 10.0% $0.97 | $4.26 +159.7% | $1.98 +20.9% | 33.3% | +74.8% | $1.64 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Random Access 13.3% $19.77 Core Breach 13.3% $8.43 Nuclear Garden 13.3% $8.25 Zombie Offensive 12.0% $2.68 Dream Glade 12.0% $1.64 Ticket to Hell 12.0% $1.51 | $19.77 +296.2% | $5.87 +17.7% | 40.0% | +115.2% | $4.99 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Random Access 6.7% $19.77 Core Breach 6.7% $8.43 Nuclear Garden 6.7% $8.25 Zombie Offensive 16.0% $2.68 Dream Glade 16.0% $1.64 Ticket to Hell 16.0% $1.51 | $19.77 +479.8% | $3.78 +10.8% | 20.0% | +136.2% | $3.41 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Control Panel  25.0% $418.56 Remote Control  25.0% $94.77 Rapid Eye Movement  16.7% $39.42 Abyssal Apparition  16.7% $34.92 Melondrama  16.7% $33.54 | $418.56 +242.6% | $146.31 +19.8% | 25.0% | +130.2% | $122.16 | — |