The Glove Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear
Inputs
Polymer
1x $1.61
Black Sand
1x $3.45
The Daily Deagle
2x $1.26
Creep
3x $1.43
Aeolian Light
2x $1.87
Grip Tape
1x $2.14
↓
Possible Outputs
Cyrex
4.0% $34.05
Breakthrough
40.0% $26.93
Stinger
4.0% $19.50
Gila
4.0% $17.68
Trace Lock
40.0% $14.65
Flashback
4.0% $13.21
Max Win
$34.05 (+65.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$20.40 (-0.7%)
Win %
44.0%
Volatility
+32.5%
Cost
$20.54
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $20.54
Ask Price EV $20.40 (-0.7%)
Bid Price EV $19.60 (-4.6%)
Ask Profit $-0.14 (-0.7%)
Bid Profit $-0.94 (-4.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.80 (+3.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.14
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.94
Risk
Win Probability 44.0%
Loss Probability 56.0%
Best Case $34.05 (+65.8%)
Worst Case $9.89 (-51.9%)
Volatility +32.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 48.0%
Avg Win +$7.03
Avg Loss -$5.77
Bottom 5% Outcome $13.21 (-35.7%)
Std Dev $6.67
Avg Norm Float 0.0932
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 149h 28m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
CZ75-Auto | Polymer
—
Minimal Wear
$1.61 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Black Sand
—
Minimal Wear
$3.45 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
—
Minimal Wear
$1.26 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Creep
—
Minimal Wear
$1.43 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Factory New
$1.87 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Creep
—
Minimal Wear
$1.88 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Factory New
$1.92 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Creep
—
Minimal Wear
$1.98 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Factory New
$2.14 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
—
Factory New
$3.00 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 41M 11S //TOTAL COST $20.54 //ASK PRICE EV $20.40 //BID PRICE EV $19.60 //ASK PROFIT $-0.14 (-0.7%) //BID PROFIT $-0.94 (-4.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 44.0% //BEST CASE $34.05 //VOLATILITY +32.5% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
4.0%
$34.05
+$13.51
+65.8%
$33.35
+$12.81
+62.4%
$0.70
2.1%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
40.0%
$26.93
+$6.39
+31.1%
$26.63
+$6.09
+29.6%
$0.30
1.1%
—
LOSS
4.0%
$19.50
-$1.04
-5.0%
$19.06
-$1.48
-7.2%
$0.44
2.3%
—
LOSS
4.0%
$17.68
-$2.86
-13.9%
$17.55
-$2.99
-14.6%
$0.13
0.7%
—
LOSS
40.0%
$14.65
-$5.89
-28.7%
$13.16
-$7.38
-35.9%
$1.49
10.2%
—
LOSS
4.0%
$13.21
-$7.33
-35.7%
$12.39
-$8.15
-39.7%
$0.82
6.2%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$9.89
-$10.65
-51.9%
$9.74
-$10.80
-52.6%
$0.15
1.5%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-15|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.4,
"output_float": 0.06987,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a92d1a70ebc1",
"realistic_value": 26.926499999999997,
"optimistic_value": 26.72,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough",
"conservative_value": 26.63,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:41:55.655672Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a92d1a70ebc1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.4,
"output_float": 0.065212,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9eb900056828",
"realistic_value": 14.647,
"optimistic_value": 14.64,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock",
"conservative_value": 13.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:11:52.373111Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9eb900056828.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.09316,
"output_skin_id": "skin-54963e630d31",
"realistic_value": 9.889,
"optimistic_value": 9.84,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts",
"conservative_value": 9.74,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:04:27.505375Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-54963e630d31.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.065212,
"output_skin_id": "skin-00b8673938d7",
"realistic_value": 19.503,
"optimistic_value": 19.09,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Stinger",
"conservative_value": 19.06,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Stinger (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:37:13.507680Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-00b8673938d7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.09316,
"output_skin_id": "skin-3795f6827a11",
"realistic_value": 13.2125,
"optimistic_value": 13.16,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Flashback",
"conservative_value": 12.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Flashback (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T15:10:44.174937Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3795f6827a11.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.027948,
"output_skin_id": "skin-b935cdf1da4b",
"realistic_value": 17.6755,
"optimistic_value": 17.56,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Gila",
"conservative_value": 17.55,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Gila (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:52:47.662453Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b935cdf1da4b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.051238000000000006,
"output_skin_id": "skin-95653cc7fb0e",
"realistic_value": 34.054,
"optimistic_value": 34.04,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Cyrex",
"conservative_value": 33.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Cyrex (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:49:56.407117Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-95653cc7fb0e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_6356a7d9d4e67350675fd74e",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.61,
"skin_id": "skin-6f20b68a8c63",
"listing_id": "791079303168381102",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Polymer (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Polymer",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f20b68a8c63.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:04:27.261104Z"
},
{
"price": 3.45,
"skin_id": "skin-2c0ae1658110",
"listing_id": "517494388633380082",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Black Sand (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c0ae1658110.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:14:23.966651Z"
},
{
"price": 1.26,
"skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
"listing_id": "499479989895953869",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:58:28.134701Z"
},
{
"price": 1.43,
"skin_id": "skin-784a6c99447c",
"listing_id": "507361289453312365",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "AUG | Creep",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-784a6c99447c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:17:01.321528Z"
},
{
"price": 1.87,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "506235442367138652",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:14:31.432497Z"
},
{
"price": 1.88,
"skin_id": "skin-784a6c99447c",
"listing_id": "524248990833803271",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "AUG | Creep",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-784a6c99447c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:17:01.321528Z"
},
{
"price": 1.92,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "524249787961161591",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:14:31.432497Z"
},
{
"price": 1.98,
"skin_id": "skin-784a6c99447c",
"listing_id": "653726915754482667",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "AUG | Creep",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-784a6c99447c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:17:01.321528Z"
},
{
"price": 2.14,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "519746241188615516",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Factory New)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:55:49.033788Z"
},
{
"price": 3,
"skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
"listing_id": "506235389469302484",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Factory New)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:17:08.813683Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-15:2+collection-set-timed-drops-achroma:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Glove Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Gila 4.0% $17.68 Breakthrough 40.0% $12.25 Stinger 4.0% $8.24 Cyrex 4.0% $6.92 Royal Consorts 4.0% $6.08 Flashback 4.0% $5.76 | $17.68 +139.8% | $8.40 +14.0% | 48.0% | +42.8% | $7.37 | — |
The Glove Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred | Gila 4.0% $6.64 Stinger 4.0% $6.03 Breakthrough 40.0% $5.85 Cyrex 4.0% $5.77 Flashback 4.0% $4.94 Royal Consorts 4.0% $4.93 | $6.64 +64.6% | $4.34 +7.6% | 60.0% | +28.9% | $4.03 | — |
The Glove Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn | Gila 4.0% $6.64 Stinger 4.0% $6.03 Breakthrough 40.0% $5.85 Cyrex 4.0% $5.77 Royal Consorts 4.0% $5.66 Flashback 4.0% $5.63 | $6.64 +61.4% | $4.39 +6.9% | 60.0% | +28.4% | $4.11 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Glove Collection ×1+The Achroma Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Gila 2.0% $17.68 Breakthrough 45.0% $12.25 Stinger 2.0% $8.24 Cyrex 2.0% $6.92 Royal Consorts 2.0% $6.01 Flashback 2.0% $5.80 | $17.68 +152.1% | $8.30 +18.5% | 49.0% | +42.8% | $7.01 | — |
The Glove Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Gila 6.0% $17.68 Breakthrough 35.0% $12.25 Stinger 6.0% $8.24 Cyrex 6.0% $6.88 Royal Consorts 6.0% $6.01 Flashback 6.0% $5.80 | $17.68 +130.1% | $8.46 +10.2% | 47.0% | +43.3% | $7.68 | — |
The Glove Collection ×4+The Achroma Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Gila 8.0% $17.68 Breakthrough 30.0% $12.25 Stinger 8.0% $8.24 Cyrex 8.0% $6.92 Royal Consorts 8.0% $6.08 Flashback 8.0% $5.76 | $17.68 +121.2% | $8.54 +6.8% | 46.0% | +43.6% | $7.99 | — |