The Glove Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Black Sand
1x $0.93
Sonar
1x $0.98
Grip Tape
2x $0.36
The Daily Deagle
1x $0.50
Aeolian Light
5x $0.69
↓
Possible Outputs
Gila
4.0% $17.68
Breakthrough
40.0% $12.25
Stinger
4.0% $8.24
Cyrex
4.0% $6.92
Royal Consorts
4.0% $6.08
Flashback
4.0% $5.76
Max Win
$17.68 (+139.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$8.40 (+14.0%)
Win %
48.0%
Volatility
+55.4%
Cost
$7.37
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $7.37
Ask Price EV $8.40 (+14.0%)
Bid Price EV $7.96 (+8.0%)
Ask Profit $1.03 (+14.0%)
Bid Profit $0.59 (+8.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.45 (+6.0%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.03
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.59
Risk
Win Probability 48.0%
Loss Probability 52.0%
Best Case $17.68 (+139.8%)
Worst Case $4.29 (-41.8%)
Volatility +55.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$4.99
Avg Loss -$2.63
Bottom 5% Outcome $4.29 (-41.8%)
Std Dev $4.08
Avg Norm Float 0.1960
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 19m
Oldest Output Price 149h 13m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Galil AR | Black Sand
—
Field-Tested
$0.93 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Sonar
—
Minimal Wear
$0.98 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Field-Tested
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
—
Field-Tested
$0.50 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Minimal Wear
$0.69 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Minimal Wear
$0.70 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Minimal Wear
$0.71 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Minimal Wear
$0.78 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Minimal Wear
$0.78 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Minimal Wear
$0.94 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 40M 20S //TOTAL COST $7.37 //ASK PRICE EV $8.40 //BID PRICE EV $7.96 //ASK PROFIT $1.03 (+14.0%) //BID PROFIT $0.59 (+8.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 48.0% //BEST CASE $17.68 //VOLATILITY +55.4% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
4.0%
$17.68
+$10.31
+139.8%
$17.55
+$10.18
+138.1%
$0.13
0.7%
—
BIG WIN
40.0%
$12.25
+$4.88
+66.1%
$11.36
+$3.99
+54.1%
$0.89
7.2%
—
SMALL WIN
4.0%
$8.24
+$0.87
+11.8%
$8.14
+$0.77
+10.4%
$0.10
1.2%
—
LOSS
4.0%
$6.92
-$0.45
-6.1%
$6.69
-$0.68
-9.2%
$0.23
3.3%
—
LOSS
4.0%
$6.08
-$1.29
-17.5%
$5.72
-$1.65
-22.4%
$0.36
5.9%
—
LOSS
4.0%
$5.76
-$1.61
-21.8%
$5.61
-$1.76
-23.9%
$0.15
2.7%
—
NUKE
40.0%
$4.29
-$3.08
-41.8%
$4.16
-$3.21
-43.6%
$0.13
3.1%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-15|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.4,
"output_float": 0.147015,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a92d1a70ebc1",
"realistic_value": 12.245000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 12.14,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough",
"conservative_value": 11.36,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:04:15.007591Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a92d1a70ebc1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.4,
"output_float": 0.137214,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9eb900056828",
"realistic_value": 4.292,
"optimistic_value": 4.25,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock",
"conservative_value": 4.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:52:49.525526Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9eb900056828.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.19602,
"output_skin_id": "skin-54963e630d31",
"realistic_value": 6.0805,
"optimistic_value": 6,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts",
"conservative_value": 5.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:47:16.792185Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-54963e630d31.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.137214,
"output_skin_id": "skin-00b8673938d7",
"realistic_value": 8.241999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 8.2,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Stinger",
"conservative_value": 8.14,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Stinger (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:52:42.433086Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-00b8673938d7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.19602,
"output_skin_id": "skin-3795f6827a11",
"realistic_value": 5.7635,
"optimistic_value": 5.76,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Flashback",
"conservative_value": 5.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Flashback (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:07:32.493495Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3795f6827a11.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.058806,
"output_skin_id": "skin-b935cdf1da4b",
"realistic_value": 17.6755,
"optimistic_value": 17.56,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Gila",
"conservative_value": 17.55,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Gila (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:52:47.662453Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b935cdf1da4b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.107811,
"output_skin_id": "skin-95653cc7fb0e",
"realistic_value": 6.92,
"optimistic_value": 6.85,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Cyrex",
"conservative_value": 6.69,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:04:35.737825Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-95653cc7fb0e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_6356a7d9d4e67350675fd74e",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.93,
"skin_id": "skin-2c0ae1658110",
"listing_id": "509613142167430671",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Galil AR | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c0ae1658110.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:58:11.719571Z"
},
{
"price": 0.98,
"skin_id": "skin-cc6ec471ea94",
"listing_id": "529878490356302436",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Sonar (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Sonar",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cc6ec471ea94.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:16:53.898901Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "493850543431854508",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:12:18.506095Z"
},
{
"price": 0.5,
"skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
"listing_id": "494976224705666562",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:02:31.184941Z"
},
{
"price": 0.69,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "516368541588469934",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:09:36.430671Z"
},
{
"price": 0.7,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "524249840858848503",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:09:36.430671Z"
},
{
"price": 0.71,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "507361342333880845",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:09:36.430671Z"
},
{
"price": 0.78,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "500605889842133939",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:09:36.430671Z"
},
{
"price": 0.78,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "521998040962328694",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:01:33.808326Z"
},
{
"price": 0.94,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "518620288313427412",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:09:36.430671Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-15:2+collection-set-timed-drops-achroma:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Glove Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred | Gila 4.0% $6.64 Stinger 4.0% $6.03 Breakthrough 40.0% $5.85 Cyrex 4.0% $5.77 Flashback 4.0% $4.94 Royal Consorts 4.0% $4.93 | $6.64 +64.6% | $4.34 +7.6% | 60.0% | +28.9% | $4.03 | — |
The Glove Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn | Gila 4.0% $6.64 Stinger 4.0% $6.03 Breakthrough 40.0% $5.85 Cyrex 4.0% $5.77 Royal Consorts 4.0% $5.66 Flashback 4.0% $5.63 | $6.64 +61.4% | $4.39 +6.9% | 60.0% | +28.4% | $4.11 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Glove Collection ×1+The Achroma Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred | Gila 2.0% $6.64 Stinger 2.0% $6.03 Breakthrough 45.0% $5.85 Cyrex 2.0% $5.77 Flashback 2.0% $4.94 Royal Consorts 2.0% $4.93 | $6.64 +88.0% | $4.18 +18.5% | 55.0% | +34.8% | $3.53 | — |
The Glove Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Gila 6.0% $17.68 Breakthrough 35.0% $12.25 Stinger 6.0% $8.24 Cyrex 6.0% $6.88 Royal Consorts 6.0% $6.01 Flashback 6.0% $5.80 | $17.68 +130.1% | $8.46 +10.2% | 47.0% | +43.3% | $7.68 | — |
The Glove Collection ×4+The Achroma Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Gila 8.0% $17.68 Breakthrough 30.0% $12.25 Stinger 8.0% $8.24 Cyrex 8.0% $6.92 Royal Consorts 8.0% $6.08 Flashback 8.0% $5.76 | $17.68 +121.2% | $8.54 +6.8% | 46.0% | +43.6% | $7.99 | — |