The Glove Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New
Inputs
Turf
1x $3.38
Black Sand
1x $3.45
Creep
2x $1.43
Aeolian Light
2x $1.87
Grip Tape
1x $2.14
The Daily Deagle
3x $3.00
↓
Possible Outputs
Flashback
4.0% $119.03
Royal Consorts
4.0% $44.55
Cyrex
4.0% $34.05
Breakthrough
40.0% $26.93
Stinger
4.0% $19.50
Gila
4.0% $17.68
Max Win
$119.03 (+297.3%)
EV (ROI %)
$26.02 (-13.1%)
Win %
12.0%
Volatility
+68.3%
Cost
$29.96
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $29.96
Ask Price EV $26.02 (-13.1%)
Bid Price EV $24.77 (-17.3%)
Ask Profit $-3.94 (-13.1%)
Bid Profit $-5.19 (-17.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.25 (+4.2%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$3.94
Bid Slippage Buffer -$5.19
Risk
Win Probability 12.0%
Loss Probability 88.0%
Best Case $119.03 (+297.3%)
Worst Case $14.65 (-51.1%)
Volatility +68.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 48.0%
Avg Win +$35.92
Avg Loss -$9.37
Bottom 5% Outcome $14.65 (-51.1%)
Std Dev $20.47
Avg Norm Float 0.0697
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 24m
Oldest Output Price 149h 30m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P2000 | Turf
—
Minimal Wear
$3.38 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Black Sand
—
Minimal Wear
$3.45 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Creep
—
Minimal Wear
$1.43 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Factory New
$1.87 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Creep
—
Minimal Wear
$1.88 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Factory New
$1.92 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Factory New
$2.14 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
—
Factory New
$3.00 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
—
Factory New
$4.99 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
—
Factory New
$5.90 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 39M 36S //TOTAL COST $29.96 //ASK PRICE EV $26.02 //BID PRICE EV $24.77 //ASK PROFIT $-3.94 (-13.1%) //BID PROFIT $-5.19 (-17.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 12.0% //BEST CASE $119.03 //VOLATILITY +68.3% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
4.0%
$119.03
+$89.07
+297.3%
$109.91
+$79.95
+266.9%
$9.12
7.7%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
4.0%
$44.55
+$14.59
+48.7%
$41.59
+$11.63
+38.8%
$2.96
6.6%
—
SMALL WIN
4.0%
$34.05
+$4.09
+13.7%
$33.35
+$3.39
+11.3%
$0.70
2.1%
—
LOSS
40.0%
$26.93
-$3.03
-10.1%
$26.63
-$3.33
-11.1%
$0.30
1.1%
—
LOSS
4.0%
$19.50
-$10.46
-34.9%
$19.06
-$10.90
-36.4%
$0.44
2.3%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$17.68
-$12.28
-41.0%
$17.55
-$12.41
-41.4%
$0.13
0.7%
—
NUKE
40.0%
$14.65
-$15.31
-51.1%
$13.16
-$16.80
-56.1%
$1.49
10.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-15|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.4,
"output_float": 0.05229,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a92d1a70ebc1",
"realistic_value": 26.926499999999997,
"optimistic_value": 26.72,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough",
"conservative_value": 26.63,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:41:55.655672Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a92d1a70ebc1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.4,
"output_float": 0.048804,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9eb900056828",
"realistic_value": 14.647,
"optimistic_value": 14.64,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock",
"conservative_value": 13.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:11:52.373111Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9eb900056828.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.06972,
"output_skin_id": "skin-54963e630d31",
"realistic_value": 44.551500000000004,
"optimistic_value": 44.31,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts",
"conservative_value": 41.59,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:46:31.541057Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-54963e630d31.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.048804,
"output_skin_id": "skin-00b8673938d7",
"realistic_value": 19.503,
"optimistic_value": 19.09,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Stinger",
"conservative_value": 19.06,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Stinger (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:37:13.507680Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-00b8673938d7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.06972,
"output_skin_id": "skin-3795f6827a11",
"realistic_value": 119.032,
"optimistic_value": 118.57,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Flashback",
"conservative_value": 109.91,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Flashback (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:51:44.772567Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3795f6827a11.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.020916,
"output_skin_id": "skin-b935cdf1da4b",
"realistic_value": 17.6755,
"optimistic_value": 17.56,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Gila",
"conservative_value": 17.55,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Gila (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:52:47.662453Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b935cdf1da4b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.038346000000000005,
"output_skin_id": "skin-95653cc7fb0e",
"realistic_value": 34.054,
"optimistic_value": 34.04,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Cyrex",
"conservative_value": 33.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Cyrex (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:49:56.407117Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-95653cc7fb0e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_6356a7d9d4e67350675fd74e",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 3.38,
"skin_id": "skin-d044427dd6f6",
"listing_id": "505109489449430012",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Turf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Turf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d044427dd6f6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:02:13.849772Z"
},
{
"price": 3.45,
"skin_id": "skin-2c0ae1658110",
"listing_id": "517494388633380082",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Black Sand (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c0ae1658110.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:14:23.966651Z"
},
{
"price": 1.43,
"skin_id": "skin-784a6c99447c",
"listing_id": "507361289453312365",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "AUG | Creep",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-784a6c99447c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:52:58.037878Z"
},
{
"price": 1.87,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "506235442367138652",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:14:31.432497Z"
},
{
"price": 1.88,
"skin_id": "skin-784a6c99447c",
"listing_id": "524248990833803271",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "AUG | Creep",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-784a6c99447c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:52:58.037878Z"
},
{
"price": 1.92,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "524249787961161591",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:14:31.432497Z"
},
{
"price": 2.14,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "519746241188615516",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Factory New)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:55:49.033788Z"
},
{
"price": 3,
"skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
"listing_id": "506235389469302484",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Factory New)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:53:02.133180Z"
},
{
"price": 4.99,
"skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
"listing_id": "658230515405375198",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Factory New)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:53:02.133180Z"
},
{
"price": 5.9,
"skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
"listing_id": "639090217027340385",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Factory New)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:53:02.133180Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-15:2+collection-set-timed-drops-achroma:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Glove Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Gila 4.0% $17.68 Breakthrough 40.0% $12.25 Stinger 4.0% $8.24 Cyrex 4.0% $6.92 Royal Consorts 4.0% $6.08 Flashback 4.0% $5.76 | $17.68 +139.8% | $8.40 +14.0% | 48.0% | +42.8% | $7.37 | — |
The Glove Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred | Gila 4.0% $6.64 Stinger 4.0% $6.03 Breakthrough 40.0% $5.85 Cyrex 4.0% $5.77 Flashback 4.0% $4.94 Royal Consorts 4.0% $4.93 | $6.64 +64.6% | $4.34 +7.6% | 60.0% | +28.9% | $4.03 | — |
The Glove Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn | Gila 4.0% $6.64 Stinger 4.0% $6.03 Breakthrough 40.0% $5.85 Cyrex 4.0% $5.77 Royal Consorts 4.0% $5.66 Flashback 4.0% $5.63 | $6.64 +61.4% | $4.39 +6.9% | 60.0% | +28.4% | $4.11 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Glove Collection ×1+The Achroma Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred | Gila 2.0% $6.64 Stinger 2.0% $6.03 Breakthrough 45.0% $5.85 Cyrex 2.0% $5.77 Flashback 2.0% $4.94 Royal Consorts 2.0% $4.93 | $6.64 +88.0% | $4.18 +18.5% | 55.0% | +34.8% | $3.53 | — |
The Glove Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Gila 6.0% $17.68 Breakthrough 35.0% $12.25 Stinger 6.0% $8.24 Cyrex 6.0% $6.88 Royal Consorts 6.0% $6.01 Flashback 6.0% $5.80 | $17.68 +130.1% | $8.46 +10.2% | 47.0% | +43.3% | $7.68 | — |
The Glove Collection ×4+The Achroma Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Gila 8.0% $17.68 Breakthrough 30.0% $12.25 Stinger 8.0% $8.24 Cyrex 8.0% $6.92 Royal Consorts 8.0% $6.08 Flashback 8.0% $5.76 | $17.68 +121.2% | $8.54 +6.8% | 46.0% | +43.6% | $7.99 | — |