The Glove Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9

Restricted → Classified WW ST 10 items

Factory New +34.4%Field-Tested +11.4%Minimal Wear +12.8%Well-Worn -12.9%

Contract

Restricted → Classified Well-Worn StatTrak™

Inputs

Royal Consorts

1x $1.99

Amberline

8x $2.08

Urban Sovereign

1x $3.19

↓

Possible Outputs

Crane Flight

30.0% $45.29

Mecha Industries

3.3% $27.54

Wasteland Princess

3.3% $15.12

Shallow Grave

3.3% $12.18

Deathgaze

30.0% $10.22

Kintsugi

30.0% $7.96

Max Win

$45.29 (+89.0%)

EV (ROI %)

$20.87 (-12.9%)

Win %

33.3%

Volatility

+68.3%

Cost

$23.96

Age —

Financials

Total Cost $23.96

Ask Price EV $20.87 (-12.9%)

Bid Price EV $19.03 (-20.6%)

Ask Profit $-3.09 (-12.9%)

Bid Profit $-4.93 (-20.6%)

Liquidity Gap $1.84 (+7.7%)

Ask Slippage Buffer -$3.09

Bid Slippage Buffer -$4.93

Risk

Win Probability 33.3%

Loss Probability 66.7%

Best Case $45.29 (+89.0%)

Worst Case $7.96 (-66.8%)

Volatility +68.3%

Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 66.7%

Avg Win +$19.55

Avg Loss -$14.42

Bottom 5% Outcome $7.96 (-66.8%)

Std Dev $16.37

Avg Norm Float 0.4059

P(output) Sum 1.0000

Execution ▸ ▾

Price Freshness Old

Oldest Input Price 18m

Oldest Output Price 141h 36m

Fill Confidence Low

Input Availability 10 / 10

Float Safety Safe

Price History

ROI & Win Rate

TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended

SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...

Chosen Inputs · 10 items

Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts

—

Well-Worn

$1.99 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Battle-Scarred

$2.08 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Battle-Scarred

$2.09 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Battle-Scarred

$2.15 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Well-Worn

$2.30 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Well-Worn

$2.31 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Well-Worn

$2.33 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Well-Worn

$2.34 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Field-Tested

$3.18 Float: HIDDEN

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

—

Field-Tested

$3.19 Float: HIDDEN

OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 14M 17S //TOTAL COST $23.96 //ASK PRICE EV $20.87 //BID PRICE EV $19.03 //ASK PROFIT $-3.09 (-12.9%) //BID PROFIT $-4.93 (-20.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 33.3% //BEST CASE $45.29 //VOLATILITY +68.3% //

Possible Outputs · 6

Skin

Latest Result

No spins recorded yet.

Cumulative P&L

Ask Bid

Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.

Raw payload (JSON)

{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-15|Restricted|stattrak",
      "item_count": 1,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-15"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
      "item_count": 9,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.3,
      "output_float": 0.40589,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
      "realistic_value": 45.285,
      "optimistic_value": 44.9,
      "output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
      "conservative_value": 41.72,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.425805Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.3,
      "output_float": 0.40589,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
      "realistic_value": 7.96,
      "optimistic_value": 7.89,
      "output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
      "conservative_value": 7.67,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:47:04.383011Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.3,
      "output_float": 0.40589,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
      "realistic_value": 10.2155,
      "optimistic_value": 10.17,
      "output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
      "conservative_value": 8.25,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:47:03.108572Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.03333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.202945,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-ea2876c00b6b",
      "realistic_value": 27.5375,
      "optimistic_value": 26.75,
      "output_full_name": "FAMAS | Mecha Industries",
      "conservative_value": 26.54,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:20:37.843014Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ea2876c00b6b.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.03333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.3044175,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-6772919e8e84",
      "realistic_value": 12.1815,
      "optimistic_value": 12.01,
      "output_full_name": "P90 | Shallow Grave",
      "conservative_value": 11.93,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:34:02.977484Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6772919e8e84.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.03333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.28412299999999996,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-9a257b12e3fd",
      "realistic_value": 15.122,
      "optimistic_value": 15.01,
      "output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess",
      "conservative_value": 13.53,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T15:07:54.533499Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a257b12e3fd.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_6082d68955a70167f85125f1",
  "input_rarity": "Restricted",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 1.99,
      "skin_id": "skin-54963e630d31",
      "listing_id": "500605837397442911",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-54963e630d31.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:38:51.275921Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.08,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "507361289452694821",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:05.348438Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.09,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "514116688949678190",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:05.348438Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.15,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "490472738292168531",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:05.348438Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.3,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "525375635593980187",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.31,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "505109489448722396",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.33,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "507361237008630373",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.34,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "492724538182385829",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 3.18,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "502857689861474128",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:48:59.510287Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 3.19,
      "skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
      "listing_id": "493850490550002916",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.565913Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Classified",
  "stattrak_mode": true,
  "composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-15:1+collection-set-community-37:9"
}

Related contracts

Positive EV only

Different wear buckets

Same contract family, other output wear ratings.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Glove Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST	Crane Flight 30.0% $290.04 Kintsugi 30.0% $65.51 Mecha Industries 3.3% $63.14 Deathgaze 30.0% $61.47 Wasteland Princess 3.3% $45.64 Shallow Grave 3.3% $42.79	$290.04 +199.6%	$130.16 +34.4%	30.0%	+108.2%	$96.81	—
The Glove Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST	Crane Flight 30.0% $126.41 Mecha Industries 3.3% $42.69 Wasteland Princess 3.3% $31.91 Kintsugi 30.0% $23.12 Shallow Grave 3.3% $21.27 Deathgaze 30.0% $21.23	$126.41 +162.1%	$54.42 +12.8%	30.0%	+98.1%	$48.23	—
The Glove Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST	Crane Flight 30.0% $63.86 Mecha Industries 3.3% $27.54 Wasteland Princess 3.3% $15.12 Kintsugi 30.0% $12.65 Shallow Grave 3.3% $12.18 Deathgaze 30.0% $11.91	$63.86 +150.9%	$28.35 +11.4%	33.3%	+92.0%	$25.45	—

Different splits

Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Glove Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST	Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 Kintsugi 26.7% $65.51 Mecha Industries 6.7% $63.14 Deathgaze 26.7% $61.47 Wasteland Princess 6.7% $45.64 Shallow Grave 6.7% $42.79	$290.04 +201.3%	$121.31 +26.0%	26.7%	+105.9%	$96.26	—
The Glove Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST	Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Kintsugi 23.3% $65.51 Mecha Industries 10.0% $63.14 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 Wasteland Princess 10.0% $45.64 Shallow Grave 10.0% $42.79	$290.04 +199.4%	$112.46 +16.1%	23.3%	+101.4%	$96.89	—
The Glove Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST	Crane Flight 20.0% $126.41 Mecha Industries 13.3% $63.14 Wasteland Princess 13.3% $31.91 Kintsugi 20.0% $23.12 Shallow Grave 13.3% $21.27 Deathgaze 20.0% $21.23	$126.41 +179.2%	$49.66 +9.7%	33.3%	+89.8%	$45.28	—
The Glove Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST	Crane Flight 16.7% $126.41 Mecha Industries 16.7% $63.14 Wasteland Princess 16.7% $31.91 Kintsugi 16.7% $22.62 Shallow Grave 16.7% $21.27 Deathgaze 16.7% $21.23	$126.41 +179.7%	$47.76 +5.7%	33.3%	+84.3%	$45.20	—
The Glove Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST	Crane Flight 13.3% $63.86 Mecha Industries 20.0% $27.54 Wasteland Princess 20.0% $15.12 Kintsugi 13.3% $12.65 Shallow Grave 20.0% $12.18 Deathgaze 13.3% $10.67	$63.86 +185.3%	$22.59 +0.9%	33.3%	+77.0%	$22.38	—

Same combination, different rarity

Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Glove Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST	Electrum 18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 18.0% $31.66 Flashback 2.0% $27.04 Cyrex 2.0% $23.29 Royal Consorts 2.0% $22.63 Amberline 18.0% $18.87	$51.27 +145.2%	$25.11 +20.1%	42.0%	+56.2%	$20.91	—
The Glove Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST	Queen's Gambit 35.0% $141.08 Dragonfire 15.0% $137.57 Buzz Kill 15.0% $123.18 Fully Tuned 35.0% $105.54	$141.08 +33.5%	$125.43 +18.7%	65.0%	+14.9%	$105.65	—