The Glove Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9
Restricted → Classified FN ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Gila
1x $4.18
Urban Sovereign
7x $4.72
Galigator
2x $7.29
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
30.0% $290.04
Kintsugi
30.0% $65.51
Mecha Industries
3.3% $63.14
Deathgaze
30.0% $61.47
Wasteland Princess
3.3% $45.64
Shallow Grave
3.3% $42.79
Max Win
$290.04 (+199.6%)
EV (ROI %)
$130.16 (+34.4%)
Win %
30.0%
Volatility
+108.2%
Cost
$96.81
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $96.81
Ask Price EV $130.16 (+34.4%)
Bid Price EV $106.11 (+9.6%)
Ask Profit $33.35 (+34.4%)
Bid Profit $9.30 (+9.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $24.04 (+24.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$33.35
Bid Slippage Buffer +$9.30
Risk
Win Probability 30.0%
Loss Probability 70.0%
Best Case $290.04 (+199.6%)
Worst Case $42.79 (-55.8%)
Volatility +108.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 70.0%
Avg Win +$193.23
Avg Loss -$35.18
Bottom 5% Outcome $45.64 (-52.9%)
Std Dev $104.79
Avg Norm Float 0.0698
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 30h
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Nova | Gila
—
Factory New
$4.18 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.72 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.75 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.40 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Galigator
—
Minimal Wear
$7.29 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Galigator
—
Minimal Wear
$9.00 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$13.68 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$15.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$15.50 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$16.99 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 13M 24S //TOTAL COST $96.81 //ASK PRICE EV $130.16 //BID PRICE EV $106.11 //ASK PROFIT $33.35 (+34.4%) //BID PROFIT $9.30 (+9.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 30.0% //BEST CASE $290.04 //VOLATILITY +108.2% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$290.04
+$193.23
+199.6%
$229.11
+$132.30
+136.7%
$60.93
21.0%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$65.51
-$31.30
-32.3%
$55.11
-$41.70
-43.1%
$10.40
15.9%
—
LOSS
3.3%
$63.14
-$33.67
-34.8%
$57.76
-$39.05
-40.3%
$5.38
8.5%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$61.47
-$35.34
-36.5%
$55.38
-$41.43
-42.8%
$6.09
9.9%
—
NUKE
3.3%
$45.64
-$51.17
-52.9%
$35.24
-$61.57
-63.6%
$10.40
22.8%
—
NUKE
3.3%
$42.79
-$54.02
-55.8%
$33.99
-$62.82
-64.9%
$8.80
20.6%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-15|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.06983,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 290.0445,
"optimistic_value": 279.45,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 229.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:40.031809Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.06983,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 65.5065,
"optimistic_value": 64.74,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 55.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:45.715369Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.06983,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 61.465999999999994,
"optimistic_value": 59.66,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 55.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:58.530181Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.034915,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ea2876c00b6b",
"realistic_value": 63.1405,
"optimistic_value": 61.1,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Mecha Industries",
"conservative_value": 57.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:58:56.863567Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ea2876c00b6b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.0523725,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6772919e8e84",
"realistic_value": 42.7935,
"optimistic_value": 39.99,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Shallow Grave",
"conservative_value": 33.99,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:51:22.426480Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6772919e8e84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.048881,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9a257b12e3fd",
"realistic_value": 45.6445,
"optimistic_value": 45.13,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess",
"conservative_value": 35.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T19:58:36.887236Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a257b12e3fd.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_6082d68955a70167f85125f1",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 4.18,
"skin_id": "skin-b935cdf1da4b",
"listing_id": "500605837397967935",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Gila (Factory New)",
"name": "Nova | Gila",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b935cdf1da4b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:38:07.363024Z"
},
{
"price": 4.72,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "500605889840023871",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:59:17.956271Z"
},
{
"price": 4.75,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "521997988014719718",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:59:17.956271Z"
},
{
"price": 5.4,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "506235337025176368",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:59:17.956271Z"
},
{
"price": 7.29,
"skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"listing_id": "524249787960966687",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:59:15.998777Z"
},
{
"price": 9,
"skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"listing_id": "496102237883506139",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:59:15.998777Z"
},
{
"price": 13.68,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "518620288314054676",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:59:22.530410Z"
},
{
"price": 15.3,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "518619491430346084",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:59:22.530410Z"
},
{
"price": 15.5,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "496101493270757831",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:59:22.530410Z"
},
{
"price": 16.99,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "523123091079375442",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:59:22.530410Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-15:1+collection-set-community-37:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Glove Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $126.41 Mecha Industries 3.3% $42.69 Wasteland Princess 3.3% $31.91 Kintsugi 30.0% $22.62 Shallow Grave 3.3% $21.27 Deathgaze 30.0% $21.23 | $126.41 +166.2% | $54.27 +14.3% | 30.0% | +99.8% | $47.48 | — |
The Glove Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $63.86 Mecha Industries 3.3% $27.54 Wasteland Princess 3.3% $15.12 Kintsugi 30.0% $12.65 Shallow Grave 3.3% $12.18 Deathgaze 30.0% $11.91 | $63.86 +151.0% | $28.35 +11.5% | 33.3% | +92.0% | $25.44 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Glove Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 Kintsugi 26.7% $65.51 Mecha Industries 6.7% $63.14 Deathgaze 26.7% $61.47 Wasteland Princess 6.7% $45.64 Shallow Grave 6.7% $42.79 | $290.04 +198.7% | $121.31 +24.9% | 26.7% | +105.0% | $97.09 | — |
The Glove Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Kintsugi 23.3% $65.51 Mecha Industries 10.0% $63.14 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 Wasteland Princess 10.0% $45.64 Shallow Grave 10.0% $42.79 | $290.04 +199.4% | $112.46 +16.1% | 23.3% | +101.4% | $96.89 | — |
The Glove Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $126.41 Mecha Industries 13.3% $42.69 Wasteland Princess 13.3% $31.91 Kintsugi 20.0% $22.62 Shallow Grave 13.3% $21.27 Deathgaze 20.0% $21.23 | $126.41 +199.3% | $46.83 +10.9% | 33.3% | +95.7% | $42.24 | — |
The Glove Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $63.86 Mecha Industries 16.7% $27.54 Wasteland Princess 16.7% $15.12 Kintsugi 16.7% $12.65 Shallow Grave 16.7% $12.18 Deathgaze 16.7% $11.60 | $63.86 +183.1% | $23.83 +5.6% | 33.3% | +83.0% | $22.56 | — |
The Glove Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $63.86 Mecha Industries 20.0% $27.54 Wasteland Princess 20.0% $15.12 Kintsugi 13.3% $12.65 Shallow Grave 20.0% $12.18 Deathgaze 13.3% $11.60 | $63.86 +185.3% | $22.72 +1.5% | 33.3% | +76.6% | $22.38 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Glove Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum  18.0% $10.69 Cyrex  2.0% $9.78 Firebreathing  18.0% $6.12 Flashback  2.0% $4.92 Galigator 18.0% $3.26 Amberline  18.0% $3.21 | $10.69 +154.6% | $5.22 +24.2% | 40.0% | +64.7% | $4.20 | — |
The Glove Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit  35.0% $141.08 Dragonfire  15.0% $137.57 Buzz Kill  15.0% $123.18 Fully Tuned  35.0% $105.54 | $141.08 +33.5% | $125.43 +18.7% | 65.0% | +14.9% | $105.65 | — |