The Glove Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9
Restricted → Classified MW ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Stinger
1x $4.04
Amberline
2x $3.18
Urban Sovereign
6x $3.19
Galigator
1x $7.29
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
30.0% $126.41
Mecha Industries
3.3% $42.69
Wasteland Princess
3.3% $31.91
Kintsugi
30.0% $23.12
Shallow Grave
3.3% $21.27
Deathgaze
30.0% $21.23
Max Win
$126.41 (+162.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$54.42 (+12.8%)
Win %
30.0%
Volatility
+98.1%
Cost
$48.23
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $48.23
Ask Price EV $54.42 (+12.8%)
Bid Price EV $48.22 (-0.0%)
Ask Profit $6.19 (+12.8%)
Bid Profit $-0.01 (-0.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $6.21 (+12.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$6.19
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.01
Risk
Win Probability 30.0%
Loss Probability 70.0%
Best Case $126.41 (+162.1%)
Worst Case $21.23 (-56.0%)
Volatility +98.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 66.7%
Avg Win +$78.18
Avg Loss -$24.66
Bottom 5% Outcome $21.23 (-56.0%)
Std Dev $47.30
Avg Norm Float 0.1480
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 10m
Oldest Output Price 141h 37m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
G3SG1 | Stinger
—
Minimal Wear
$4.04 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$3.18 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.19 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.64 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.72 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.75 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.38 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.40 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Minimal Wear
$6.64 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Galigator
—
Minimal Wear
$7.29 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 14M 17S //TOTAL COST $48.23 //ASK PRICE EV $54.42 //BID PRICE EV $48.22 //ASK PROFIT $6.19 (+12.8%) //BID PROFIT $-0.01 (-0.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 30.0% //BEST CASE $126.41 //VOLATILITY +98.1% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
30.0%
$126.41
+$78.18
+162.1%
$112.39
+$64.16
+133.0%
$14.02
11.1%
—
LOSS
3.3%
$42.69
-$5.54
-11.5%
$36.89
-$11.34
-23.5%
$5.80
13.6%
—
LOSS THIN BID
3.3%
$31.91
-$16.32
-33.8%
$19.18
-$29.05
-60.2%
$12.73
39.9%
—
NUKE
30.0%
$23.12
-$25.11
-52.1%
$20.66
-$27.57
-57.2%
$2.46
10.6%
—
NUKE
3.3%
$21.27
-$26.96
-55.9%
$18.60
-$29.63
-61.4%
$2.67
12.5%
—
NUKE
30.0%
$21.23
-$27.00
-56.0%
$19.38
-$28.85
-59.8%
$1.85
8.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-15|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.14801,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 126.41149999999999,
"optimistic_value": 124,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 112.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.452841Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.14801,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 23.121000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 22.96,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 20.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:59.086341Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.14801,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 21.23,
"optimistic_value": 20.6,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 19.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:59.001396Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.074005,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ea2876c00b6b",
"realistic_value": 42.6945,
"optimistic_value": 41.9,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Mecha Industries",
"conservative_value": 36.89,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:20:06.874957Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ea2876c00b6b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.11100750000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6772919e8e84",
"realistic_value": 21.269,
"optimistic_value": 20.52,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Shallow Grave",
"conservative_value": 18.6,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:20:42.856471Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6772919e8e84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.10360699999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9a257b12e3fd",
"realistic_value": 31.906,
"optimistic_value": 30.24,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess",
"conservative_value": 19.18,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Glove Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:29:37.450783Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a257b12e3fd.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_6082d68955a70167f85125f1",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 4.04,
"skin_id": "skin-00b8673938d7",
"listing_id": "630083017704040830",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-15",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Stinger (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Stinger",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-00b8673938d7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:51:32.092169Z"
},
{
"price": 3.18,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "502857689861474128",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:48:59.510287Z"
},
{
"price": 3.19,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "493850490550002916",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.565913Z"
},
{
"price": 3.64,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "498354037510570279",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.565913Z"
},
{
"price": 4.72,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "500605889840023871",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:59.257802Z"
},
{
"price": 4.75,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "521997988014719718",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:59.257802Z"
},
{
"price": 5.38,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "500605837398261191",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:59.257802Z"
},
{
"price": 5.4,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "506235337025176368",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:59.257802Z"
},
{
"price": 6.64,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182346589",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:14.354664Z"
},
{
"price": 7.29,
"skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"listing_id": "524249787960966687",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:56.622316Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-15:1+collection-set-community-37:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Glove Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $290.04 Kintsugi 30.0% $65.51 Mecha Industries 3.3% $63.14 Deathgaze 30.0% $61.47 Wasteland Princess 3.3% $45.64 Shallow Grave 3.3% $42.79 | $290.04 +199.6% | $130.16 +34.4% | 30.0% | +108.2% | $96.81 | — |
The Glove Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $63.86 Mecha Industries 3.3% $27.54 Wasteland Princess 3.3% $15.12 Kintsugi 30.0% $12.65 Shallow Grave 3.3% $12.18 Deathgaze 30.0% $11.91 | $63.86 +150.9% | $28.35 +11.4% | 33.3% | +92.0% | $25.45 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Glove Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 Kintsugi 26.7% $65.51 Mecha Industries 6.7% $63.14 Deathgaze 26.7% $61.47 Wasteland Princess 6.7% $45.64 Shallow Grave 6.7% $42.79 | $290.04 +201.3% | $121.31 +26.0% | 26.7% | +105.9% | $96.26 | — |
The Glove Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Kintsugi 23.3% $65.51 Mecha Industries 10.0% $63.14 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 Wasteland Princess 10.0% $45.64 Shallow Grave 10.0% $42.79 | $290.04 +199.4% | $112.46 +16.1% | 23.3% | +101.4% | $96.89 | — |
The Glove Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $126.41 Mecha Industries 13.3% $63.14 Wasteland Princess 13.3% $31.91 Kintsugi 20.0% $23.12 Shallow Grave 13.3% $21.27 Deathgaze 20.0% $21.23 | $126.41 +179.2% | $49.66 +9.7% | 33.3% | +89.8% | $45.28 | — |
The Glove Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $126.41 Mecha Industries 16.7% $63.14 Wasteland Princess 16.7% $31.91 Kintsugi 16.7% $22.62 Shallow Grave 16.7% $21.27 Deathgaze 16.7% $21.23 | $126.41 +179.7% | $47.76 +5.7% | 33.3% | +84.3% | $45.20 | — |
The Glove Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $63.86 Mecha Industries 20.0% $27.54 Wasteland Princess 20.0% $15.12 Kintsugi 13.3% $12.65 Shallow Grave 20.0% $12.18 Deathgaze 13.3% $10.67 | $63.86 +185.3% | $22.59 +0.9% | 33.3% | +77.0% | $22.38 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Glove Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum  18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing  18.0% $31.66 Flashback  2.0% $27.04 Cyrex  2.0% $23.29 Royal Consorts  2.0% $22.63 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 | $51.27 +145.2% | $25.11 +20.1% | 42.0% | +56.2% | $20.91 | — |
The Glove Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit  35.0% $141.08 Dragonfire  15.0% $137.57 Buzz Kill  15.0% $123.18 Fully Tuned  35.0% $105.54 | $141.08 +33.5% | $125.43 +18.7% | 65.0% | +14.9% | $105.65 | — |