The Prisma 2 Collection ×9+The Overpass Collection ×1
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New
Inputs
Tom Cat
4x $0.50
Blue Ply
2x $1.00
Prototype
2x $1.81
Desert Strike
1x $3.59
VariCamo Blue
1x $19.39
↓
Possible Outputs
Road Rash
5.0% $701.51
Pink DDPAT
5.0% $135.49
Acid Etched
18.0% $34.68
Enforcer
18.0% $9.50
Darkwing
18.0% $9.42
Apocalypto
18.0% $8.94
Max Win
$701.51 (+1589.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$54.63 (+31.5%)
Win %
10.0%
Volatility
+363.7%
Cost
$41.53
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $41.53
Ask Price EV $54.63 (+31.5%)
Bid Price EV $42.41 (+2.1%)
Ask Profit $13.10 (+31.5%)
Bid Profit $0.88 (+2.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $12.22 (+29.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$13.10
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.88
Risk
Win Probability 10.0%
Loss Probability 90.0%
Best Case $701.51 (+1589.2%)
Worst Case $8.46 (-79.6%)
Volatility +363.7%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 72.0%
Avg Win +$376.97
Avg Loss -$27.33
Bottom 5% Outcome $8.46 (-79.6%)
Std Dev $151.05
Avg Norm Float 0.0697
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 146h 17m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
AUG | Tom Cat
—
Minimal Wear
$0.50 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | Blue Ply
—
Minimal Wear
$1.00 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | Blue Ply
—
Minimal Wear
$1.06 Float: HIDDEN
Negev | Prototype
—
Factory New
$1.81 Float: HIDDEN
Negev | Prototype
—
Factory New
$1.89 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Tom Cat
—
Factory New
$3.06 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Desert Strike
—
Factory New
$3.59 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Tom Cat
—
Factory New
$4.21 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Tom Cat
—
Factory New
$5.02 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | VariCamo Blue
—
Minimal Wear
$19.39 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 24M 18S //TOTAL COST $41.53 //ASK PRICE EV $54.63 //BID PRICE EV $42.41 //ASK PROFIT $13.10 (+31.5%) //BID PROFIT $0.88 (+2.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 10.0% //BEST CASE $701.51 //VOLATILITY +363.7% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
5.0%
$701.51
+$659.98
+1589.2%
$490.79
+$449.26
+1081.8%
$210.72
30.0%
—
BIG WIN
5.0%
$135.49
+$93.96
+226.2%
$116.28
+$74.75
+180.0%
$19.21
14.2%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
18.0%
$34.68
-$6.86
-16.5%
$32.11
-$9.42
-22.7%
$2.56
7.4%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
18.0%
$9.50
-$32.03
-77.1%
$8.94
-$32.59
-78.5%
$0.56
5.9%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
18.0%
$9.42
-$32.11
-77.3%
$9.24
-$32.29
-77.8%
$0.18
1.9%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
18.0%
$8.94
-$32.60
-78.5%
$8.74
-$32.79
-79.0%
$0.20
2.2%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$8.46
-$33.07
-79.6%
$7.96
-$33.57
-80.8%
$0.50
5.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-25|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.06966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-dd7837484577",
"realistic_value": 34.675,
"optimistic_value": 34.5,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Acid Etched",
"conservative_value": 32.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Acid Etched (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:08:31.771580Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd7837484577.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.06966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-803029f01b68",
"realistic_value": 9.503,
"optimistic_value": 9.44,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer",
"conservative_value": 8.94,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:53:04.940069Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-803029f01b68.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.06966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d00c49e52bd9",
"realistic_value": 9.4155,
"optimistic_value": 9.37,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Darkwing",
"conservative_value": 9.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Darkwing (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:50.817535Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d00c49e52bd9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.0501552,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e5f08d307bdd",
"realistic_value": 8.4635,
"optimistic_value": 8.39,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Fever Dream",
"conservative_value": 7.96,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:50:19.070936Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5f08d307bdd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.06966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-db4ae843fbd7",
"realistic_value": 8.935,
"optimistic_value": 8.76,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Apocalypto",
"conservative_value": 8.74,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:43:20.291930Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db4ae843fbd7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.11154839999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-665b5d16532c",
"realistic_value": 135.48850000000002,
"optimistic_value": 127.68,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Pink DDPAT",
"conservative_value": 116.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:39:55.443975Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-665b5d16532c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.06966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d7d145b204a5",
"realistic_value": 701.5105,
"optimistic_value": 657.4,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Road Rash",
"conservative_value": 490.79,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Overpass Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:44:32.262681Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d7d145b204a5.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_5d21fa81011f4ef6cf9a7e63",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.5,
"skin_id": "skin-42cc631beb8c",
"listing_id": "669488905360173675",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Tom Cat (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "AUG | Tom Cat",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-42cc631beb8c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:00:07.639718Z"
},
{
"price": 1,
"skin_id": "skin-5293f56bb6b8",
"listing_id": "518620122759971524",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | Blue Ply",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5293f56bb6b8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:50:42.762818Z"
},
{
"price": 1.06,
"skin_id": "skin-5293f56bb6b8",
"listing_id": "523123091059693018",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | Blue Ply",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5293f56bb6b8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:50:42.762818Z"
},
{
"price": 1.81,
"skin_id": "skin-c31f180e6a50",
"listing_id": "490472738292643731",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Prototype (Factory New)",
"name": "Negev | Prototype",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c31f180e6a50.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:39:58.376251Z"
},
{
"price": 1.89,
"skin_id": "skin-c31f180e6a50",
"listing_id": "490471993865742543",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Prototype (Factory New)",
"name": "Negev | Prototype",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c31f180e6a50.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:39:58.376251Z"
},
{
"price": 3.06,
"skin_id": "skin-42cc631beb8c",
"listing_id": "529879287551577816",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Tom Cat (Factory New)",
"name": "AUG | Tom Cat",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-42cc631beb8c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:57:38.736463Z"
},
{
"price": 3.59,
"skin_id": "skin-d536309c3714",
"listing_id": "526501587737176037",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Factory New)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Desert Strike",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d536309c3714.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:47:31.681384Z"
},
{
"price": 4.21,
"skin_id": "skin-42cc631beb8c",
"listing_id": "636838417174086148",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Tom Cat (Factory New)",
"name": "AUG | Tom Cat",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-42cc631beb8c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:57:38.736463Z"
},
{
"price": 5.02,
"skin_id": "skin-42cc631beb8c",
"listing_id": "651473141107813551",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Tom Cat (Factory New)",
"name": "AUG | Tom Cat",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-42cc631beb8c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:57:38.736463Z"
},
{
"price": 19.39,
"skin_id": "skin-3a57219a9579",
"listing_id": "496101493258480463",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | VariCamo Blue",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3a57219a9579.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:57:33.322589Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-25:9+collection-set-overpass:1"
}Related
Related contracts
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×8+The Overpass Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Road Rash 10.0% $701.51 Pink DDPAT 10.0% $135.49 Acid Etched 16.0% $34.68 Enforcer 16.0% $9.50 Darkwing 16.0% $9.42 Apocalypto 16.0% $8.94 | $701.51 +866.4% | $95.06 +31.0% | 20.0% | +279.1% | $72.59 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×7+The Overpass Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Road Rash 15.0% $701.51 Pink DDPAT 15.0% $135.49 Acid Etched 14.0% $34.68 Enforcer 14.0% $9.50 Darkwing 14.0% $9.42 Apocalypto 14.0% $8.94 | $701.51 +551.9% | $135.49 +25.9% | 30.0% | +220.2% | $107.61 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Overpass Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Road Rash 20.0% $701.51 Pink DDPAT 20.0% $135.49 Acid Etched 12.0% $34.68 Enforcer 12.0% $9.50 Darkwing 12.0% $9.42 Apocalypto 12.0% $8.94 | $701.51 +363.7% | $175.92 +16.3% | 20.0% | +172.3% | $151.29 | — |