The Revolution Collection ×6+The Fever Collection ×4
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Fragments
2x $0.15
Re.built
3x $0.17
Cyberforce
1x $0.20
Resupply
2x $0.15
Nexus
2x $0.19
↓
Possible Outputs
Serpent Strike
8.0% $4.41
Emphorosaur-S
12.0% $4.12
Umbral Rabbit
12.0% $3.08
Control
8.0% $2.76
Sakkaku
12.0% $2.65
Tosai
8.0% $2.54
Max Win
$4.41 (+118.3%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.45 (+21.2%)
Win %
60.0%
Volatility
+57.2%
Cost
$2.02
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.02
Ask Price EV $2.45 (+21.2%)
Bid Price EV $2.12 (+5.0%)
Ask Profit $0.43 (+21.2%)
Bid Profit $0.10 (+5.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.33 (+16.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.43
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.10
Risk
Win Probability 60.0%
Loss Probability 40.0%
Best Case $4.41 (+118.3%)
Worst Case $0.85 (-58.0%)
Volatility +57.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 32.0%
Avg Win +$1.25
Avg Loss -$0.80
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.85 (-58.0%)
Std Dev $1.16
Avg Norm Float 0.1869
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 149h 21m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Field-Tested
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Field-Tested
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Resupply
—
Field-Tested
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Nexus
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Nexus
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Resupply
—
Field-Tested
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 05M 46S //TOTAL COST $2.02 //ASK PRICE EV $2.45 //BID PRICE EV $2.12 //ASK PROFIT $0.43 (+21.2%) //BID PROFIT $0.10 (+5.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 60.0% //BEST CASE $4.41 //VOLATILITY +57.2% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
8.0%
$4.41
+$2.39
+118.3%
$3.69
+$1.67
+82.7%
$0.72
16.3%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$4.12
+$2.10
+103.8%
$3.56
+$1.54
+76.2%
$0.56
13.5%
—
BIG WIN
12.0%
$3.08
+$1.06
+52.5%
$2.72
+$0.70
+34.7%
$0.36
11.7%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$2.76
+$0.74
+36.7%
$2.44
+$0.42
+20.8%
$0.32
11.6%
—
WIN
12.0%
$2.65
+$0.63
+31.4%
$2.41
+$0.39
+19.3%
$0.24
9.2%
—
WIN
8.0%
$2.54
+$0.52
+25.7%
$2.16
+$0.14
+6.9%
$0.38
15.0%
—
LOSS
8.0%
$1.53
-$0.49
-24.4%
$1.17
-$0.85
-42.1%
$0.36
23.4%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$1.41
-$0.61
-30.2%
$1.20
-$0.82
-40.6%
$0.21
14.9%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$1.19
-$0.83
-41.1%
$1.09
-$0.93
-46.0%
$0.10
8.4%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$0.85
-$1.17
-58.0%
$0.76
-$1.26
-62.4%
$0.09
10.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-35|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.140205,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 3.081,
"optimistic_value": 2.99,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 2.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T02:21:55.223530Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.149552,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 4.1175,
"optimistic_value": 4.1,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 3.56,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:22:44.557721Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.3184252,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 2.6535,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 2.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T22:36:48.873772Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.112164,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 1.41,
"optimistic_value": 1.41,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 1.2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:19:40.321086Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.18694,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 0.8474999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 0.83,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 0.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:30:31.913532Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.10655579999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4515a7cdcc74",
"realistic_value": 4.41,
"optimistic_value": 4.41,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike",
"conservative_value": 3.69,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:15:12.672103Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4515a7cdcc74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.1493641253,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f2567cfebfb7",
"realistic_value": 2.7605,
"optimistic_value": 2.68,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Control",
"conservative_value": 2.44,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T14:23:45.741024Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f2567cfebfb7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.18694,
"output_skin_id": "skin-aef077455139",
"realistic_value": 1.528,
"optimistic_value": 1.5,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Rising Sun",
"conservative_value": 1.17,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:11:41.011161Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aef077455139.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.17769563006,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ff75c4a68dbd",
"realistic_value": 1.19,
"optimistic_value": 1.19,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Wave Breaker",
"conservative_value": 1.09,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:10:15.554235Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ff75c4a68dbd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.130858,
"output_skin_id": "skin-27a11235665e",
"realistic_value": 2.54,
"optimistic_value": 2.54,
"output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Tosai",
"conservative_value": 2.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:27:42.829372Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-27a11235665e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_5c2e86e41ba009b54cd22159",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "514116741796781610",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:15:02.320604Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "642467916647706593",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:28:29.257194Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "523123091064930586",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:28:29.257194Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "494976338031886434",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:28:29.257194Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "650349216076116573",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:25:22.178253Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "514116741796781502",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:28:04.375081Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-78ea15f33e22",
"listing_id": "515242641501583693",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Resupply",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-78ea15f33e22.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:14:33.024478Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-038541568496",
"listing_id": "516368541588599606",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Nexus",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-038541568496.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:14:47.391491Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-038541568496",
"listing_id": "652599675000054662",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Nexus",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-038541568496.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:14:47.391491Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-78ea15f33e22",
"listing_id": "524248990830309435",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Resupply",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-78ea15f33e22.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:14:33.024478Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:6+collection-set-community-35:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Fever Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Serpent Strike 8.0% $4.41 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $4.12 Umbral Rabbit 12.0% $3.08 Rising Sun 8.0% $2.98 Control 8.0% $2.76 Sakkaku 12.0% $2.65 | $4.41 +73.6% | $2.76 +8.8% | 60.0% | +26.5% | $2.54 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Fever Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Serpent Strike 6.0% $4.41 Emphorosaur-S 14.0% $4.12 Umbral Rabbit 14.0% $3.08 Control 6.0% $2.76 Sakkaku 14.0% $2.65 Tosai 6.0% $2.54 | $4.41 +122.7% | $2.44 +23.4% | 60.0% | +42.1% | $1.98 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Fever Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Serpent Strike 10.0% $4.41 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $4.12 Umbral Rabbit 10.0% $3.08 Control 10.0% $2.76 Sakkaku 10.0% $2.65 Tosai 10.0% $2.54 | $4.41 +116.2% | $2.46 +20.5% | 60.0% | +41.3% | $2.04 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Fever Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Serpent Strike 12.0% $4.41 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $4.12 Umbral Rabbit 8.0% $3.08 Control 12.0% $2.76 Sakkaku 8.0% $2.65 Tosai 12.0% $2.54 | $4.41 +108.0% | $2.46 +16.0% | 60.0% | +40.1% | $2.12 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Fever Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Serpent Strike 14.0% $4.41 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $4.12 Umbral Rabbit 6.0% $3.08 Control 14.0% $2.76 Sakkaku 6.0% $2.65 Tosai 14.0% $2.54 | $4.41 +103.2% | $2.47 +13.7% | 60.0% | +39.4% | $2.17 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×2+The Fever Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Shinobu  26.7% $35.33 Searing Rage  26.7% $27.22 Duality  6.7% $18.23 K.O. Factory  26.7% $14.01 Wild Child  6.7% $10.25 Wicked Sick  6.7% $9.55 | $35.33 +85.6% | $22.95 +20.6% | 53.3% | +50.2% | $19.03 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×2+The Fever Collection ×8 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Printstream  40.0% $127.68 Bad Trip  40.0% $74.69 Temukau  10.0% $52.74 Head Shot  10.0% $46.53 | $127.68 +70.5% | $90.88 +21.3% | 40.0% | +42.0% | $74.89 | — |