The Revolution Collection ×6+The Fever Collection ×4
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Fragments
4x $0.29
Cyberforce
1x $0.34
Rebel
1x $1.88
Mockingbird
1x $0.42
Sure Grip
2x $0.58
Resupply
1x $1.80
↓
Possible Outputs
Rising Sun
8.0% $12.94
Emphorosaur-S
12.0% $11.80
Control
8.0% $10.05
Wave Breaker
8.0% $9.43
Serpent Strike
8.0% $8.70
Banana Cannon
12.0% $8.11
Max Win
$12.94 (+61.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$7.73 (-3.3%)
Win %
56.0%
Volatility
+41.1%
Cost
$7.99
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $7.99
Ask Price EV $7.73 (-3.3%)
Bid Price EV $6.83 (-14.5%)
Ask Profit $-0.26 (-3.3%)
Bid Profit $-1.16 (-14.5%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.89 (+11.2%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.26
Bid Slippage Buffer -$1.16
Risk
Win Probability 56.0%
Loss Probability 44.0%
Best Case $12.94 (+61.9%)
Worst Case $2.65 (-66.8%)
Volatility +41.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 32.0%
Avg Win +$2.15
Avg Loss -$3.33
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.65 (-66.8%)
Std Dev $3.29
Avg Norm Float 0.0699
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 19m
Oldest Output Price 150h 37m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Factory New
$0.80 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Factory New
$0.95 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Rebel
—
Factory New
$1.88 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Mockingbird
—
Minimal Wear
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Sure Grip
—
Minimal Wear
$0.58 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Sure Grip
—
Minimal Wear
$0.59 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Resupply
—
Factory New
$1.80 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 02M 50S //TOTAL COST $7.99 //ASK PRICE EV $7.73 //BID PRICE EV $6.83 //ASK PROFIT $-0.26 (-3.3%) //BID PROFIT $-1.16 (-14.5%) //WIN PROBABILITY 56.0% //BEST CASE $12.94 //VOLATILITY +41.1% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$12.94
+$4.95
+61.9%
$11.82
+$3.83
+47.9%
$1.12
8.6%
—
WIN
12.0%
$11.80
+$3.81
+47.7%
$10.16
+$2.17
+27.2%
$1.64
13.9%
—
WIN
8.0%
$10.05
+$2.06
+25.8%
$8.52
+$0.53
+6.6%
$1.53
15.2%
—
WIN
8.0%
$9.43
+$1.44
+18.0%
$8.98
+$0.99
+12.4%
$0.45
4.7%
—
PAPER WIN
8.0%
$8.70
+$0.71
+8.9%
$7.63
-$0.36
-4.5%
$1.07
12.3%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$8.11
+$0.12
+1.5%
$6.70
-$1.29
-16.1%
$1.41
17.4%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$7.37
-$0.62
-7.8%
$6.21
-$1.78
-22.3%
$1.16
15.7%
—
LOSS
8.0%
$5.82
-$2.17
-27.2%
$5.64
-$2.35
-29.4%
$0.18
3.1%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$3.17
-$4.82
-60.3%
$3.08
-$4.91
-61.5%
$0.09
2.9%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$2.65
-$5.34
-66.8%
$2.41
-$5.58
-69.8%
$0.24
9.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-35|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.052462499999999995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 7.365,
"optimistic_value": 7.33,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 6.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:12:27.926241Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.05596,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 11.804499999999999,
"optimistic_value": 11.5,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 10.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:54:46.328444Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.250571,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 2.6535,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 2.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T22:36:48.873772Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.04197,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 3.1735,
"optimistic_value": 3.1,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 3.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:23:15.249567Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.06995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 8.1115,
"optimistic_value": 8.01,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 6.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:05:35.927582Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.0398715,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4515a7cdcc74",
"realistic_value": 8.704,
"optimistic_value": 8.48,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike",
"conservative_value": 7.63,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:17:12.916885Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4515a7cdcc74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.05588970025,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f2567cfebfb7",
"realistic_value": 10.051,
"optimistic_value": 9.89,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Control",
"conservative_value": 8.52,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T23:11:45.509281Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f2567cfebfb7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.06995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-aef077455139",
"realistic_value": 12.938,
"optimistic_value": 12.49,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Rising Sun",
"conservative_value": 11.82,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:28:28.092412Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aef077455139.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.06649090255,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ff75c4a68dbd",
"realistic_value": 9.4255,
"optimistic_value": 9.1,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Wave Breaker",
"conservative_value": 8.98,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:15:04.659085Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ff75c4a68dbd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.048964999999999995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-27a11235665e",
"realistic_value": 5.818,
"optimistic_value": 5.72,
"output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Tosai",
"conservative_value": 5.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:22:54.425404Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-27a11235665e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_5c2e86e41ba009b54cd22159",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "514116741796781502",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:26.528205Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "517494441497397490",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:26.528205Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "519746241188332448",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:28:47.330922Z"
},
{
"price": 0.8,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "509613142167970671",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:20:53.674626Z"
},
{
"price": 0.95,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "521997988016650110",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:20:53.674626Z"
},
{
"price": 1.88,
"skin_id": "skin-e5141cf036fa",
"listing_id": "496102237882665215",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Rebel (Factory New)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Rebel",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5141cf036fa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:12:56.478834Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-e0eec3353ea4",
"listing_id": "510738192160619110",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | Mockingbird",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e0eec3353ea4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:31:46.274268Z"
},
{
"price": 0.58,
"skin_id": "skin-8bda61ff439a",
"listing_id": "622201718411883996",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Sure Grip",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8bda61ff439a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:26:07.069535Z"
},
{
"price": 0.59,
"skin_id": "skin-8bda61ff439a",
"listing_id": "626705318055649559",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Sure Grip",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8bda61ff439a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:26:07.069535Z"
},
{
"price": 1.8,
"skin_id": "skin-78ea15f33e22",
"listing_id": "500605092753353075",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Factory New)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Resupply",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-78ea15f33e22.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:17:57.811984Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:6+collection-set-community-35:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Fever Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Serpent Strike 8.0% $4.41 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $4.12 Umbral Rabbit 12.0% $3.08 Control 8.0% $2.76 Sakkaku 12.0% $2.65 Tosai 8.0% $2.54 | $4.41 +117.2% | $2.44 +20.4% | 60.0% | +41.5% | $2.03 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Fever Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $11.80 Control 8.0% $10.05 Serpent Strike 8.0% $8.70 Umbral Rabbit 12.0% $7.37 Tosai 8.0% $5.82 Neoqueen 12.0% $3.17 | $11.80 +129.7% | $5.61 +9.1% | 48.0% | +55.2% | $5.14 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Fever Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Serpent Strike 6.0% $4.41 Emphorosaur-S 14.0% $4.12 Umbral Rabbit 14.0% $3.08 Control 6.0% $2.76 Sakkaku 14.0% $2.65 Tosai 6.0% $2.54 | $4.41 +120.5% | $2.43 +21.6% | 60.0% | +42.0% | $2.00 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Fever Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Serpent Strike 10.0% $4.41 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $4.12 Umbral Rabbit 10.0% $3.08 Control 10.0% $2.76 Sakkaku 10.0% $2.65 Tosai 10.0% $2.54 | $4.41 +116.2% | $2.44 +19.8% | 60.0% | +41.6% | $2.04 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Fever Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Serpent Strike 12.0% $4.41 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $4.12 Umbral Rabbit 8.0% $3.08 Control 12.0% $2.76 Sakkaku 8.0% $2.65 Tosai 12.0% $2.54 | $4.41 +111.0% | $2.45 +17.3% | 60.0% | +40.9% | $2.09 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Fever Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Serpent Strike 14.0% $4.41 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $4.12 Umbral Rabbit 6.0% $3.08 Control 14.0% $2.76 Sakkaku 6.0% $2.65 Tosai 14.0% $2.54 | $4.41 +105.1% | $2.46 +14.3% | 60.0% | +40.0% | $2.15 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Fever Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Shinobu  23.3% $35.33 Searing Rage  23.3% $26.81 Duality  10.0% $18.23 K.O. Factory  23.3% $14.00 Wild Child  10.0% $10.25 Wicked Sick  10.0% $9.57 | $35.33 +96.1% | $21.57 +19.8% | 56.7% | +53.3% | $18.01 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Fever Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Printstream  30.0% $127.68 Bad Trip  30.0% $74.69 Temukau  20.0% $52.74 Head Shot  20.0% $46.53 | $127.68 +89.5% | $80.57 +19.6% | 60.0% | +48.4% | $67.38 | — |