The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Fever Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Hideout
2x $0.29
Motorized
1x $0.35
Nexus
3x $0.19
Resupply
2x $0.27
Sure Grip
2x $0.32
↓
Possible Outputs
Etch Lord
6.0% $4.45
Serpent Strike
14.0% $4.41
Block-18
6.0% $4.19
Just Smile
6.0% $3.31
Rising Sun
14.0% $2.99
Control
14.0% $2.76
Max Win
$4.45 (+57.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.12 (+10.1%)
Win %
46.0%
Volatility
+28.0%
Cost
$2.83
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $2.83
Ask Price EV $3.12 (+10.1%)
Bid Price EV $2.77 (-2.0%)
Ask Profit $0.29 (+10.1%)
Bid Profit $-0.06 (-2.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.34 (+12.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.29
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.06
Risk
Win Probability 46.0%
Loss Probability 54.0%
Best Case $4.45 (+57.2%)
Worst Case $1.97 (-30.4%)
Volatility +28.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 6.0%
Avg Win +$0.98
Avg Loss -$0.30
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.97 (-30.4%)
Std Dev $0.79
Avg Norm Float 0.1492
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 14m
Oldest Output Price 138h 53m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Minimal Wear
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Nexus
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Nexus
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Nexus
—
Field-Tested
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Resupply
—
Field-Tested
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Resupply
—
Field-Tested
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Sure Grip
—
Minimal Wear
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Sure Grip
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 38M 33S //TOTAL COST $2.83 //ASK PRICE EV $3.12 //BID PRICE EV $2.77 //ASK PROFIT $0.29 (+10.1%) //BID PROFIT $-0.06 (-2.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 46.0% //BEST CASE $4.45 //VOLATILITY +28.0% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$4.45
+$1.62
+57.2%
$3.86
+$1.03
+36.4%
$0.59
13.2%
—
BIG WIN
14.0%
$4.41
+$1.58
+55.8%
$3.69
+$0.86
+30.4%
$0.72
16.3%
—
WIN
6.0%
$4.19
+$1.36
+48.1%
$3.88
+$1.05
+37.1%
$0.31
7.4%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$3.31
+$0.48
+17.0%
$2.85
+$0.02
+0.7%
$0.46
13.9%
—
SMALL WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$2.99
+$0.16
+5.6%
$2.88
+$0.05
+1.8%
$0.11
3.6%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$2.76
-$0.07
-2.5%
$2.44
-$0.39
-13.8%
$0.32
11.6%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$2.65
-$0.18
-6.4%
$2.60
-$0.23
-8.1%
$0.05
1.9%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$2.54
-$0.29
-10.2%
$2.16
-$0.67
-23.7%
$0.38
15.0%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$2.47
-$0.36
-12.9%
$2.20
-$0.63
-22.3%
$0.27
10.8%
—
LOSS
6.0%
$1.97
-$0.86
-30.4%
$1.86
-$0.97
-34.3%
$0.11
5.6%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-35|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.08502119999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4515a7cdcc74",
"realistic_value": 4.41,
"optimistic_value": 4.41,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike",
"conservative_value": 3.69,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:15:12.672103Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4515a7cdcc74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.11917809419999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f2567cfebfb7",
"realistic_value": 2.7605,
"optimistic_value": 2.68,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Control",
"conservative_value": 2.44,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T14:23:45.741024Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f2567cfebfb7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.14916,
"output_skin_id": "skin-aef077455139",
"realistic_value": 2.9885,
"optimistic_value": 2.95,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Rising Sun",
"conservative_value": 2.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:59:42.068871Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aef077455139.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.14178388883999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ff75c4a68dbd",
"realistic_value": 2.4655,
"optimistic_value": 2.42,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Wave Breaker",
"conservative_value": 2.2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:50:10.085515Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ff75c4a68dbd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.10441199999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-27a11235665e",
"realistic_value": 2.54,
"optimistic_value": 2.54,
"output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Tosai",
"conservative_value": 2.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:27:42.829372Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-27a11235665e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.14916,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 2.65,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 2.6,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:04:00.855365Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.100216875,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 4.1905,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 3.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:50.971922Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.14916,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 4.4475,
"optimistic_value": 4.43,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 3.86,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:47.747830Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.14916,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 3.311,
"optimistic_value": 3.29,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 2.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:03:39.572575Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.09230915759999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 1.9705,
"optimistic_value": 1.96,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.86,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:03:54.483836Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_563710ec4f4472b31f52ee8b",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "525375688036689127",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:53:58.648739Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "529879287550796148",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:53:58.648739Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "528753335314258353",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:59:28.008674Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-038541568496",
"listing_id": "508486392208709966",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Nexus",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-038541568496.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:58:43.441543Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-038541568496",
"listing_id": "652599675000054662",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Nexus",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-038541568496.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:58:43.441543Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-038541568496",
"listing_id": "501730992854967701",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Nexus",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-038541568496.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:58:43.441543Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-78ea15f33e22",
"listing_id": "524248990830309435",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Resupply",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-78ea15f33e22.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:58:18.014505Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-78ea15f33e22",
"listing_id": "524248990848606867",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Resupply",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-78ea15f33e22.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:58:18.014505Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-8bda61ff439a",
"listing_id": "523123835629008910",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Sure Grip",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8bda61ff439a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:56:39.281802Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-8bda61ff439a",
"listing_id": "499479989896003765",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Sure Grip",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8bda61ff439a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:56:39.281802Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-33:3+collection-set-community-35:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Fever Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Serpent Strike 14.0% $4.41 Block-18 6.0% $4.19 Tosai 14.0% $2.54 Etch Lord 6.0% $2.49 Analog Input 6.0% $1.97 Rising Sun 14.0% $1.61 | $4.41 +121.6% | $2.23 +11.9% | 40.0% | +49.6% | $1.99 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Fever Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Etch Lord 6.0% $13.06 Rising Sun 14.0% $12.22 Wave Breaker 14.0% $10.41 Control 14.0% $10.05 Just Smile 6.0% $9.42 Block-18 6.0% $8.90 | $13.06 +44.0% | $9.23 +1.7% | 54.0% | +17.2% | $9.07 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×8+The Fever Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 16.0% $4.45 Serpent Strike 4.0% $4.41 Block-18 16.0% $4.19 Just Smile 16.0% $3.31 Rising Sun 4.0% $2.99 Control 4.0% $2.76 | $4.45 +62.3% | $3.26 +18.9% | 60.0% | +24.0% | $2.74 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×7+The Fever Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 14.0% $4.45 Serpent Strike 6.0% $4.41 Block-18 14.0% $4.19 Just Smile 14.0% $3.31 Rising Sun 6.0% $2.99 Control 6.0% $2.76 | $4.45 +63.5% | $3.23 +18.7% | 60.0% | +24.3% | $2.72 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×9+The Fever Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 18.0% $4.45 Serpent Strike 2.0% $4.41 Block-18 18.0% $4.19 Just Smile 18.0% $3.32 Rising Sun 2.0% $2.99 Control 2.0% $2.76 | $4.45 +60.6% | $3.29 +18.7% | 58.0% | +23.5% | $2.77 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×6+The Fever Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Serpent Strike 8.0% $4.41 Block-18 12.0% $4.19 Tosai 8.0% $2.54 Etch Lord 12.0% $2.49 Analog Input 12.0% $1.97 Rising Sun 8.0% $1.61 | $4.41 +129.7% | $2.27 +18.0% | 52.0% | +48.5% | $1.92 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×5+The Fever Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 10.0% $4.45 Serpent Strike 10.0% $4.41 Block-18 10.0% $4.19 Just Smile 10.0% $3.31 Rising Sun 10.0% $2.99 Control 10.0% $2.76 | $4.45 +62.9% | $3.17 +16.2% | 60.0% | +24.3% | $2.73 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×4+The Fever Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Serpent Strike 12.0% $4.41 Block-18 8.0% $4.19 Tosai 12.0% $2.54 Etch Lord 8.0% $2.49 Analog Input 8.0% $1.97 Rising Sun 12.0% $1.61 | $4.41 +128.5% | $2.24 +16.1% | 48.0% | +50.2% | $1.93 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×6+The Fever Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Black Lotus  20.0% $23.51 Searing Rage  13.3% $15.95 Jawbreaker  20.0% $14.90 Shinobu  13.3% $14.72 Olympus  20.0% $8.96 K.O. Factory  13.3% $8.23 | $23.51 +91.9% | $14.66 +19.7% | 66.7% | +43.1% | $12.25 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×5+The Fever Collection ×5 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Inheritance  25.0% $135.61 Printstream  25.0% $127.68 Bad Trip  25.0% $74.69 Chrome Cannon  25.0% $64.35 | $135.61 +53.1% | $100.58 +13.5% | 50.0% | +35.4% | $88.59 | — |