The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Fever Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Hideout
1x $0.18
Slag
1x $0.19
Light Box
1x $0.21
Mockingbird
3x $0.15
Resupply
1x $0.18
Nexus
3x $0.19
↓
Possible Outputs
Serpent Strike
14.0% $4.41
Block-18
6.0% $4.19
Tosai
14.0% $2.54
Etch Lord
6.0% $2.49
Analog Input
6.0% $1.97
Rising Sun
14.0% $1.61
Max Win
$4.41 (+121.6%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.23 (+11.9%)
Win %
40.0%
Volatility
+58.2%
Cost
$1.99
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $1.99
Ask Price EV $2.23 (+11.9%)
Bid Price EV $1.92 (-3.5%)
Ask Profit $0.24 (+11.9%)
Bid Profit $-0.07 (-3.5%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.31 (+15.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.24
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.07
Risk
Win Probability 40.0%
Loss Probability 60.0%
Best Case $4.41 (+121.6%)
Worst Case $1.19 (-40.2%)
Volatility +58.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 34.0%
Avg Win +$1.44
Avg Loss -$0.57
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.19 (-40.2%)
Std Dev $1.16
Avg Norm Float 0.2132
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 138h 53m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Mockingbird
—
Field-Tested
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Mockingbird
—
Field-Tested
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Resupply
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Nexus
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Nexus
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Nexus
—
Field-Tested
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Mockingbird
—
Field-Tested
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 38M 26S //TOTAL COST $1.99 //ASK PRICE EV $2.23 //BID PRICE EV $1.92 //ASK PROFIT $0.24 (+11.9%) //BID PROFIT $-0.07 (-3.5%) //WIN PROBABILITY 40.0% //BEST CASE $4.41 //VOLATILITY +58.2% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
14.0%
$4.41
+$2.42
+121.6%
$3.69
+$1.70
+85.4%
$0.72
16.3%
—
BIG WIN
6.0%
$4.19
+$2.20
+110.6%
$3.88
+$1.89
+95.0%
$0.31
7.4%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$2.54
+$0.55
+27.6%
$2.16
+$0.17
+8.5%
$0.38
15.0%
—
WIN
6.0%
$2.49
+$0.50
+25.1%
$2.18
+$0.19
+9.5%
$0.31
12.4%
—
LOSS
6.0%
$1.97
-$0.02
-1.0%
$1.86
-$0.13
-6.5%
$0.11
5.6%
—
LOSS THIN BID
14.0%
$1.61
-$0.38
-19.0%
$1.17
-$0.82
-41.2%
$0.44
27.4%
—
LOSS
6.0%
$1.52
-$0.47
-23.7%
$1.43
-$0.56
-28.1%
$0.09
5.8%
—
LOSS
6.0%
$1.43
-$0.56
-28.1%
$1.39
-$0.60
-30.2%
$0.04
2.9%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$1.19
-$0.80
-40.2%
$1.01
-$0.98
-49.2%
$0.18
15.1%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$1.19
-$0.80
-40.2%
$1.09
-$0.90
-45.2%
$0.10
8.4%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-35|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.121524,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4515a7cdcc74",
"realistic_value": 4.41,
"optimistic_value": 4.41,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike",
"conservative_value": 3.69,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:15:12.672103Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4515a7cdcc74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.170345734,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f2567cfebfb7",
"realistic_value": 1.19,
"optimistic_value": 1.19,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Control",
"conservative_value": 1.01,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:07:54.434631Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f2567cfebfb7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.2132,
"output_skin_id": "skin-aef077455139",
"realistic_value": 1.6115,
"optimistic_value": 1.58,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Rising Sun",
"conservative_value": 1.17,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:56:43.455057Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aef077455139.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.2026570468,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ff75c4a68dbd",
"realistic_value": 1.19,
"optimistic_value": 1.19,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Wave Breaker",
"conservative_value": 1.09,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:09:09.166994Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ff75c4a68dbd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.14923999999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-27a11235665e",
"realistic_value": 2.54,
"optimistic_value": 2.54,
"output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Tosai",
"conservative_value": 2.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:27:42.829372Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-27a11235665e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.2132,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 1.431,
"optimistic_value": 1.41,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 1.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:42:33.149299Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.14324375,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 4.1905,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 3.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:50.971922Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.2132,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 2.49,
"optimistic_value": 2.49,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 2.18,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:53.048611Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.2132,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 1.5175,
"optimistic_value": 1.5,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 1.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:04:03.516574Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.131940952,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 1.9705,
"optimistic_value": 1.96,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.86,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:03:54.483836Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_563710ec4f4472b31f52ee8b",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "528753387756713457",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:59:21.683034Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "498353293087098595",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:59:29.882392Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "514116523130036718",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:51:22.179561Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-e0eec3353ea4",
"listing_id": "518620288313748532",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested)",
"name": "XM1014 | Mockingbird",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e0eec3353ea4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:45:52.689841Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-e0eec3353ea4",
"listing_id": "505109489448500852",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested)",
"name": "XM1014 | Mockingbird",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e0eec3353ea4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:45:52.689841Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-78ea15f33e22",
"listing_id": "526501535293091861",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Resupply",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-78ea15f33e22.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:58:18.014505Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-038541568496",
"listing_id": "508486392208709966",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Nexus",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-038541568496.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:58:43.441543Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-038541568496",
"listing_id": "652599675000054662",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Nexus",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-038541568496.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:58:43.441543Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-038541568496",
"listing_id": "501730992854967701",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Nexus",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-038541568496.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:58:43.441543Z"
},
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-e0eec3353ea4",
"listing_id": "524248990824501231",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested)",
"name": "XM1014 | Mockingbird",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e0eec3353ea4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:45:52.689841Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-33:3+collection-set-community-35:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Fever Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 6.0% $4.45 Serpent Strike 14.0% $4.41 Block-18 6.0% $4.19 Just Smile 6.0% $3.31 Rising Sun 14.0% $2.99 Control 14.0% $2.76 | $4.45 +57.2% | $3.12 +10.1% | 46.0% | +23.2% | $2.83 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Fever Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Etch Lord 6.0% $13.06 Rising Sun 14.0% $12.22 Wave Breaker 14.0% $10.41 Control 14.0% $10.05 Just Smile 6.0% $9.42 Block-18 6.0% $8.90 | $13.06 +44.0% | $9.23 +1.7% | 54.0% | +17.2% | $9.07 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×8+The Fever Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 16.0% $4.45 Serpent Strike 4.0% $4.41 Block-18 16.0% $4.19 Just Smile 16.0% $3.31 Rising Sun 4.0% $2.99 Control 4.0% $2.76 | $4.45 +62.3% | $3.26 +18.9% | 60.0% | +24.0% | $2.74 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×7+The Fever Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 14.0% $4.45 Serpent Strike 6.0% $4.41 Block-18 14.0% $4.19 Just Smile 14.0% $3.31 Rising Sun 6.0% $2.99 Control 6.0% $2.76 | $4.45 +63.5% | $3.23 +18.7% | 60.0% | +24.3% | $2.72 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×9+The Fever Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 18.0% $4.45 Serpent Strike 2.0% $4.41 Block-18 18.0% $4.19 Just Smile 18.0% $3.32 Rising Sun 2.0% $2.99 Control 2.0% $2.76 | $4.45 +60.6% | $3.29 +18.7% | 58.0% | +23.5% | $2.77 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×6+The Fever Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Serpent Strike 8.0% $4.41 Block-18 12.0% $4.19 Tosai 8.0% $2.54 Etch Lord 12.0% $2.49 Analog Input 12.0% $1.97 Rising Sun 8.0% $1.61 | $4.41 +129.7% | $2.27 +18.0% | 52.0% | +48.5% | $1.92 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×5+The Fever Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Etch Lord 10.0% $4.45 Serpent Strike 10.0% $4.41 Block-18 10.0% $4.19 Just Smile 10.0% $3.31 Rising Sun 10.0% $2.99 Control 10.0% $2.76 | $4.45 +62.9% | $3.17 +16.2% | 60.0% | +24.3% | $2.73 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×4+The Fever Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Serpent Strike 12.0% $4.41 Block-18 8.0% $4.19 Tosai 12.0% $2.54 Etch Lord 8.0% $2.49 Analog Input 8.0% $1.97 Rising Sun 12.0% $1.61 | $4.41 +128.5% | $2.24 +16.1% | 48.0% | +50.2% | $1.93 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×6+The Fever Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Black Lotus  20.0% $23.51 Searing Rage  13.3% $15.95 Jawbreaker  20.0% $14.90 Shinobu  13.3% $14.72 Olympus  20.0% $8.96 K.O. Factory  13.3% $8.23 | $23.51 +91.9% | $14.66 +19.7% | 66.7% | +43.1% | $12.25 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×5+The Fever Collection ×5 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Inheritance  25.0% $135.61 Printstream  25.0% $127.68 Bad Trip  25.0% $74.69 Chrome Cannon  25.0% $64.35 | $135.61 +53.1% | $100.58 +13.5% | 50.0% | +35.4% | $88.59 | — |