The 2018 Nuke Collection ×5+The Achroma Collection ×5
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade MW 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear
Inputs
Cold Fusion
2x $0.07
Mainframe
3x $0.09
Dark Chamber
3x $0.09
Vendetta
2x $0.10
↓
Possible Outputs
Acheron
12.5% $2.65
Exchanger
12.5% $2.44
Co-Processor
12.5% $2.26
Facility Negative
12.5% $2.23
The Daily Deagle
12.5% $1.04
Creep
12.5% $0.90
Max Win
$2.65 (+105.4%)
EV (ROI %)
$1.62 (+26.0%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+60.8%
Cost
$1.29
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $1.29
Ask Price EV $1.62 (+26.0%)
Bid Price EV $1.48 (+14.6%)
Ask Profit $0.33 (+26.0%)
Bid Profit $0.19 (+14.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.15 (+11.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.33
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.19
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $2.65 (+105.4%)
Worst Case $0.70 (-45.5%)
Volatility +60.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 37.5%
Avg Win +$1.10
Avg Loss -$0.43
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.70 (-45.5%)
Std Dev $0.78
Avg Norm Float 0.1399
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Stale
Oldest Input Price 11m
Oldest Output Price 24m
Fill Confidence Medium
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
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Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Galil AR | Cold Fusion
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Mainframe
—
Minimal Wear
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Mainframe
—
Minimal Wear
$0.11 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Mainframe
—
Minimal Wear
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Cold Fusion
—
Minimal Wear
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber
—
Minimal Wear
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
FAMAS | Vendetta
—
Minimal Wear
$0.10 Float: HIDDEN
FAMAS | Vendetta
—
Minimal Wear
$0.11 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber
—
Minimal Wear
$0.11 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber
—
Minimal Wear
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 35M 26S //TOTAL COST $1.29 //ASK PRICE EV $1.62 //BID PRICE EV $1.48 //ASK PROFIT $0.33 (+26.0%) //BID PROFIT $0.19 (+14.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $2.65 //VOLATILITY +60.8% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
12.5%
$2.65
+$1.36
+105.4%
$2.19
+$0.90
+69.8%
$0.46
17.4%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.5%
$2.44
+$1.15
+89.3%
$2.37
+$1.08
+83.7%
$0.07
2.9%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.5%
$2.26
+$0.97
+75.2%
$2.04
+$0.75
+58.1%
$0.22
9.7%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.5%
$2.23
+$0.94
+72.6%
$2.16
+$0.87
+67.4%
$0.07
3.0%
—
LOSS
12.5%
$1.04
-$0.25
-19.2%
$0.84
-$0.45
-34.9%
$0.20
19.4%
—
LOSS
12.5%
$0.90
-$0.39
-30.4%
$0.86
-$0.43
-33.3%
$0.04
4.2%
—
LOSS
12.5%
$0.78
-$0.51
-39.7%
$0.71
-$0.58
-45.0%
$0.07
8.7%
—
NUKE
12.5%
$0.70
-$0.59
-45.5%
$0.66
-$0.63
-48.8%
$0.04
6.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-nuke-2|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.111904,
"output_skin_id": "skin-784a6c99447c",
"realistic_value": 0.8975,
"optimistic_value": 0.88,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Creep",
"conservative_value": 0.86,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:13:22.062356Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-784a6c99447c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.11610039999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9e9b9cd050d5",
"realistic_value": 2.65,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Acheron",
"conservative_value": 2.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Acheron (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:09:49.877905Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9e9b9cd050d5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.08113039999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
"realistic_value": 1.042,
"optimistic_value": 1,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
"conservative_value": 0.84,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:10:23.825544Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.06994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1a3115020d99",
"realistic_value": 2.26,
"optimistic_value": 2.26,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor",
"conservative_value": 2.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:57:15.948497Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1a3115020d99.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.10491,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"realistic_value": 0.7775000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 0.76,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"conservative_value": 0.71,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:57:40.970736Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.06994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4609f8421163",
"realistic_value": 2.4415,
"optimistic_value": 2.41,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Exchanger",
"conservative_value": 2.37,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Exchanger (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:15:42.499198Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4609f8421163.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.090922,
"output_skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"realistic_value": 0.7034999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 0.7,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"conservative_value": 0.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:05:06.017464Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.06994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ddc69b0796bd",
"realistic_value": 2.2270000000000003,
"optimistic_value": 2.22,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Facility Negative",
"conservative_value": 2.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:55:00.964814Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ddc69b0796bd.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_54c7d784b22fee5c9da26e65",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-373e7e49f479",
"listing_id": "496102290328404239",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-373e7e49f479.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:16:27.079108Z"
},
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-810cb4b6d950",
"listing_id": "519746188258517912",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Mainframe (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Mainframe",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-810cb4b6d950.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:16:33.753508Z"
},
{
"price": 0.11,
"skin_id": "skin-810cb4b6d950",
"listing_id": "510738936594594550",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Mainframe (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Mainframe",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-810cb4b6d950.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:16:33.753508Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-810cb4b6d950",
"listing_id": "497227393161145157",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Mainframe (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Mainframe",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-810cb4b6d950.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:16:33.753508Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-373e7e49f479",
"listing_id": "497228137696325273",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-373e7e49f479.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:09:30.615333Z"
},
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-f41134aec544",
"listing_id": "526501587737327849",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f41134aec544.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:07:50.229658Z"
},
{
"price": 0.1,
"skin_id": "skin-7f85393d2fb1",
"listing_id": "517494388633142950",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Vendetta (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "FAMAS | Vendetta",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7f85393d2fb1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:13:41.852572Z"
},
{
"price": 0.11,
"skin_id": "skin-7f85393d2fb1",
"listing_id": "516368436281919014",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Vendetta (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "FAMAS | Vendetta",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7f85393d2fb1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:13:41.852572Z"
},
{
"price": 0.11,
"skin_id": "skin-f41134aec544",
"listing_id": "518620288313931952",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f41134aec544.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:07:50.229658Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-f41134aec544",
"listing_id": "514116688949050098",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f41134aec544.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:07:50.229658Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-nuke-2:5+collection-set-timed-drops-achroma:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The 2018 Nuke Collection ×5+The Achroma Collection ×5 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Acheron 12.5% $2.65 The Daily Deagle 12.5% $1.04 Creep 12.5% $0.90 Grip Tape 12.5% $0.78 Aeolian Light 12.5% $0.70 Facility Negative 12.5% $0.45 | $2.65 +204.6% | $0.92 +5.2% | 37.5% | +73.9% | $0.87 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The 2018 Nuke Collection ×4+The Achroma Collection ×6 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Acheron 10.0% $2.65 Exchanger 10.0% $2.44 Co-Processor 10.0% $2.26 Facility Negative 10.0% $2.23 The Daily Deagle 15.0% $1.04 Creep 15.0% $0.90 | $2.65 +103.8% | $1.47 +13.1% | 40.0% | +50.4% | $1.30 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The 2018 Nuke Collection ×1+The Achroma Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough  45.0% $12.25 Nuclear Garden  3.3% $8.25 Trace Lock  45.0% $4.59 Random Access  3.3% $4.52 Core Breach  3.3% $1.51 | $12.25 +92.2% | $8.05 +26.4% | 48.3% | +61.1% | $6.37 | — |