The Recoil Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8

Restricted Classified WW ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted Classified Well-Worn StatTrak™
Inputs
Crazy 8
R8 Revolver | Crazy 8
2x $0.83
Amberline
MP7 | Amberline
8x $2.08
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
26.7% $45.29
Ice Coaled
AK-47 | Ice Coaled
6.7% $16.45
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
26.7% $10.22
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
26.7% $7.96
Visions
P250 | Visions
6.7% $6.87
Kiss♥Love
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
6.7% $5.85
Max Win
$45.29 (+120.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$18.87 (-8.0%)
Win %
26.7%
Volatility
+78.5%
Cost
$20.50
Age
Financials
Total Cost $20.50
Ask Price EV $18.87 (-8.0%)
Bid Price EV $17.09 (-16.6%)
Ask Profit $-1.63 (-8.0%)
Bid Profit $-3.41 (-16.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.78 (+8.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$1.63
Bid Slippage Buffer -$3.41
Risk
Win Probability 26.7%
Loss Probability 73.3%
Best Case $45.29 (+120.9%)
Worst Case $5.85 (-71.4%)
Volatility +78.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 66.7%
Avg Win +$24.78
Avg Loss -$11.24
Bottom 5% Outcome $5.85 (-71.4%)
Std Dev $16.10
Avg Norm Float 0.4232
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 12m
Oldest Output Price 142h 44m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
R8 Revolver | Crazy 8
Well-Worn
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Well-Worn)
$0.83 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Crazy 8
Well-Worn
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Well-Worn)
$0.89 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
Battle-Scarred
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)
$2.08 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
Battle-Scarred
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)
$2.09 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
Battle-Scarred
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)
$2.15 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
Well-Worn
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)
$2.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
Well-Worn
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)
$2.31 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
Well-Worn
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)
$2.33 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
Well-Worn
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)
$2.34 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)
$3.18 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 37M 03S //TOTAL COST $20.50 //ASK PRICE EV $18.87 //BID PRICE EV $17.09 //ASK PROFIT $-1.63 (-8.0%) //BID PROFIT $-3.41 (-16.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 26.7% //BEST CASE $45.29 //VOLATILITY +78.5% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Click Spin to start.
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-31|Restricted|stattrak",
      "item_count": 2,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-31"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
      "item_count": 8,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.26666666666666666,
      "output_float": 0.42321,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
      "realistic_value": 45.285,
      "optimistic_value": 44.9,
      "output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
      "conservative_value": 41.72,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.425805Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.26666666666666666,
      "output_float": 0.42321,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
      "realistic_value": 7.96,
      "optimistic_value": 7.89,
      "output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
      "conservative_value": 7.67,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:47:04.383011Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.26666666666666666,
      "output_float": 0.42321,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
      "realistic_value": 10.2155,
      "optimistic_value": 10.17,
      "output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
      "conservative_value": 8.25,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:47:03.108572Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.06666666666666667,
      "output_float": 0.3258717,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-f10cd3871578",
      "realistic_value": 16.448999999999998,
      "optimistic_value": 16.33,
      "output_full_name": "AK-47 | Ice Coaled",
      "conservative_value": 14.54,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Recoil Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:11:51.015917Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f10cd3871578.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.06666666666666667,
      "output_float": 0.296247,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-5f1071439b89",
      "realistic_value": 6.8740000000000006,
      "optimistic_value": 6.86,
      "output_full_name": "P250 | Visions",
      "conservative_value": 5.7,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Recoil Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:14:30.700437Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f1071439b89.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.06666666666666667,
      "output_float": 0.42321,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-6f81f65a9d91",
      "realistic_value": 5.8545,
      "optimistic_value": 5.83,
      "output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love",
      "conservative_value": 5.55,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Recoil Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:24:10.735270Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f81f65a9d91.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_51a83cd3591beab7fa3fd460",
  "input_rarity": "Restricted",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 0.83,
      "skin_id": "skin-ab0f49fac59d",
      "listing_id": "509613089304546327",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "R8 Revolver | Crazy 8",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ab0f49fac59d.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:44:32.568146Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.89,
      "skin_id": "skin-ab0f49fac59d",
      "listing_id": "526501535293214369",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "R8 Revolver | Crazy 8",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ab0f49fac59d.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:44:32.568146Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.08,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "507361289452694821",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:05.348438Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.09,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "514116688949678190",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:05.348438Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.15,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "490472738292168531",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:05.348438Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.3,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "525375635593980187",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.31,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "505109489448722396",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.33,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "507361237008630373",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.34,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "492724538182385829",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 3.18,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "502857689861474128",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:48:59.510287Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Classified",
  "stattrak_mode": true,
  "composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-31:2+collection-set-community-37:8"
}
Related

Related contracts

Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Recoil Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Restricted Classified Minimal Wear ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
26.7% $126.41
Ice Coaled
AK-47 | Ice Coaled
6.7% $28.04
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
26.7% $22.62
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
26.7% $21.23
Kiss♥Love
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
6.7% $13.55
Visions
P250 | Visions
6.7% $10.49
$126.41
+210.2%
$48.87
+19.9%
26.7%+115.1%$40.75
The Recoil Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Restricted Classified Field-Tested ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
26.7% $63.86
Ice Coaled
AK-47 | Ice Coaled
6.7% $16.45
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
26.7% $12.65
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
26.7% $10.67
Visions
P250 | Visions
6.7% $6.87
Kiss♥Love
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
6.7% $6.54
$63.86
+197.3%
$25.24
+17.5%
26.7%+108.9%$21.48
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Recoil Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Restricted Classified Factory New ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
23.3% $290.04
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
23.3% $65.51
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
23.3% $61.47
Ice Coaled
AK-47 | Ice Coaled
10.0% $58.75
Kiss♥Love
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
10.0% $58.41
Visions
P250 | Visions
10.0% $20.65
$290.04
+248.7%
$111.08
+33.6%
23.3%+119.6%$83.17
The Recoil Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6
Restricted Classified Factory New ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
20.0% $290.04
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
20.0% $65.51
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
20.0% $61.47
Ice Coaled
AK-47 | Ice Coaled
13.3% $58.75
Kiss♥Love
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
13.3% $58.41
Visions
P250 | Visions
13.3% $20.65
$290.04
+270.0%
$101.78
+29.8%
20.0%+121.4%$78.40
The Recoil Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5
Restricted Classified Factory New ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
16.7% $290.04
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
16.7% $65.51
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
16.7% $61.47
Ice Coaled
AK-47 | Ice Coaled
16.7% $58.75
Kiss♥Love
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
16.7% $58.41
Visions
P250 | Visions
16.7% $20.65
$290.04
+295.6%
$92.47
+26.1%
16.7%+122.2%$73.32
The Recoil Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4
Restricted Classified Field-Tested ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
13.3% $63.86
Ice Coaled
AK-47 | Ice Coaled
20.0% $16.45
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
13.3% $12.65
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
13.3% $11.91
Visions
P250 | Visions
20.0% $6.87
Kiss♥Love
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
20.0% $6.54
$63.86
+341.0%
$17.76
+22.7%
33.3%+127.5%$14.48
The Recoil Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3
Restricted Classified Field-Tested ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
10.0% $63.86
Ice Coaled
AK-47 | Ice Coaled
23.3% $16.45
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
10.0% $12.65
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
10.0% $11.91
Visions
P250 | Visions
23.3% $6.87
Kiss♥Love
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
23.3% $6.54
$63.86
+392.4%
$15.81
+21.9%
33.3%+127.2%$12.97
The Recoil Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2
Restricted Classified Field-Tested ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
6.7% $63.86
Ice Coaled
AK-47 | Ice Coaled
26.7% $16.45
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
6.7% $12.65
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
6.7% $11.91
Visions
P250 | Visions
26.7% $6.87
Kiss♥Love
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
26.7% $6.54
$63.86
+426.0%
$13.86
+14.1%
40.0%+115.4%$12.14
The Recoil Collection ×9+The Dead Hand Collection ×1
Restricted Classified Field-Tested ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
3.3% $63.86
Ice Coaled
AK-47 | Ice Coaled
30.0% $16.45
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
3.3% $12.65
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
3.3% $11.91
Visions
P250 | Visions
30.0% $6.87
Kiss♥Love
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
30.0% $6.54
$63.86
+480.5%
$11.91
+8.2%
40.0%+96.4%$11.00
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Recoil Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade Restricted Field-Tested ST
Electrum
M4A1-S | Electrum
16.0% $10.69
Firebreathing
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing
16.0% $6.12
Galigator
Galil AR | Galigator
16.0% $3.26
Amberline
MP7 | Amberline
16.0% $3.22
Urban Sovereign
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
16.0% $3.19
Crazy 8
R8 Revolver | Crazy 8
4.0% $1.16
$10.69
+216.4%
$4.45
+31.6%
32.0%+82.8%$3.38
FS

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