The Recoil Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Restricted → Classified WW ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Well-Worn StatTrak™
Inputs
Crazy 8

2x $0.83
Amberline

8x $2.08
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight

26.7% $45.29
Ice Coaled

6.7% $16.45
Deathgaze

26.7% $10.22
Kintsugi

26.7% $7.96
Visions

6.7% $6.87
Kiss♥Love

6.7% $5.85
Max Win
$45.29 (+120.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$18.87 (-8.0%)
Win %
26.7%
Volatility
+78.5%
Cost
$20.50
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $20.50
Ask Price EV $18.87 (-8.0%)
Bid Price EV $17.09 (-16.6%)
Ask Profit $-1.63 (-8.0%)
Bid Profit $-3.41 (-16.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.78 (+8.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$1.63
Bid Slippage Buffer -$3.41
Risk
Win Probability 26.7%
Loss Probability 73.3%
Best Case $45.29 (+120.9%)
Worst Case $5.85 (-71.4%)
Volatility +78.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 66.7%
Avg Win +$24.78
Avg Loss -$11.24
Bottom 5% Outcome $5.85 (-71.4%)
Std Dev $16.10
Avg Norm Float 0.4232
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 12m
Oldest Output Price 142h 44m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
R8 Revolver | Crazy 8
—
Well-Worn

$0.83 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Crazy 8
—
Well-Worn

$0.89 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred

$2.08 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred

$2.09 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred

$2.15 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn

$2.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn

$2.31 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn

$2.33 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn

$2.34 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested

$3.18 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 37M 03S //TOTAL COST $20.50 //ASK PRICE EV $18.87 //BID PRICE EV $17.09 //ASK PROFIT $-1.63 (-8.0%) //BID PROFIT $-3.41 (-16.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 26.7% //BEST CASE $45.29 //VOLATILITY +78.5% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated

BIG WIN
26.7%
$45.29
+$24.78
+120.9%
$41.72
+$21.22
+103.5%
$3.56
7.9%
—

LOSS
6.7%
$16.45
-$4.05
-19.8%
$14.54
-$5.96
-29.1%
$1.91
11.6%
—

NUKE
26.7%
$10.22
-$10.28
-50.2%
$8.25
-$12.25
-59.8%
$1.97
19.2%
—

NUKE
26.7%
$7.96
-$12.54
-61.2%
$7.67
-$12.83
-62.6%
$0.29
3.6%
—

NUKE
6.7%
$6.87
-$13.63
-66.5%
$5.70
-$14.80
-72.2%
$1.17
17.1%
—

NUKE
6.7%
$5.85
-$14.65
-71.4%
$5.55
-$14.95
-72.9%
$0.30
5.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-31|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-31"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.42321,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 45.285,
"optimistic_value": 44.9,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 41.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.425805Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.42321,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 7.96,
"optimistic_value": 7.89,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 7.67,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:47:04.383011Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.42321,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 10.2155,
"optimistic_value": 10.17,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 8.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:47:03.108572Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.3258717,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f10cd3871578",
"realistic_value": 16.448999999999998,
"optimistic_value": 16.33,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Ice Coaled",
"conservative_value": 14.54,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Recoil Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:11:51.015917Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f10cd3871578.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.296247,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5f1071439b89",
"realistic_value": 6.8740000000000006,
"optimistic_value": 6.86,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Visions",
"conservative_value": 5.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Recoil Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:14:30.700437Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f1071439b89.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.42321,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6f81f65a9d91",
"realistic_value": 5.8545,
"optimistic_value": 5.83,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love",
"conservative_value": 5.55,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Recoil Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:24:10.735270Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f81f65a9d91.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_51a83cd3591beab7fa3fd460",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.83,
"skin_id": "skin-ab0f49fac59d",
"listing_id": "509613089304546327",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Well-Worn)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Crazy 8",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ab0f49fac59d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:44:32.568146Z"
},
{
"price": 0.89,
"skin_id": "skin-ab0f49fac59d",
"listing_id": "526501535293214369",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Well-Worn)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Crazy 8",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ab0f49fac59d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:44:32.568146Z"
},
{
"price": 2.08,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361289452694821",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:05.348438Z"
},
{
"price": 2.09,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "514116688949678190",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:05.348438Z"
},
{
"price": 2.15,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "490472738292168531",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:05.348438Z"
},
{
"price": 2.3,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "525375635593980187",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
},
{
"price": 2.31,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "505109489448722396",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
},
{
"price": 2.33,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361237008630373",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
},
{
"price": 2.34,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182385829",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
},
{
"price": 3.18,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "502857689861474128",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:48:59.510287Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-31:2+collection-set-community-37:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Recoil Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight ![]() 26.7% $126.41 Ice Coaled ![]() 6.7% $28.04 Kintsugi ![]() 26.7% $22.62 Deathgaze ![]() 26.7% $21.23 Kiss♥Love ![]() 6.7% $13.55 Visions ![]() 6.7% $10.49 | $126.41 +210.2% | $48.87 +19.9% | 26.7% | +115.1% | $40.75 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight ![]() 26.7% $63.86 Ice Coaled ![]() 6.7% $16.45 Kintsugi ![]() 26.7% $12.65 Deathgaze ![]() 26.7% $10.67 Visions ![]() 6.7% $6.87 Kiss♥Love ![]() 6.7% $6.54 | $63.86 +197.3% | $25.24 +17.5% | 26.7% | +108.9% | $21.48 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Recoil Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight ![]() 23.3% $290.04 Kintsugi ![]() 23.3% $65.51 Deathgaze ![]() 23.3% $61.47 Ice Coaled ![]() 10.0% $58.75 Kiss♥Love ![]() 10.0% $58.41 Visions ![]() 10.0% $20.65 | $290.04 +248.7% | $111.08 +33.6% | 23.3% | +119.6% | $83.17 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight ![]() 20.0% $290.04 Kintsugi ![]() 20.0% $65.51 Deathgaze ![]() 20.0% $61.47 Ice Coaled ![]() 13.3% $58.75 Kiss♥Love ![]() 13.3% $58.41 Visions ![]() 13.3% $20.65 | $290.04 +270.0% | $101.78 +29.8% | 20.0% | +121.4% | $78.40 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight ![]() 16.7% $290.04 Kintsugi ![]() 16.7% $65.51 Deathgaze ![]() 16.7% $61.47 Ice Coaled ![]() 16.7% $58.75 Kiss♥Love ![]() 16.7% $58.41 Visions ![]() 16.7% $20.65 | $290.04 +295.6% | $92.47 +26.1% | 16.7% | +122.2% | $73.32 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight ![]() 13.3% $63.86 Ice Coaled ![]() 20.0% $16.45 Kintsugi ![]() 13.3% $12.65 Deathgaze ![]() 13.3% $11.91 Visions ![]() 20.0% $6.87 Kiss♥Love ![]() 20.0% $6.54 | $63.86 +341.0% | $17.76 +22.7% | 33.3% | +127.5% | $14.48 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight ![]() 10.0% $63.86 Ice Coaled ![]() 23.3% $16.45 Kintsugi ![]() 10.0% $12.65 Deathgaze ![]() 10.0% $11.91 Visions ![]() 23.3% $6.87 Kiss♥Love ![]() 23.3% $6.54 | $63.86 +392.4% | $15.81 +21.9% | 33.3% | +127.2% | $12.97 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight ![]() 6.7% $63.86 Ice Coaled ![]() 26.7% $16.45 Kintsugi ![]() 6.7% $12.65 Deathgaze ![]() 6.7% $11.91 Visions ![]() 26.7% $6.87 Kiss♥Love ![]() 26.7% $6.54 | $63.86 +426.0% | $13.86 +14.1% | 40.0% | +115.4% | $12.14 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×9+The Dead Hand Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight ![]() 3.3% $63.86 Ice Coaled ![]() 30.0% $16.45 Kintsugi ![]() 3.3% $12.65 Deathgaze ![]() 3.3% $11.91 Visions ![]() 30.0% $6.87 Kiss♥Love ![]() 30.0% $6.54 | $63.86 +480.5% | $11.91 +8.2% | 40.0% | +96.4% | $11.00 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Recoil Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum ![]() 16.0% $10.69 Firebreathing ![]() 16.0% $6.12 Galigator ![]() 16.0% $3.26 Amberline ![]() 16.0% $3.22 Urban Sovereign ![]() 16.0% $3.19 Crazy 8 ![]() 4.0% $1.16 | $10.69 +216.4% | $4.45 +31.6% | 32.0% | +82.8% | $3.38 | — |



