The Recoil Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Restricted → Classified FT ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Crazy 8
1x $1.31
Flora Carnivora
1x $1.38
Amberline
7x $2.08
Urban Sovereign
1x $3.19
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
26.7% $63.86
Ice Coaled
6.7% $16.45
Kintsugi
26.7% $12.65
Deathgaze
26.7% $10.67
Visions
6.7% $6.87
Kiss♥Love
6.7% $6.54
Max Win
$63.86 (+197.3%)
EV (ROI %)
$25.24 (+17.5%)
Win %
26.7%
Volatility
+108.9%
Cost
$21.48
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $21.48
Ask Price EV $25.24 (+17.5%)
Bid Price EV $22.93 (+6.8%)
Ask Profit $3.76 (+17.5%)
Bid Profit $1.45 (+6.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $2.31 (+10.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$3.76
Bid Slippage Buffer +$1.45
Risk
Win Probability 26.7%
Loss Probability 73.3%
Best Case $63.86 (+197.3%)
Worst Case $6.54 (-69.6%)
Volatility +108.9%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 66.7%
Avg Win +$42.38
Avg Loss -$10.29
Bottom 5% Outcome $6.54 (-69.6%)
Std Dev $23.40
Avg Norm Float 0.3793
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 9m
Oldest Output Price 142h 44m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
R8 Revolver | Crazy 8
—
Field-Tested
$1.31 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora
—
Field-Tested
$1.38 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.08 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.09 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.15 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.31 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.33 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.34 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.19 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 36M 39S //TOTAL COST $21.48 //ASK PRICE EV $25.24 //BID PRICE EV $22.93 //ASK PROFIT $3.76 (+17.5%) //BID PROFIT $1.45 (+6.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 26.7% //BEST CASE $63.86 //VOLATILITY +108.9% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$63.86
+$42.38
+197.3%
$60.32
+$38.84
+180.8%
$3.54
5.5%
—
LOSS
6.7%
$16.45
-$5.03
-23.4%
$14.54
-$6.94
-32.3%
$1.91
11.6%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$12.65
-$8.83
-41.1%
$9.57
-$11.91
-55.4%
$3.08
24.4%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$10.67
-$10.81
-50.3%
$9.52
-$11.96
-55.7%
$1.15
10.7%
—
NUKE
6.7%
$6.87
-$14.61
-68.0%
$5.70
-$15.78
-73.5%
$1.17
17.1%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
6.7%
$6.54
-$14.94
-69.6%
$6.07
-$15.41
-71.7%
$0.47
7.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-31|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-31"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.37932,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 63.8595,
"optimistic_value": 63.52,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 60.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.600521Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.37932,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 12.650500000000001,
"optimistic_value": 12.57,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 9.57,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:11:01.279472Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.37932,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 10.6655,
"optimistic_value": 10.06,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 9.52,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:59.565944Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.2920764,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f10cd3871578",
"realistic_value": 16.448999999999998,
"optimistic_value": 16.33,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Ice Coaled",
"conservative_value": 14.54,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Recoil Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:11:51.015917Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f10cd3871578.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.265524,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5f1071439b89",
"realistic_value": 6.8740000000000006,
"optimistic_value": 6.86,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Visions",
"conservative_value": 5.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Recoil Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:14:30.700437Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f1071439b89.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.37932,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6f81f65a9d91",
"realistic_value": 6.5375,
"optimistic_value": 6.24,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love",
"conservative_value": 6.07,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Recoil Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:36:25.495361Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f81f65a9d91.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_51a83cd3591beab7fa3fd460",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.31,
"skin_id": "skin-ab0f49fac59d",
"listing_id": "496102290328192847",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Field-Tested)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Crazy 8",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ab0f49fac59d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:51:54.346645Z"
},
{
"price": 1.38,
"skin_id": "skin-459ac0342b48",
"listing_id": "516367691480148026",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-459ac0342b48.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:47:32.298543Z"
},
{
"price": 2.08,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361289452694821",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:05.348438Z"
},
{
"price": 2.09,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "514116688949678190",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:05.348438Z"
},
{
"price": 2.15,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "490472738292168531",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:05.348438Z"
},
{
"price": 2.3,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "525375635593980187",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
},
{
"price": 2.31,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "505109489448722396",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
},
{
"price": 2.33,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361237008630373",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
},
{
"price": 2.34,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182385829",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
},
{
"price": 3.19,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "493850490550002916",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.565913Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-31:2+collection-set-community-37:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Recoil Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $126.41 Ice Coaled 6.7% $28.04 Kintsugi 26.7% $22.62 Deathgaze 26.7% $21.23 Kiss♥Love 6.7% $13.55 Visions 6.7% $10.49 | $126.41 +210.2% | $48.87 +19.9% | 26.7% | +115.1% | $40.75 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Recoil Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Kintsugi 23.3% $65.51 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 Ice Coaled 10.0% $58.75 Kiss♥Love 10.0% $58.41 Visions 10.0% $20.65 | $290.04 +248.7% | $111.08 +33.6% | 23.3% | +119.6% | $83.17 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Kintsugi 20.0% $65.51 Deathgaze 20.0% $61.47 Ice Coaled 13.3% $58.75 Kiss♥Love 13.3% $58.41 Visions 13.3% $20.65 | $290.04 +270.0% | $101.78 +29.8% | 20.0% | +121.4% | $78.40 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $290.04 Kintsugi 16.7% $65.51 Deathgaze 16.7% $61.47 Ice Coaled 16.7% $58.75 Kiss♥Love 16.7% $58.41 Visions 16.7% $20.65 | $290.04 +295.6% | $92.47 +26.1% | 16.7% | +122.2% | $73.32 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $63.86 Ice Coaled 20.0% $16.45 Kintsugi 13.3% $12.65 Deathgaze 13.3% $11.91 Visions 20.0% $6.87 Kiss♥Love 20.0% $6.54 | $63.86 +341.0% | $17.76 +22.7% | 33.3% | +127.5% | $14.48 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 10.0% $63.86 Ice Coaled 23.3% $16.45 Kintsugi 10.0% $12.65 Deathgaze 10.0% $11.91 Visions 23.3% $6.87 Kiss♥Love 23.3% $6.54 | $63.86 +392.4% | $15.81 +21.9% | 33.3% | +127.2% | $12.97 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 6.7% $63.86 Ice Coaled 26.7% $16.45 Kintsugi 6.7% $12.65 Deathgaze 6.7% $11.91 Visions 26.7% $6.87 Kiss♥Love 26.7% $6.54 | $63.86 +426.0% | $13.86 +14.1% | 40.0% | +115.4% | $12.14 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×9+The Dead Hand Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 3.3% $63.86 Ice Coaled 30.0% $16.45 Kintsugi 3.3% $12.65 Deathgaze 3.3% $11.91 Visions 30.0% $6.87 Kiss♥Love 30.0% $6.54 | $63.86 +480.5% | $11.91 +8.2% | 40.0% | +96.4% | $11.00 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Recoil Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum  16.0% $10.69 Firebreathing  16.0% $6.12 Galigator  16.0% $3.26 Amberline 16.0% $3.22 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $3.19 Crazy 8 4.0% $1.16 | $10.69 +216.4% | $4.45 +31.6% | 32.0% | +82.8% | $3.38 | — |