The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5
Classified → Covert WW ST 10 items
Contract
Classified → Covert Well-Worn StatTrak™
Inputs
Wild Child
2x $5.15
Wicked Sick
3x $5.64
Deathgaze
5x $7.86
↓
Possible Outputs
Queen's Gambit
25.0% $100.30
Fully Tuned
25.0% $68.52
Temukau
25.0% $52.74
Head Shot
25.0% $39.98
Max Win
$100.30 (+47.3%)
EV (ROI %)
$65.39 (-4.0%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+33.1%
Cost
$68.08
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $68.08
Ask Price EV $65.39 (-4.0%)
Bid Price EV $60.34 (-11.4%)
Ask Profit $-2.69 (-4.0%)
Bid Profit $-7.74 (-11.4%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $5.05 (+7.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$2.69
Bid Slippage Buffer -$7.74
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $100.30 (+47.3%)
Worst Case $39.98 (-41.3%)
Volatility +33.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 25.0%
Avg Win +$16.33
Avg Loss -$21.72
Bottom 5% Outcome $39.98 (-41.3%)
Std Dev $22.55
Avg Norm Float 0.4497
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 24m
Oldest Output Price 155h 7m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
UMP-45 | Wild Child
—
Field-Tested
$5.15 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Wicked Sick
—
Field-Tested
$5.64 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Wicked Sick
—
Field-Tested
$5.75 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Wild Child
—
Field-Tested
$5.88 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Wicked Sick
—
Field-Tested
$5.90 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Battle-Scarred
$7.86 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Battle-Scarred
$7.87 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Battle-Scarred
$7.90 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Battle-Scarred
$8.06 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Battle-Scarred
$8.07 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 07M 40S //TOTAL COST $68.08 //ASK PRICE EV $65.39 //BID PRICE EV $60.34 //ASK PROFIT $-2.69 (-4.0%) //BID PROFIT $-7.74 (-11.4%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $100.30 //VOLATILITY +33.1% //
Possible Outputs · 4
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
WIN EDGE FLOAT
25.0%
$100.30
+$32.22
+47.3%
$94.02
+$25.94
+38.1%
$6.28
6.3%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
25.0%
$68.52
+$0.44
+0.6%
$62.86
-$5.22
-7.7%
$5.66
8.3%
—
LOSS
25.0%
$52.74
-$15.34
-22.5%
$47.24
-$20.84
-30.6%
$5.50
10.4%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
25.0%
$39.98
-$28.10
-41.3%
$37.23
-$30.85
-45.3%
$2.75
6.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Classified|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Classified|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.25,
"output_float": 0.44974,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1f95db2031e4",
"realistic_value": 39.978,
"optimistic_value": 39.46,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Head Shot",
"conservative_value": 37.23,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:15:58.726763Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1f95db2031e4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.25,
"output_float": 0.44974,
"output_skin_id": "skin-66197377b028",
"realistic_value": 100.303,
"optimistic_value": 98,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Queen's Gambit",
"conservative_value": 94.02,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Queen's Gambit (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:18:06.195080Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-66197377b028.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.25,
"output_float": 0.44974,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec359b168d17",
"realistic_value": 68.5225,
"optimistic_value": 67,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Fully Tuned",
"conservative_value": 62.86,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:21:31.690768Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec359b168d17.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.25,
"output_float": 0.359792,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1aba3ea9ecc5",
"realistic_value": 52.739,
"optimistic_value": 51.71,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Temukau",
"conservative_value": 47.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:34:13.288982Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1aba3ea9ecc5.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_4fb4c40ef9d1abfcea6c557f",
"input_rarity": "Classified",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 5.15,
"skin_id": "skin-f04de3b20f62",
"listing_id": "496102343227143719",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Wild Child",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f04de3b20f62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:58:42.284360Z"
},
{
"price": 5.64,
"skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
"listing_id": "509613142168963875",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:03:06.316110Z"
},
{
"price": 5.75,
"skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
"listing_id": "493850490550007596",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:03:06.316110Z"
},
{
"price": 5.88,
"skin_id": "skin-f04de3b20f62",
"listing_id": "509613036859174251",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Wild Child",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f04de3b20f62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:58:42.284360Z"
},
{
"price": 5.9,
"skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
"listing_id": "516368488724978234",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:03:06.316110Z"
},
{
"price": 7.86,
"skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"listing_id": "528753440604561753",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:01:41.350839Z"
},
{
"price": 7.87,
"skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"listing_id": "497228243055645101",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:01:41.350839Z"
},
{
"price": 7.9,
"skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"listing_id": "493850324808793168",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:01:41.350839Z"
},
{
"price": 8.06,
"skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"listing_id": "518620122760121320",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:01:41.350839Z"
},
{
"price": 8.07,
"skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"listing_id": "498354037509773671",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:01:41.350839Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Covert",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Classified|Covert|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:5+collection-set-community-37:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 25.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned 25.0% $484.90 Temukau 25.0% $288.76 Head Shot 25.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +136.2% | $452.06 +26.6% | 50.0% | +69.9% | $357.09 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit 25.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned 25.0% $105.54 Temukau 25.0% $52.74 Head Shot 25.0% $46.53 | $141.08 +94.9% | $86.47 +19.5% | 50.0% | +53.9% | $72.39 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Classified → Covert Minimal Wear ST | Queen's Gambit 25.0% $286.65 Fully Tuned 25.0% $201.70 Temukau 25.0% $126.64 Head Shot 25.0% $70.95 | $286.65 +96.9% | $171.48 +17.8% | 50.0% | +55.7% | $145.60 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 35.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned 35.0% $484.90 Temukau 15.0% $288.76 Head Shot 15.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +104.0% | $536.91 +29.8% | 70.0% | +59.7% | $413.55 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 30.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned 30.0% $484.90 Temukau 20.0% $288.76 Head Shot 20.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +121.1% | $494.48 +29.6% | 60.0% | +66.0% | $381.53 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 45.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned 45.0% $484.90 Temukau 5.0% $288.76 Head Shot 5.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +72.1% | $621.76 +26.8% | 45.0% | +43.5% | $490.16 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 20.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned 20.0% $484.90 Temukau 30.0% $288.76 Head Shot 30.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +153.8% | $409.63 +23.3% | 40.0% | +72.1% | $332.34 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 15.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned 15.0% $484.90 Temukau 35.0% $288.76 Head Shot 35.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +168.0% | $367.21 +16.7% | 30.0% | +70.4% | $314.73 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 10.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned 10.0% $484.90 Temukau 40.0% $288.76 Head Shot 40.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +182.2% | $324.78 +8.6% | 20.0% | +64.5% | $298.93 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum  14.0% $51.27 Firebreathing  14.0% $31.66 Amberline  14.0% $18.87 Galigator  14.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign  14.0% $13.57 Emphorosaur-S  6.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +242.5% | $20.16 +34.7% | 42.0% | +86.8% | $14.97 | — |