The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5
Classified → Covert FN ST 10 items
Contract
Classified → Covert Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Wicked Sick
2x $18.99
Wild Child
3x $30.94
Deathgaze
2x $21.89
Kintsugi
3x $24.00
↓
Possible Outputs
Queen's Gambit
25.0% $843.46
Fully Tuned
25.0% $484.90
Temukau
25.0% $288.76
Head Shot
25.0% $191.11
Max Win
$843.46 (+136.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$452.06 (+26.6%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+69.9%
Cost
$357.09
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $357.09
Ask Price EV $452.06 (+26.6%)
Bid Price EV $389.17 (+9.0%)
Ask Profit $94.97 (+26.6%)
Bid Profit $32.07 (+9.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $62.89 (+17.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$94.97
Bid Slippage Buffer +$32.07
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $843.46 (+136.2%)
Worst Case $191.11 (-46.5%)
Volatility +69.9%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 25.0%
Avg Win +$307.09
Avg Loss -$117.15
Bottom 5% Outcome $191.11 (-46.5%)
Std Dev $249.52
Avg Norm Float 0.0697
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 24m
Oldest Output Price 154h 7m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P2000 | Wicked Sick
—
Minimal Wear
$18.99 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Wild Child
—
Factory New
$30.94 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Wild Child
—
Factory New
$34.07 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Wicked Sick
—
Factory New
$47.00 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Wild Child
—
Factory New
$52.99 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Minimal Wear
$21.89 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Minimal Wear
$24.00 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Minimal Wear
$31.00 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Minimal Wear
$35.00 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Factory New
$61.21 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 04M 24S //TOTAL COST $357.09 //ASK PRICE EV $452.06 //BID PRICE EV $389.17 //ASK PROFIT $94.97 (+26.6%) //BID PROFIT $32.07 (+9.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $843.46 //VOLATILITY +69.9% //
Possible Outputs · 4
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
25.0%
$843.46
+$486.37
+136.2%
$729.18
+$372.09
+104.2%
$114.28
13.5%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
25.0%
$484.90
+$127.81
+35.8%
$425.17
+$68.08
+19.1%
$59.73
12.3%
—
LOSS
25.0%
$288.76
-$68.33
-19.1%
$256.42
-$100.67
-28.2%
$32.34
11.2%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
25.0%
$191.11
-$165.98
-46.5%
$145.89
-$211.20
-59.1%
$45.22
23.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Classified|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Classified|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.25,
"output_float": 0.0697,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1f95db2031e4",
"realistic_value": 191.11450000000002,
"optimistic_value": 186.33,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Head Shot",
"conservative_value": 145.89,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:16:08.692079Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1f95db2031e4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.25,
"output_float": 0.0697,
"output_skin_id": "skin-66197377b028",
"realistic_value": 843.46,
"optimistic_value": 820.92,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Queen's Gambit",
"conservative_value": 729.18,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:16:45.446556Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-66197377b028.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.25,
"output_float": 0.0697,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec359b168d17",
"realistic_value": 484.902,
"optimistic_value": 450,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Fully Tuned",
"conservative_value": 425.17,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:21:30.625100Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec359b168d17.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.25,
"output_float": 0.055760000000000004,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1aba3ea9ecc5",
"realistic_value": 288.75649999999996,
"optimistic_value": 270.28,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Temukau",
"conservative_value": 256.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:23:32.925345Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1aba3ea9ecc5.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_4fb4c40ef9d1abfcea6c557f",
"input_rarity": "Classified",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 18.99,
"skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
"listing_id": "512990736599406455",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:04:41.673672Z"
},
{
"price": 30.94,
"skin_id": "skin-f04de3b20f62",
"listing_id": "499480042827690301",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Factory New)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Wild Child",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f04de3b20f62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:59:43.369331Z"
},
{
"price": 34.07,
"skin_id": "skin-f04de3b20f62",
"listing_id": "506234592349966728",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Factory New)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Wild Child",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f04de3b20f62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:59:43.369331Z"
},
{
"price": 47,
"skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
"listing_id": "516368322941506682",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Factory New)",
"name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:02:11.237121Z"
},
{
"price": 52.99,
"skin_id": "skin-f04de3b20f62",
"listing_id": "498353293083594931",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Factory New)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Wild Child",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f04de3b20f62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:59:43.369331Z"
},
{
"price": 21.89,
"skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"listing_id": "498354142899887539",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:14:00.119016Z"
},
{
"price": 24,
"skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"listing_id": "517494441497659822",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:10:32.320441Z"
},
{
"price": 31,
"skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"listing_id": "511864888984349901",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:10:32.320441Z"
},
{
"price": 35,
"skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"listing_id": "645845616401272077",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:14:00.119016Z"
},
{
"price": 61.21,
"skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"listing_id": "508487189340825794",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New)",
"name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:10:34.557840Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Covert",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Classified|Covert|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:5+collection-set-community-37:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit 25.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned 25.0% $105.54 Temukau 25.0% $52.74 Head Shot 25.0% $46.53 | $141.08 +98.8% | $86.47 +21.8% | 50.0% | +54.9% | $70.98 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Classified → Covert Minimal Wear ST | Queen's Gambit 25.0% $286.65 Fully Tuned 25.0% $201.70 Temukau 25.0% $126.64 Head Shot 25.0% $70.95 | $286.65 +95.2% | $171.48 +16.8% | 50.0% | +55.2% | $146.85 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 30.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned 30.0% $484.90 Temukau 20.0% $288.76 Head Shot 20.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +124.6% | $494.48 +31.7% | 60.0% | +67.1% | $375.58 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 35.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned 35.0% $484.90 Temukau 15.0% $288.76 Head Shot 15.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +102.4% | $536.91 +28.8% | 70.0% | +59.3% | $416.82 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 45.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned 45.0% $484.90 Temukau 5.0% $288.76 Head Shot 5.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +72.1% | $621.76 +26.8% | 45.0% | +43.5% | $490.16 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 20.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned 20.0% $484.90 Temukau 30.0% $288.76 Head Shot 30.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +153.7% | $409.63 +23.2% | 40.0% | +72.1% | $332.48 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 15.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned 15.0% $484.90 Temukau 35.0% $288.76 Head Shot 35.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +168.0% | $367.21 +16.7% | 30.0% | +70.4% | $314.71 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 10.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned 10.0% $484.90 Temukau 40.0% $288.76 Head Shot 40.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +182.2% | $324.78 +8.6% | 20.0% | +64.5% | $298.93 | — |