The Revolution Collection ×1+The Radiant Collection ×9
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted WW 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn
Inputs
Re.built
1x $0.12
Shredded
3x $0.26
Red Tide
2x $0.27
Rose Hex
2x $0.34
Blush Pour
2x $0.35
↓
Possible Outputs
Mulberry
30.0% $5.01
Glitched Paint
30.0% $2.90
Bleeding Edge
30.0% $2.03
Emphorosaur-S
2.0% $0.75
Umbral Rabbit
2.0% $0.74
Neoqueen
2.0% $0.63
Max Win
$5.01 (+59.4%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.05 (-2.9%)
Win %
30.0%
Volatility
+45.4%
Cost
$3.14
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.14
Ask Price EV $3.05 (-2.9%)
Bid Price EV $2.86 (-8.9%)
Ask Profit $-0.09 (-2.9%)
Bid Profit $-0.28 (-8.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.19 (+6.0%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.09
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.28
Risk
Win Probability 30.0%
Loss Probability 70.0%
Best Case $5.01 (+59.4%)
Worst Case $0.62 (-80.1%)
Volatility +45.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$1.87
Avg Loss -$0.93
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.63 (-79.8%)
Std Dev $1.42
Avg Norm Float 0.4429
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 17m
Oldest Output Price 146h 36m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.12 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Shredded
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Red Tide
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Red Tide
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Rose Hex
—
Field-Tested
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Shredded
—
Field-Tested
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Blush Pour
—
Field-Tested
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Blush Pour
—
Field-Tested
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Shredded
—
Field-Tested
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Rose Hex
—
Field-Tested
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 44M 27S //TOTAL COST $3.14 //ASK PRICE EV $3.05 //BID PRICE EV $2.86 //ASK PROFIT $-0.09 (-2.9%) //BID PROFIT $-0.28 (-8.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 30.0% //BEST CASE $5.01 //VOLATILITY +45.4% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
30.0%
$5.01
+$1.87
+59.4%
$4.66
+$1.52
+48.4%
$0.35
6.9%
—
LOSS
30.0%
$2.90
-$0.24
-7.7%
$2.76
-$0.38
-12.1%
$0.14
4.7%
—
LOSS
30.0%
$2.03
-$1.11
-35.3%
$1.91
-$1.23
-39.2%
$0.12
6.0%
—
NUKE
2.0%
$0.75
-$2.39
-76.2%
$0.70
-$2.44
-77.7%
$0.05
6.4%
—
NUKE
2.0%
$0.74
-$2.40
-76.4%
$0.69
-$2.45
-78.0%
$0.05
6.8%
—
NUKE
2.0%
$0.63
-$2.51
-79.8%
$0.61
-$2.53
-80.6%
$0.02
3.8%
—
NUKE
2.0%
$0.63
-$2.51
-79.8%
$0.55
-$2.59
-82.5%
$0.08
13.2%
—
NUKE
2.0%
$0.62
-$2.52
-80.1%
$0.55
-$2.59
-82.5%
$0.07
11.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.332175,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2d7d76a0b8b5",
"realistic_value": 5.0065,
"optimistic_value": 4.94,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Mulberry",
"conservative_value": 4.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:30:33.975888Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2d7d76a0b8b5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.29674300000000003,
"output_skin_id": "skin-75c237bdd4fc",
"realistic_value": 2.8970000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 2.89,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Glitched Paint",
"conservative_value": 2.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:44:25.527137Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-75c237bdd4fc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.26574,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8e15b1a9e945",
"realistic_value": 2.0315,
"optimistic_value": 2,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Bleeding Edge",
"conservative_value": 1.91,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:54:58.159266Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8e15b1a9e945.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.332175,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 0.7404999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 0.73,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 0.69,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T03:55:11.491583Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.35432,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 0.7475,
"optimistic_value": 0.73,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 0.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T18:33:49.520496Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.466882,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 0.6335,
"optimistic_value": 0.63,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 0.55,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:49:58.507757Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.26574,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 0.634,
"optimistic_value": 0.62,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 0.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Neoqueen (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:02:27.761333Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.4429,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 0.624,
"optimistic_value": 0.61,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 0.55,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:59:52.562582Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_4f015ee0f3917e3ee39e23c8",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.12,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "510738989041292542",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:04:51.194596Z"
},
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-5254ad7ed93d",
"listing_id": "527627487625005080",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Shredded (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP9 | Shredded",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5254ad7ed93d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:06:15.351112Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-1244c7faf3ea",
"listing_id": "524249787962174415",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Red Tide (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P250 | Red Tide",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1244c7faf3ea.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:56:38.524622Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-1244c7faf3ea",
"listing_id": "498353293087104787",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Red Tide (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P250 | Red Tide",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1244c7faf3ea.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:56:38.524622Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-d474744b61b7",
"listing_id": "501731789730144509",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d474744b61b7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:52:33.768148Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-5254ad7ed93d",
"listing_id": "492724590626916477",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Shredded (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Shredded",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5254ad7ed93d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:54:18.368519Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-0f8b4882d7c6",
"listing_id": "508487189339594522",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0f8b4882d7c6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:49:40.795237Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-0f8b4882d7c6",
"listing_id": "526501535293735613",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0f8b4882d7c6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:49:40.795237Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-5254ad7ed93d",
"listing_id": "494976390475987854",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Shredded (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Shredded",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5254ad7ed93d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:54:18.368519Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-d474744b61b7",
"listing_id": "525375688036290175",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d474744b61b7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:52:33.768148Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-32:1+collection-set-timed-drops-warm:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Radiant Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 30.0% $15.94 Glitched Paint 30.0% $7.17 Bleeding Edge 30.0% $5.67 Sakkaku 2.0% $1.43 Umbral Rabbit 2.0% $1.29 Neoqueen 2.0% $1.00 | $15.94 +136.9% | $8.74 +29.9% | 60.0% | +70.5% | $6.73 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Radiant Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Mulberry 30.0% $33.42 Bleeding Edge 30.0% $16.98 Glitched Paint 30.0% $16.82 Umbral Rabbit 2.0% $4.30 Neoqueen 2.0% $3.06 Banana Cannon 2.0% $1.61 | $33.42 +76.0% | $20.40 +7.4% | 30.0% | +46.0% | $18.99 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Radiant Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred | Mulberry 30.0% $5.01 Glitched Paint 30.0% $2.90 Bleeding Edge 30.0% $2.03 Emphorosaur-S 2.0% $1.01 Umbral Rabbit 2.0% $0.74 Banana Cannon 2.0% $0.65 | $5.01 +64.1% | $3.05 +0.1% | 30.0% | +43.6% | $3.05 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×2+The Radiant Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 26.7% $15.94 Glitched Paint 26.7% $7.14 Bleeding Edge 26.7% $5.64 Sakkaku 4.0% $1.43 Umbral Rabbit 4.0% $1.29 Neoqueen 4.0% $0.97 | $15.94 +169.7% | $7.86 +33.0% | 53.3% | +83.2% | $5.91 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×8+The Radiant Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 6.7% $15.94 Glitched Paint 6.7% $7.14 Bleeding Edge 6.7% $5.64 Sakkaku 16.0% $1.43 Umbral Rabbit 16.0% $1.29 Neoqueen 16.0% $0.97 | $15.94 +611.7% | $2.73 +21.9% | 20.0% | +170.5% | $2.24 | — |