The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×3+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear
Inputs
Scrawl
1x $0.30
Foresight
1x $0.31
Necro Jr.
1x $0.34
Pipsqueak
2x $0.42
Teal Graf
2x $0.69
Metallic Squeezer
2x $0.86
↓
Possible Outputs
Eye of Zapems
23.3% $10.49
Sweet Little Angels
23.3% $10.29
Monster Melt
23.3% $8.69
Dream Glade
6.0% $1.64
Ticket to Hell
6.0% $1.57
Night Terror
6.0% $1.56
Max Win
$10.49 (+53.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$7.29 (+6.5%)
Win %
70.0%
Volatility
+57.3%
Cost
$6.85
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $6.85
Ask Price EV $7.29 (+6.5%)
Bid Price EV $7.16 (+4.5%)
Ask Profit $0.44 (+6.5%)
Bid Profit $0.31 (+4.5%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.14 (+2.0%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.44
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.31
Risk
Win Probability 70.0%
Loss Probability 30.0%
Best Case $10.49 (+53.1%)
Worst Case $1.04 (-84.8%)
Volatility +57.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 30.0%
Avg Win +$2.97
Avg Loss -$5.45
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.04 (-84.8%)
Std Dev $3.92
Avg Norm Float 0.1499
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 19m
Oldest Output Price 3h 44m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Five-SeveN | Scrawl
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Foresight
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Necro Jr.
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Field-Tested
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Teal Graf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.69 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer
—
Minimal Wear
$0.86 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Field-Tested
$0.86 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Teal Graf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.87 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer
—
Minimal Wear
$1.03 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Wurst Hölle
—
Minimal Wear
$1.17 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 44M 15S //TOTAL COST $6.85 //ASK PRICE EV $7.29 //BID PRICE EV $7.16 //ASK PROFIT $0.44 (+6.5%) //BID PROFIT $0.31 (+4.5%) //WIN PROBABILITY 70.0% //BEST CASE $10.49 //VOLATILITY +57.3% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
23.3%
$10.49
+$3.64
+53.1%
$10.47
+$3.62
+52.8%
$0.02
0.2%
—
Restricted
Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels Minimal Wear | ƒ 0.1229426
The Overpass 2024 Collection
BIG WIN
23.3%
$10.29
+$3.44
+50.2%
$10.28
+$3.43
+50.1%
$0.01
0.1%
—
WIN
23.3%
$8.69
+$1.84
+26.8%
$8.24
+$1.39
+20.3%
$0.45
5.2%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$1.64
-$5.21
-76.1%
$1.62
-$5.23
-76.4%
$0.02
1.0%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$1.57
-$5.29
-77.2%
$1.45
-$5.40
-78.8%
$0.11
7.3%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$1.56
-$5.29
-77.2%
$1.35
-$5.50
-80.3%
$0.21
13.7%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$1.17
-$5.68
-82.9%
$1.16
-$5.69
-83.1%
$0.01
1.2%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$1.04
-$5.81
-84.8%
$0.99
-$5.86
-85.5%
$0.05
5.1%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-30|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.1274405,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e56be318449",
"realistic_value": 10.49,
"optimistic_value": 10.49,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems",
"conservative_value": 10.47,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:48:56.842074Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e56be318449.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.1229426,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6e1eac6f1a57",
"realistic_value": 10.29,
"optimistic_value": 10.29,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels",
"conservative_value": 10.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:48:57.798924Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6e1eac6f1a57.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.1124475,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0ac8d26ea3c5",
"realistic_value": 8.687999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 8.52,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt",
"conservative_value": 8.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:51:30.187477Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0ac8d26ea3c5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.14993,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5efcaeb15ee",
"realistic_value": 1.6369999999999998,
"optimistic_value": 1.63,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade",
"conservative_value": 1.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:23:06.525413Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5efcaeb15ee.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.104951,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec2dd0814c74",
"realistic_value": 1.5645,
"optimistic_value": 1.54,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror",
"conservative_value": 1.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:48:02.967036Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec2dd0814c74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.10045310000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"realistic_value": 1.1735,
"optimistic_value": 1.17,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"conservative_value": 1.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:51:40.133112Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.1139468,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f3392bb443bc",
"realistic_value": 1.565,
"optimistic_value": 1.53,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell",
"conservative_value": 1.45,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:04:19.095103Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f3392bb443bc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.074965,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"realistic_value": 1.0435,
"optimistic_value": 1.04,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"conservative_value": 0.99,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:20:02.478937Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_4ec63f341bf4addf35566b84",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-ee6dee51b1f5",
"listing_id": "490472790738058395",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Scrawl",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ee6dee51b1f5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:51:53.512701Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-c8ccc993ef98",
"listing_id": "643593744688088905",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Foresight",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c8ccc993ef98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:57:14.895454Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-0571189c0ca3",
"listing_id": "506235389468826600",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Necro Jr.",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0571189c0ca3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:51:50.758742Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "517494388633440706",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:47:38.485365Z"
},
{
"price": 0.69,
"skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"listing_id": "524249787962352003",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:04:36.287195Z"
},
{
"price": 0.86,
"skin_id": "skin-0df7ea666c3d",
"listing_id": "497228190142176653",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0df7ea666c3d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:54:45.369021Z"
},
{
"price": 0.86,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "518619491421941344",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:47:38.485365Z"
},
{
"price": 0.87,
"skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"listing_id": "516368488726379318",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:04:36.287195Z"
},
{
"price": 1.03,
"skin_id": "skin-0df7ea666c3d",
"listing_id": "596305411430770513",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0df7ea666c3d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:54:45.369021Z"
},
{
"price": 1.17,
"skin_id": "skin-791e6727b6a9",
"listing_id": "523123888072288378",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-791e6727b6a9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:57:26.567550Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-30:3+collection-set-overpass-2024:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×3+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 23.3% $10.49 Sweet Little Angels 23.3% $10.29 Monster Melt 23.3% $8.69 Ticket to Hell 6.0% $1.57 Night Terror 6.0% $1.56 Space Cat 6.0% $1.17 | $10.49 +83.4% | $7.25 +26.8% | 70.0% | +58.5% | $5.72 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 16.7% $10.49 Sweet Little Angels 16.7% $10.29 Monster Melt 16.7% $8.69 Ticket to Hell 10.0% $1.57 Night Terror 10.0% $1.56 Space Cat 10.0% $1.17 | $10.49 +145.7% | $5.54 +29.7% | 50.0% | +89.4% | $4.27 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 20.0% $10.49 Sweet Little Angels 20.0% $10.29 Monster Melt 20.0% $8.69 Ticket to Hell 8.0% $1.57 Night Terror 8.0% $1.56 Space Cat 8.0% $1.17 | $10.49 +111.9% | $6.39 +29.2% | 60.0% | +73.8% | $4.95 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 13.3% $10.47 Sweet Little Angels 13.3% $10.29 Monster Melt 13.3% $8.65 Ticket to Hell 12.0% $1.57 Night Terror 12.0% $1.56 Space Cat 12.0% $1.17 | $10.47 +184.5% | $4.67 +26.9% | 40.0% | +103.8% | $3.68 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×7+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 10.0% $10.49 Sweet Little Angels 10.0% $10.29 Monster Melt 10.0% $8.69 Ticket to Hell 14.0% $1.57 Night Terror 14.0% $1.56 Space Cat 14.0% $1.17 | $10.49 +245.1% | $3.82 +25.7% | 30.0% | +120.4% | $3.04 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 6.7% $10.49 Sweet Little Angels 6.7% $10.29 Monster Melt 6.7% $8.69 Ticket to Hell 16.0% $1.63 Night Terror 16.0% $1.56 Space Cat 16.0% $1.17 | $10.49 +321.3% | $2.98 +19.5% | 20.0% | +131.0% | $2.49 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×7+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear | Crakow!  15.0% $103.76 Dragon Snore  15.0% $75.91 Melondrama  23.3% $11.95 Rapid Eye Movement  23.3% $11.88 Abyssal Apparition  23.3% $11.54 | $103.76 +253.6% | $35.20 +20.0% | 30.0% | +124.6% | $29.34 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Classified → Covert Minimal Wear | B the Monster  50.0% $1,312.69 Starlight Protector  25.0% $179.19 Nightwish  25.0% $117.09 | $1,312.69 +118.3% | $730.41 +21.5% | 50.0% | +96.9% | $601.28 | — |