The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×3+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Spirit Board
1x $0.30
Foresight
1x $0.31
Lifted Spirits
1x $0.34
Pipsqueak
3x $0.42
Metallic Squeezer
3x $0.52
Teal Graf
1x $0.87
↓
Possible Outputs
Eye of Zapems
23.3% $10.49
Sweet Little Angels
23.3% $10.29
Monster Melt
23.3% $8.69
Ticket to Hell
6.0% $1.64
Night Terror
6.0% $1.58
Space Cat
6.0% $1.17
Max Win
$10.49 (+85.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$7.26 (+28.5%)
Win %
70.0%
Volatility
+70.4%
Cost
$5.65
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $5.65
Ask Price EV $7.26 (+28.5%)
Bid Price EV $7.11 (+25.9%)
Ask Profit $1.61 (+28.5%)
Bid Profit $1.46 (+25.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.14 (+2.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.61
Bid Slippage Buffer +$1.46
Risk
Win Probability 70.0%
Loss Probability 30.0%
Best Case $10.49 (+85.7%)
Worst Case $0.92 (-83.7%)
Volatility +70.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 30.0%
Avg Win +$4.17
Avg Loss -$4.38
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.92 (-83.7%)
Std Dev $3.98
Avg Norm Float 0.1765
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Stale
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 22m
Fill Confidence Medium
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Sawed-Off | Spirit Board
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Foresight
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Lifted Spirits
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Field-Tested
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer
—
Field-Tested
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer
—
Field-Tested
$0.57 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Field-Tested
$0.60 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer
—
Minimal Wear
$0.86 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Field-Tested
$0.86 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Teal Graf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.87 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 32M 14S //TOTAL COST $5.65 //ASK PRICE EV $7.26 //BID PRICE EV $7.11 //ASK PROFIT $1.61 (+28.5%) //BID PROFIT $1.46 (+25.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 70.0% //BEST CASE $10.49 //VOLATILITY +70.4% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
23.3%
$10.49
+$4.84
+85.7%
$10.47
+$4.82
+85.3%
$0.02
0.2%
—
Restricted
Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels Minimal Wear | ƒ 0.1446972
The Overpass 2024 Collection
BIG WIN
23.3%
$10.29
+$4.64
+82.1%
$10.28
+$4.63
+81.9%
$0.01
0.1%
—
BIG WIN
23.3%
$8.69
+$3.04
+53.8%
$8.24
+$2.59
+45.8%
$0.45
5.2%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$1.64
-$4.01
-71.0%
$1.45
-$4.20
-74.3%
$0.19
11.5%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$1.58
-$4.07
-72.1%
$1.35
-$4.30
-76.1%
$0.23
14.4%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$1.17
-$4.48
-79.2%
$1.16
-$4.49
-79.5%
$0.01
1.2%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$1.06
-$4.59
-81.2%
$0.99
-$4.66
-82.5%
$0.07
6.6%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$0.92
-$4.73
-83.7%
$0.87
-$4.78
-84.6%
$0.05
5.4%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-30|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.149991,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e56be318449",
"realistic_value": 10.49,
"optimistic_value": 10.49,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems",
"conservative_value": 10.47,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:40:05.386055Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e56be318449.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.1446972,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6e1eac6f1a57",
"realistic_value": 10.29,
"optimistic_value": 10.29,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels",
"conservative_value": 10.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:40:06.243191Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6e1eac6f1a57.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.132345,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0ac8d26ea3c5",
"realistic_value": 8.687999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 8.52,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt",
"conservative_value": 8.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:42:40.327928Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0ac8d26ea3c5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.17646,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5efcaeb15ee",
"realistic_value": 0.92,
"optimistic_value": 0.92,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade",
"conservative_value": 0.87,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:38:29.110272Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5efcaeb15ee.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.12352199999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec2dd0814c74",
"realistic_value": 1.5775000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 1.56,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror",
"conservative_value": 1.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:38:30.647488Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec2dd0814c74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.1182282,
"output_skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"realistic_value": 1.1735,
"optimistic_value": 1.17,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"conservative_value": 1.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:42:38.770889Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.1341096,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f3392bb443bc",
"realistic_value": 1.6375,
"optimistic_value": 1.62,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell",
"conservative_value": 1.45,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:53:41.369134Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f3392bb443bc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.08823,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"realistic_value": 1.0605,
"optimistic_value": 1.05,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"conservative_value": 0.99,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:58:04.003392Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_4ec63f341bf4addf35566b84",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-3da25779ee2d",
"listing_id": "497228190142008857",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Spirit Board",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3da25779ee2d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:52:34.441361Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-c8ccc993ef98",
"listing_id": "643593744688088905",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Foresight",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c8ccc993ef98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:47:50.669615Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-75edb16f0014",
"listing_id": "491598690699562262",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Lifted Spirits",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-75edb16f0014.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:00:16.550692Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "517494388633440706",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:38:48.072106Z"
},
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-0df7ea666c3d",
"listing_id": "648097416147785180",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0df7ea666c3d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:50:50.732505Z"
},
{
"price": 0.57,
"skin_id": "skin-0df7ea666c3d",
"listing_id": "642467916667097993",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0df7ea666c3d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:50:50.732505Z"
},
{
"price": 0.6,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "509613089303435079",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:38:48.072106Z"
},
{
"price": 0.86,
"skin_id": "skin-0df7ea666c3d",
"listing_id": "497228190142176653",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0df7ea666c3d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:45:54.522045Z"
},
{
"price": 0.86,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "518619491421941344",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:38:48.072106Z"
},
{
"price": 0.87,
"skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"listing_id": "516368488726379318",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:55:44.074706Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-30:3+collection-set-overpass-2024:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×3+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Eye of Zapems 23.3% $10.49 Sweet Little Angels 23.3% $10.29 Monster Melt 23.3% $8.69 Ticket to Hell 6.0% $1.64 Dream Glade 6.0% $1.64 Night Terror 6.0% $1.58 | $10.49 +56.1% | $7.30 +8.6% | 70.0% | +48.7% | $6.72 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×3+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn | Monster Melt 23.3% $4.28 Eye of Zapems 23.3% $4.05 Sweet Little Angels 23.3% $4.04 Night Terror 6.0% $1.00 Zombie Offensive 6.0% $0.96 Ticket to Hell 6.0% $0.92 | $4.28 +45.0% | $3.16 +7.2% | 70.0% | +41.9% | $2.95 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 16.7% $10.49 Sweet Little Angels 16.7% $10.29 Monster Melt 16.7% $8.69 Ticket to Hell 10.0% $1.64 Night Terror 10.0% $1.58 Space Cat 10.0% $1.17 | $10.49 +149.2% | $5.55 +31.8% | 50.0% | +90.4% | $4.21 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 20.0% $10.49 Sweet Little Angels 20.0% $10.29 Monster Melt 20.0% $8.69 Ticket to Hell 8.0% $1.64 Night Terror 8.0% $1.58 Space Cat 8.0% $1.21 | $10.49 +114.1% | $6.41 +30.7% | 60.0% | +74.3% | $4.90 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 13.3% $10.49 Sweet Little Angels 13.3% $10.29 Monster Melt 13.3% $8.69 Ticket to Hell 12.0% $1.67 Night Terror 12.0% $1.51 Space Cat 12.0% $1.17 | $10.49 +192.2% | $4.68 +30.5% | 40.0% | +106.5% | $3.59 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×7+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 10.0% $10.49 Sweet Little Angels 10.0% $10.29 Monster Melt 10.0% $8.69 Ticket to Hell 14.0% $1.64 Night Terror 14.0% $1.58 Space Cat 14.0% $1.17 | $10.49 +246.2% | $3.84 +26.7% | 30.0% | +120.5% | $3.03 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 6.7% $10.49 Sweet Little Angels 6.7% $10.29 Monster Melt 6.7% $8.69 Ticket to Hell 16.0% $1.57 Night Terror 16.0% $1.47 Space Cat 16.0% $1.21 | $10.49 +319.6% | $2.97 +18.6% | 20.0% | +130.8% | $2.50 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear | Crakow!  10.0% $103.76 Dragon Snore  10.0% $77.69 Abyssal Apparition  26.7% $11.56 Melondrama  26.7% $11.29 Rapid Eye Movement  26.7% $11.26 | $103.76 +342.3% | $27.24 +16.1% | 20.0% | +137.6% | $23.46 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Classified → Covert Minimal Wear | B the Monster  50.0% $1,312.69 Starlight Protector  25.0% $179.19 Nightwish  25.0% $117.09 | $1,312.69 +116.6% | $730.41 +20.5% | 50.0% | +96.1% | $606.08 | — |