The Safehouse Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FT 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested
Inputs
Forest Leaves
3x $0.09
Tiger Tear
2x $0.07
Marsh
2x $0.07
Leafhopper
3x $0.07
↓
Possible Outputs
Wintergreen
14.0% $4.61
Tropical Breeze
14.0% $1.82
Acid Fade
10.0% $1.49
Teardown
10.0% $0.49
Poplar Thicket
14.0% $0.47
Gold Leaf
14.0% $0.41
Max Win
$4.61 (+375.3%)
EV (ROI %)
$1.30 (+34.4%)
Win %
38.0%
Volatility
+148.2%
Cost
$0.97
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $0.97
Ask Price EV $1.30 (+34.4%)
Bid Price EV $1.13 (+16.6%)
Ask Profit $0.33 (+34.4%)
Bid Profit $0.16 (+16.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.17 (+17.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.33
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.16
Risk
Win Probability 38.0%
Loss Probability 62.0%
Best Case $4.61 (+375.3%)
Worst Case $0.30 (-68.7%)
Volatility +148.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 62.0%
Avg Win +$1.79
Avg Loss -$0.56
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.30 (-68.7%)
Std Dev $1.44
Avg Norm Float 0.1992
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 114h 59m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
USP-S | Forest Leaves
—
Field-Tested
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | Forest Leaves
—
Field-Tested
$0.10 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | Forest Leaves
—
Field-Tested
$0.12 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Tiger Tear
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Marsh
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Leafhopper
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Marsh
—
Field-Tested
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Leafhopper
—
Field-Tested
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Leafhopper
—
Minimal Wear
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Tiger Tear
—
Minimal Wear
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 35M 02S //TOTAL COST $0.97 //ASK PRICE EV $1.30 //BID PRICE EV $1.13 //ASK PROFIT $0.33 (+34.4%) //BID PROFIT $0.16 (+16.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 38.0% //BEST CASE $4.61 //VOLATILITY +148.2% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$4.61
+$3.64
+375.3%
$3.81
+$2.84
+292.8%
$0.80
17.4%
—
BIG WIN
14.0%
$1.82
+$0.85
+87.7%
$1.70
+$0.73
+75.3%
$0.12
6.6%
—
BIG WIN
10.0%
$1.49
+$0.52
+53.4%
$1.31
+$0.34
+35.1%
$0.18
11.9%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.49
-$0.48
-49.5%
$0.41
-$0.56
-57.7%
$0.08
16.3%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$0.47
-$0.50
-51.9%
$0.41
-$0.56
-57.7%
$0.06
12.2%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$0.41
-$0.56
-57.7%
$0.38
-$0.59
-60.8%
$0.03
7.4%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$0.38
-$0.59
-61.1%
$0.35
-$0.62
-63.9%
$0.03
7.3%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.30
-$0.67
-68.7%
$0.28
-$0.69
-71.1%
$0.02
7.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-safehouse|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.14943,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e027a11f0d46",
"realistic_value": 4.61,
"optimistic_value": 4.61,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen",
"conservative_value": 3.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:23.769730Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e027a11f0d46.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.1354832,
"output_skin_id": "skin-efe243521c5e",
"realistic_value": 0.467,
"optimistic_value": 0.46,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket",
"conservative_value": 0.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:56:31.131633Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-efe243521c5e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.119544,
"output_skin_id": "skin-279e913dd981",
"realistic_value": 0.41050000000000003,
"optimistic_value": 0.4,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf",
"conservative_value": 0.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:48:54.653511Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-279e913dd981.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.10958200000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ea3238e578e7",
"realistic_value": 1.821,
"optimistic_value": 1.73,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze",
"conservative_value": 1.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:13.839903Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ea3238e578e7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.119544,
"output_skin_id": "skin-17ba4cfaa721",
"realistic_value": 0.3775,
"optimistic_value": 0.36,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage",
"conservative_value": 0.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:36:07.245716Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-17ba4cfaa721.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.119544,
"output_skin_id": "skin-466d0513f5e8",
"realistic_value": 0.49,
"optimistic_value": 0.49,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Teardown",
"conservative_value": 0.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Safehouse Collection",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Teardown (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:28:32.418486Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-466d0513f5e8.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.079696,
"output_skin_id": "skin-45614ab4f605",
"realistic_value": 0.3035,
"optimistic_value": 0.3,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz",
"conservative_value": 0.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Safehouse Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:36:05.859214Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45614ab4f605.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.0059772,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8d85f69ac3c8",
"realistic_value": 1.4875,
"optimistic_value": 1.47,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Acid Fade",
"conservative_value": 1.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Safehouse Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Acid Fade (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:38:54.690988Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d85f69ac3c8.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_4d26a09fc98b634990b697d1",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-ffe1b0513490",
"listing_id": "526501587737010977",
"collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Forest Leaves (Field-Tested)",
"name": "USP-S | Forest Leaves",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ffe1b0513490.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:51:36.504825Z"
},
{
"price": 0.1,
"skin_id": "skin-ffe1b0513490",
"listing_id": "520872088105979016",
"collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Forest Leaves (Field-Tested)",
"name": "USP-S | Forest Leaves",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ffe1b0513490.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:51:36.504825Z"
},
{
"price": 0.12,
"skin_id": "skin-ffe1b0513490",
"listing_id": "606438509290341941",
"collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Forest Leaves (Field-Tested)",
"name": "USP-S | Forest Leaves",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ffe1b0513490.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:51:36.504825Z"
},
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-f57cd46a7078",
"listing_id": "497228190140829245",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f57cd46a7078.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:50.909472Z"
},
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-fce2182cb25e",
"listing_id": "510738989039935162",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Marsh (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Marsh",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fce2182cb25e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:43:36.403926Z"
},
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
"listing_id": "498354089952663223",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Field-Tested)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:42:40.865854Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-fce2182cb25e",
"listing_id": "502856892559649080",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Marsh (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Marsh",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fce2182cb25e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:43:36.403926Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
"listing_id": "519746135814788696",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Field-Tested)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:42:40.865854Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
"listing_id": "519746188258597184",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:47:33.351661Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-f57cd46a7078",
"listing_id": "512990623225420919",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f57cd46a7078.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:54:50.179352Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-safehouse:3+collection-set-timed-drops-neutral:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Safehouse Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Wintergreen 14.0% $4.61 Tropical Breeze 14.0% $3.67 Teardown 10.0% $2.81 Copperflage 14.0% $1.68 Gold Leaf 14.0% $1.57 Acid Fade 10.0% $1.49 | $4.61 +161.9% | $2.25 +27.8% | 38.0% | +63.9% | $1.76 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Safehouse Collection ×4+The Boreal Collection ×6 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 12.0% $4.61 Tropical Breeze 12.0% $1.82 Acid Fade 13.3% $1.49 Teardown 13.3% $0.49 Poplar Thicket 12.0% $0.47 Gold Leaf 12.0% $0.41 | $4.61 +395.7% | $1.23 +31.9% | 37.3% | +138.0% | $0.93 | — |
The Safehouse Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 16.0% $4.61 Tropical Breeze 16.0% $1.82 Acid Fade 6.7% $1.36 Teardown 6.7% $0.49 Poplar Thicket 16.0% $0.48 Gold Leaf 16.0% $0.41 | $4.61 +339.0% | $1.38 +31.0% | 38.7% | +135.9% | $1.05 | — |
The Safehouse Collection ×5+The Boreal Collection ×5 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 10.0% $4.61 Tropical Breeze 10.0% $1.82 Acid Fade 16.7% $1.49 Teardown 16.7% $0.49 Poplar Thicket 10.0% $0.47 Gold Leaf 10.0% $0.41 | $4.61 +412.2% | $1.15 +27.6% | 36.7% | +133.1% | $0.90 | — |
The Safehouse Collection ×6+The Boreal Collection ×4 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 8.0% $4.61 Tropical Breeze 8.0% $1.82 Silver Quartz 20.0% $1.39 Acid Fade 20.0% $1.36 Teardown 20.0% $0.49 Poplar Thicket 8.0% $0.48 | $4.61 +334.9% | $1.26 +19.3% | 56.0% | +98.7% | $1.06 | — |