The Gamma Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Aerial
1x $0.43
Iron Clad
1x $0.47
Dark Sigil
1x $0.15
Motorized
3x $0.16
Slag
2x $0.17
Hideout
1x $0.20
↓
Possible Outputs
Phobos
4.0% $9.84
Aristocrat
4.0% $6.48
Chopper
4.0% $4.89
Block-18
16.0% $4.19
Reboot
4.0% $3.51
Limelight
4.0% $2.62
Max Win
$9.84 (+298.3%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.93 (+18.6%)
Win %
36.0%
Volatility
+77.9%
Cost
$2.47
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.47
Ask Price EV $2.93 (+18.6%)
Bid Price EV $2.61 (+5.9%)
Ask Profit $0.46 (+18.6%)
Bid Profit $0.14 (+5.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.31 (+12.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.46
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.14
Risk
Win Probability 36.0%
Loss Probability 64.0%
Best Case $9.84 (+298.3%)
Worst Case $1.44 (-41.8%)
Volatility +77.9%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 32.0%
Avg Win +$2.43
Avg Loss -$0.65
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.44 (-41.8%)
Std Dev $1.93
Avg Norm Float 0.2224
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 149h 23m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SG 553 | Aerial
—
Field-Tested
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Iron Clad
—
Field-Tested
$0.47 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Field-Tested
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Field-Tested
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Field-Tested
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Field-Tested
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 01H 00M 11S //TOTAL COST $2.47 //ASK PRICE EV $2.93 //BID PRICE EV $2.61 //ASK PROFIT $0.46 (+18.6%) //BID PROFIT $0.14 (+5.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 36.0% //BEST CASE $9.84 //VOLATILITY +77.9% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
4.0%
$9.84
+$7.37
+298.3%
$8.14
+$5.67
+229.6%
$1.70
17.3%
—
BIG WIN
4.0%
$6.48
+$4.01
+162.5%
$5.17
+$2.70
+109.3%
$1.31
20.3%
—
BIG WIN
4.0%
$4.89
+$2.42
+97.9%
$4.00
+$1.53
+61.9%
$0.89
18.2%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$4.19
+$1.72
+69.7%
$3.88
+$1.41
+57.1%
$0.31
7.4%
—
WIN
4.0%
$3.51
+$1.04
+42.1%
$2.95
+$0.48
+19.4%
$0.56
16.0%
—
SMALL WIN
4.0%
$2.62
+$0.15
+6.0%
$2.59
+$0.12
+4.9%
$0.03
1.1%
—
LOSS
16.0%
$2.33
-$0.14
-5.6%
$2.08
-$0.39
-15.8%
$0.25
10.8%
—
LOSS
16.0%
$1.95
-$0.52
-21.0%
$1.85
-$0.62
-25.1%
$0.10
5.2%
—
LOSS
16.0%
$1.56
-$0.91
-36.8%
$1.43
-$1.04
-42.1%
$0.13
8.3%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.44
-$1.03
-41.8%
$1.39
-$1.08
-43.7%
$0.05
3.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-13|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-13"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.22244,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 1.4375,
"optimistic_value": 1.42,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 1.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:30:52.880130Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.149451875,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 4.1905,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 3.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:50.971922Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.22244,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 2.331,
"optimistic_value": 2.31,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 2.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:28:23.571994Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.22244,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 1.56,
"optimistic_value": 1.56,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 1.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:04:39.434678Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.1376592184,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 1.951,
"optimistic_value": 1.93,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:19:34.822539Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.1468104,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d88fbf7ef8e1",
"realistic_value": 6.483,
"optimistic_value": 6.35,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Aristocrat",
"conservative_value": 5.17,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AUG | Aristocrat (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:12:40.020455Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d88fbf7ef8e1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.088976,
"output_skin_id": "skin-78882aeeb9a7",
"realistic_value": 9.8375,
"optimistic_value": 9.75,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Phobos",
"conservative_value": 8.14,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Phobos (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:29:05.700822Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-78882aeeb9a7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.133464,
"output_skin_id": "skin-31a18fdabe59",
"realistic_value": 4.889,
"optimistic_value": 4.84,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Chopper",
"conservative_value": 4,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T20:17:32.133949Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-31a18fdabe59.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.22244,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1b8d8987488f",
"realistic_value": 3.51,
"optimistic_value": 3.51,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Reboot",
"conservative_value": 2.95,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Reboot (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:29:24.518819Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1b8d8987488f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.22244,
"output_skin_id": "skin-33872c48a8e5",
"realistic_value": 2.618,
"optimistic_value": 2.59,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Limelight",
"conservative_value": 2.59,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Limelight (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:01:21.690366Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-33872c48a8e5.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_4aab858f7d3e4869dfc8d789",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-f7201f00d647",
"listing_id": "503983537176298891",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Aerial (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Aerial",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f7201f00d647.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:35:23.103741Z"
},
{
"price": 0.47,
"skin_id": "skin-6736df07aec5",
"listing_id": "516368488725525650",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Iron Clad (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Iron Clad",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6736df07aec5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:35:12.458027Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "516368541588549422",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:24:38.411665Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "503983642532388475",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:24:53.942897Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "500605942755366047",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:19:45.445948Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "525375740885225203",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:24:53.942897Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "496101493247435159",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:19:45.445948Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "514116523129581066",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:19:55.143125Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "518620288314777880",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:14:57.635579Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "523123940968925206",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:15:06.698916Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-13:2+collection-set-community-33:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gamma Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Phobos 4.0% $13.56 Reboot 4.0% $8.39 Aristocrat 4.0% $6.48 Chopper 4.0% $4.89 Etch Lord 16.0% $4.45 Block-18 16.0% $4.19 | $13.56 +284.0% | $4.13 +16.9% | 52.0% | +60.4% | $3.53 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gamma Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Phobos 6.0% $13.56 Reboot 6.0% $8.39 Aristocrat 6.0% $6.48 Chopper 6.0% $4.89 Etch Lord 14.0% $4.45 Block-18 14.0% $4.19 | $13.56 +250.3% | $4.54 +17.4% | 58.0% | +63.4% | $3.87 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×4+The Kilowatt Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Phobos 8.0% $13.56 Reboot 8.0% $8.39 Aristocrat 8.0% $6.48 Chopper 8.0% $4.89 Etch Lord 12.0% $4.45 Block-18 12.0% $4.19 | $13.56 +220.5% | $4.96 +17.4% | 44.0% | +63.1% | $4.23 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Phobos 10.0% $13.56 Reboot 10.0% $8.39 Aristocrat 10.0% $6.48 Chopper 10.0% $4.89 Etch Lord 10.0% $4.45 Block-18 10.0% $4.19 | $13.56 +191.5% | $5.39 +15.9% | 40.0% | +60.6% | $4.65 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Phobos 2.0% $13.56 Reboot 2.0% $8.39 Aristocrat 2.0% $6.48 Chopper 2.0% $4.89 Etch Lord 18.0% $4.45 Block-18 18.0% $4.19 | $13.56 +319.7% | $3.70 +14.7% | 46.0% | +50.9% | $3.23 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gamma Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Desolate Space  16.7% $71.39 Bloodsport  16.7% $53.46 Black Lotus  16.7% $37.06 Imperial Dragon  16.7% $28.30 Jawbreaker  16.7% $27.10 Olympus  16.7% $14.55 | $71.39 +113.9% | $38.64 +15.8% | 50.0% | +56.3% | $33.37 | — |