The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8+The Radiant Collection ×2
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Foresight
2x $0.14
Ensnared
2x $0.15
Scrawl
1x $0.16
Spirit Board
2x $0.20
Necro Jr.
1x $0.30
Rose Hex
2x $0.34
↓
Possible Outputs
Mulberry
6.7% $15.94
Glitched Paint
6.7% $7.11
Bleeding Edge
6.7% $5.58
Ticket to Hell
16.0% $1.66
Night Terror
16.0% $1.58
Space Cat
16.0% $1.26
Max Win
$15.94 (+621.3%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.94 (+33.1%)
Win %
20.0%
Volatility
+176.1%
Cost
$2.21
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.21
Ask Price EV $2.94 (+33.1%)
Bid Price EV $2.67 (+20.7%)
Ask Profit $0.73 (+33.1%)
Bid Profit $0.46 (+20.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.27 (+12.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.73
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.46
Risk
Win Probability 20.0%
Loss Probability 80.0%
Best Case $15.94 (+621.3%)
Worst Case $0.93 (-58.0%)
Volatility +176.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 80.0%
Avg Win +$7.34
Avg Loss -$0.92
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.93 (-58.0%)
Std Dev $3.89
Avg Norm Float 0.1962
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 13m
Oldest Output Price 140h 40m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAG-7 | Foresight
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Foresight
—
Field-Tested
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Ensnared
—
Field-Tested
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Ensnared
—
Field-Tested
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Scrawl
—
Field-Tested
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Spirit Board
—
Field-Tested
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Spirit Board
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Necro Jr.
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Rose Hex
—
Field-Tested
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Rose Hex
—
Field-Tested
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 30M 03S //TOTAL COST $2.21 //ASK PRICE EV $2.94 //BID PRICE EV $2.67 //ASK PROFIT $0.73 (+33.1%) //BID PROFIT $0.46 (+20.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 20.0% //BEST CASE $15.94 //VOLATILITY +176.1% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
6.7%
$15.94
+$13.73
+621.3%
$14.54
+$12.33
+557.9%
$1.40
8.8%
—
BIG WIN
6.7%
$7.11
+$4.90
+221.8%
$6.21
+$4.00
+181.0%
$0.90
12.7%
—
BIG WIN
6.7%
$5.58
+$3.37
+152.5%
$5.14
+$2.93
+132.6%
$0.44
7.9%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$1.66
-$0.55
-25.0%
$1.44
-$0.77
-34.8%
$0.22
13.1%
—
LOSS
16.0%
$1.58
-$0.63
-28.5%
$1.43
-$0.78
-35.3%
$0.15
9.5%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.26
-$0.95
-42.8%
$1.16
-$1.05
-47.5%
$0.10
8.2%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.02
-$1.19
-53.8%
$0.99
-$1.22
-55.2%
$0.03
3.0%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$0.93
-$1.28
-58.0%
$0.87
-$1.34
-60.6%
$0.06
6.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-30|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.19623,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5efcaeb15ee",
"realistic_value": 0.9285,
"optimistic_value": 0.89,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade",
"conservative_value": 0.87,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:48:13.151797Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5efcaeb15ee.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.13736099999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec2dd0814c74",
"realistic_value": 1.58,
"optimistic_value": 1.58,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror",
"conservative_value": 1.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T05:58:34.524448Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec2dd0814c74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.1314741,
"output_skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"realistic_value": 1.2635,
"optimistic_value": 1.26,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"conservative_value": 1.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:54:26.237228Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.14913479999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f3392bb443bc",
"realistic_value": 1.6569999999999998,
"optimistic_value": 1.65,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell",
"conservative_value": 1.44,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:36:32.948871Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f3392bb443bc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.098115,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"realistic_value": 1.021,
"optimistic_value": 1,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"conservative_value": 0.99,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:48:13.237480Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.14717249999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2d7d76a0b8b5",
"realistic_value": 15.9415,
"optimistic_value": 15.91,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Mulberry",
"conservative_value": 14.54,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:19:07.329445Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2d7d76a0b8b5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.1314741,
"output_skin_id": "skin-75c237bdd4fc",
"realistic_value": 7.1125,
"optimistic_value": 7.06,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Glitched Paint",
"conservative_value": 6.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:51:32.000337Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-75c237bdd4fc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.11773799999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8e15b1a9e945",
"realistic_value": 5.581,
"optimistic_value": 5.49,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Bleeding Edge",
"conservative_value": 5.14,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:15:45.829558Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8e15b1a9e945.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_484dfaa35522d8727a116f51",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-c8ccc993ef98",
"listing_id": "491598690699311594",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Foresight (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Foresight",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c8ccc993ef98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:48:43.085580Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-c8ccc993ef98",
"listing_id": "519745391330168096",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Foresight (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Foresight",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c8ccc993ef98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:48:43.085580Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-7b9cc6bc31ef",
"listing_id": "490472738292937491",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Ensnared",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7b9cc6bc31ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:57:02.067471Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-7b9cc6bc31ef",
"listing_id": "511864091800288269",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Ensnared",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7b9cc6bc31ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:57:02.067471Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-ee6dee51b1f5",
"listing_id": "521997935570639898",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Scrawl",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ee6dee51b1f5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:47:58.477833Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-3da25779ee2d",
"listing_id": "644715839416488156",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Spirit Board",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3da25779ee2d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:46:12.095352Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-3da25779ee2d",
"listing_id": "755049594443143112",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Spirit Board",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3da25779ee2d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:46:12.095352Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-0571189c0ca3",
"listing_id": "519746188257835928",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Necro Jr.",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0571189c0ca3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:56:50.629565Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-d474744b61b7",
"listing_id": "516368488725524570",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d474744b61b7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:54:00.384170Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-d474744b61b7",
"listing_id": "525375688036290175",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d474744b61b7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:54:00.384170Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-30:8+collection-set-timed-drops-warm:2"
}Related
Related contracts
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×2+The Radiant Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 26.7% $15.94 Glitched Paint 26.7% $7.11 Bleeding Edge 26.7% $5.58 Night Terror 4.0% $1.58 Space Cat 4.0% $1.26 Zombie Offensive 4.0% $1.02 | $15.94 +164.4% | $7.86 +30.4% | 53.3% | +81.5% | $6.03 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×1+The Radiant Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 30.0% $15.94 Glitched Paint 30.0% $7.11 Bleeding Edge 30.0% $5.58 Night Terror 2.0% $1.58 Space Cat 2.0% $1.26 Dream Glade 2.0% $1.07 | $15.94 +130.7% | $8.71 +26.0% | 60.0% | +68.9% | $6.91 | — |