The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Radiant Collection ×4
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Bone Forged
2x $0.29
Tom Cat
2x $0.34
Desert Strike
1x $0.34
Distressed
1x $0.36
Blush Pour
2x $0.35
Shredded
1x $0.39
↓
Possible Outputs
Mulberry
13.3% $15.94
Glitched Paint
13.3% $6.61
Bleeding Edge
13.3% $5.31
Fever Dream
12.0% $2.97
Acid Etched
12.0% $1.01
Apocalypto
12.0% $1.00
Max Win
$15.94 (+354.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.55 (+29.5%)
Win %
40.0%
Volatility
+140.5%
Cost
$3.51
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.51
Ask Price EV $4.55 (+29.5%)
Bid Price EV $4.21 (+19.9%)
Ask Profit $1.04 (+29.5%)
Bid Profit $0.70 (+19.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.34 (+9.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.04
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.70
Risk
Win Probability 40.0%
Loss Probability 60.0%
Best Case $15.94 (+354.2%)
Worst Case $0.95 (-72.8%)
Volatility +140.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 48.0%
Avg Win +$5.78
Avg Loss -$2.13
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.95 (-72.8%)
Std Dev $4.93
Avg Norm Float 0.1998
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 17m
Oldest Output Price 151h 3m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
R8 Revolver | Bone Forged
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Bone Forged
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Tom Cat
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Desert Strike
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Tom Cat
—
Minimal Wear
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Blush Pour
—
Field-Tested
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Blush Pour
—
Field-Tested
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Shredded
—
Field-Tested
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Rose Hex
—
Field-Tested
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 55M 45S //TOTAL COST $3.51 //ASK PRICE EV $4.55 //BID PRICE EV $4.21 //ASK PROFIT $1.04 (+29.5%) //BID PROFIT $0.70 (+19.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 40.0% //BEST CASE $15.94 //VOLATILITY +140.5% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
13.3%
$15.94
+$12.43
+354.2%
$14.54
+$11.03
+314.2%
$1.40
8.8%
—
BIG WIN
13.3%
$6.61
+$3.10
+88.3%
$6.18
+$2.67
+76.1%
$0.43
6.5%
—
BIG WIN
13.3%
$5.31
+$1.80
+51.4%
$5.20
+$1.69
+48.1%
$0.11
2.1%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$2.97
-$0.54
-15.3%
$2.80
-$0.71
-20.2%
$0.17
5.9%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$1.01
-$2.50
-71.2%
$0.87
-$2.64
-75.2%
$0.14
13.9%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$1.00
-$2.51
-71.5%
$0.89
-$2.62
-74.6%
$0.11
11.1%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$0.98
-$2.53
-72.0%
$0.85
-$2.66
-75.8%
$0.13
13.6%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$0.95
-$2.56
-72.8%
$0.85
-$2.66
-75.8%
$0.10
10.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-25|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.14985749999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2d7d76a0b8b5",
"realistic_value": 15.9415,
"optimistic_value": 15.91,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Mulberry",
"conservative_value": 14.54,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:19:07.329445Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2d7d76a0b8b5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.1338727,
"output_skin_id": "skin-75c237bdd4fc",
"realistic_value": 6.609,
"optimistic_value": 6.56,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Glitched Paint",
"conservative_value": 6.18,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:10:41.046976Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-75c237bdd4fc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.11988599999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8e15b1a9e945",
"realistic_value": 5.314,
"optimistic_value": 5.3,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Bleeding Edge",
"conservative_value": 5.2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:00:16.507803Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8e15b1a9e945.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.19981,
"output_skin_id": "skin-dd7837484577",
"realistic_value": 1.01,
"optimistic_value": 1.01,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Acid Etched",
"conservative_value": 0.87,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Acid Etched (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:36:18.459472Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd7837484577.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.19981,
"output_skin_id": "skin-803029f01b68",
"realistic_value": 0.9534999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 0.95,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer",
"conservative_value": 0.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:05:04.590925Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-803029f01b68.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.19981,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d00c49e52bd9",
"realistic_value": 0.9834999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 0.98,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Darkwing",
"conservative_value": 0.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Darkwing (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:58:02.801753Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d00c49e52bd9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.1438632,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e5f08d307bdd",
"realistic_value": 2.9745,
"optimistic_value": 2.95,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Fever Dream",
"conservative_value": 2.8,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:04:57.864998Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5f08d307bdd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.19981,
"output_skin_id": "skin-db4ae843fbd7",
"realistic_value": 1.001,
"optimistic_value": 0.98,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Apocalypto",
"conservative_value": 0.89,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:13:46.135619Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db4ae843fbd7.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_44d5acd673a37b0237a0cf98",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-3c54e05cbb62",
"listing_id": "527627540537898824",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Bone Forged",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c54e05cbb62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:22:12.778974Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-3c54e05cbb62",
"listing_id": "507361237010235361",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Bone Forged",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c54e05cbb62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:22:12.778974Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-42cc631beb8c",
"listing_id": "499480042828020313",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Tom Cat (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "AUG | Tom Cat",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-42cc631beb8c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:10:38.252400Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-d536309c3714",
"listing_id": "506235337026426216",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Desert Strike",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d536309c3714.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:19:05.605320Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "525375522202008871",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:05:11.962227Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-42cc631beb8c",
"listing_id": "491598690698515994",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Tom Cat (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "AUG | Tom Cat",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-42cc631beb8c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:10:38.252400Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-0f8b4882d7c6",
"listing_id": "508487189339594522",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0f8b4882d7c6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:13:56.167914Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-0f8b4882d7c6",
"listing_id": "526501535293735613",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0f8b4882d7c6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:13:56.167914Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-5254ad7ed93d",
"listing_id": "494976390475987854",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Shredded (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Shredded",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5254ad7ed93d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:19:20.636043Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-d474744b61b7",
"listing_id": "525375688036290175",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d474744b61b7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:19:43.126023Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-25:6+collection-set-timed-drops-warm:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×5+The Radiant Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 16.7% $15.94 Glitched Paint 16.7% $6.61 Bleeding Edge 16.7% $5.31 Fever Dream 10.0% $2.97 Acid Etched 10.0% $1.01 Apocalypto 10.0% $1.00 | $15.94 +283.2% | $5.34 +28.3% | 50.0% | +116.1% | $4.16 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×3+The Radiant Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 23.3% $15.94 Glitched Paint 23.3% $6.78 Bleeding Edge 23.3% $5.54 Fever Dream 6.0% $2.97 Acid Etched 6.0% $1.01 Apocalypto 6.0% $1.00 | $15.94 +190.4% | $7.01 +27.7% | 70.0% | +90.0% | $5.49 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×4+The Radiant Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 20.0% $15.94 Glitched Paint 20.0% $6.78 Bleeding Edge 20.0% $5.27 Fever Dream 8.0% $2.97 Acid Etched 8.0% $1.01 Apocalypto 8.0% $1.00 | $15.94 +230.7% | $6.15 +27.7% | 60.0% | +102.6% | $4.82 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Radiant Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 26.7% $15.94 Glitched Paint 26.7% $6.61 Bleeding Edge 26.7% $5.31 Fever Dream 4.0% $2.97 Acid Etched 4.0% $1.01 Apocalypto 4.0% $1.00 | $15.94 +156.7% | $7.71 +24.1% | 53.3% | +79.6% | $6.21 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×1+The Radiant Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 30.0% $15.94 Glitched Paint 30.0% $6.78 Bleeding Edge 30.0% $5.27 Fever Dream 2.0% $2.97 Acid Etched 2.0% $1.01 Apocalypto 2.0% $1.00 | $15.94 +130.0% | $8.54 +23.2% | 30.0% | +69.9% | $6.93 | — |