The Clutch Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Night Riot
3x $0.17
Black Sand
2x $0.20
RMX
3x $0.34
Bock Blocks
1x $0.43
Fusion
1x $0.59
↓
Possible Outputs
Electrum
10.0% $10.69
Firebreathing
10.0% $6.12
Galigator
10.0% $3.49
Urban Sovereign
10.0% $2.92
Amberline
10.0% $2.88
Moonrise
10.0% $2.63
Max Win
$10.69 (+242.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.31 (+6.0%)
Win %
30.0%
Volatility
+92.4%
Cost
$3.12
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $3.12
Ask Price EV $3.31 (+6.0%)
Bid Price EV $2.81 (-9.9%)
Ask Profit $0.19 (+6.0%)
Bid Profit $-0.31 (-9.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.49 (+15.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.19
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.31
Risk
Win Probability 30.0%
Loss Probability 70.0%
Best Case $10.69 (+242.7%)
Worst Case $0.97 (-68.9%)
Volatility +92.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$3.65
Avg Loss -$1.30
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.97 (-68.9%)
Std Dev $2.88
Avg Norm Float 0.3244
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 9m
Oldest Output Price 153h 24m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Field-Tested
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Field-Tested
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Black Sand
—
Field-Tested
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Black Sand
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Well-Worn
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Well-Worn
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Well-Worn
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Field-Tested
$0.59 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 31M 23S //TOTAL COST $3.12 //ASK PRICE EV $3.31 //BID PRICE EV $2.81 //ASK PROFIT $0.19 (+6.0%) //BID PROFIT $-0.31 (-9.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 30.0% //BEST CASE $10.69 //VOLATILITY +92.4% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
10.0%
$10.69
+$7.57
+242.7%
$9.15
+$6.03
+193.3%
$1.54
14.4%
—
BIG WIN
10.0%
$6.12
+$3.00
+96.1%
$4.98
+$1.86
+59.6%
$1.14
18.6%
—
PAPER WIN
10.0%
$3.49
+$0.37
+11.9%
$2.67
-$0.45
-14.4%
$0.82
23.5%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$2.92
-$0.20
-6.6%
$2.61
-$0.51
-16.3%
$0.31
10.5%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$2.88
-$0.24
-7.6%
$2.61
-$0.51
-16.3%
$0.27
9.5%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$2.63
-$0.49
-15.7%
$2.35
-$0.77
-24.7%
$0.28
10.7%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.30
-$1.82
-58.2%
$1.16
-$1.96
-62.8%
$0.14
11.0%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.06
-$2.06
-66.0%
$0.92
-$2.20
-70.5%
$0.14
13.2%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.00
-$2.12
-67.8%
$0.82
-$2.30
-73.7%
$0.18
18.3%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.97
-$2.15
-68.9%
$0.85
-$2.27
-72.8%
$0.12
12.5%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-19|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.32439,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 6.117,
"optimistic_value": 6.11,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 4.98,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:41.545500Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.32439,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 3.4905,
"optimistic_value": 3.48,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 2.67,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:26:04.735573Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.21085350000000003,
"output_skin_id": "skin-52971a3886a2",
"realistic_value": 2.6315,
"optimistic_value": 2.6,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Moonrise",
"conservative_value": 2.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Moonrise (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:19:18.000325Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-52971a3886a2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.32439,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 10.693000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 10.63,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 9.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:48.376233Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.2984388,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f0063cb51e43",
"realistic_value": 1.3035,
"optimistic_value": 1.3,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7",
"conservative_value": 1.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:34:59.920793Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0063cb51e43.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.32439,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 2.8835,
"optimistic_value": 2.88,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 2.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:23:24.395704Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.32439,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 2.9155,
"optimistic_value": 2.87,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 2.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:23:08.912575Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.17841450000000003,
"output_skin_id": "skin-58651a482529",
"realistic_value": 1.0605,
"optimistic_value": 1.05,
"output_full_name": "Negev | Lionfish",
"conservative_value": 0.92,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Negev | Lionfish (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T04:27:51.747702Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-58651a482529.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.259512,
"output_skin_id": "skin-85bee1ae1898",
"realistic_value": 1.0035,
"optimistic_value": 1,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Wild Six",
"conservative_value": 0.82,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Wild Six (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:04:04.828416Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85bee1ae1898.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.259512,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a4ca18460f2c",
"realistic_value": 0.971,
"optimistic_value": 0.95,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf",
"conservative_value": 0.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:39:32.734018Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a4ca18460f2c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_44281707f2275db2762d41ae",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "497228243054864477",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Field-Tested)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:37:05.431161Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "515241791640763117",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Field-Tested)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:37:05.431161Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "654852743756863759",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Field-Tested)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:37:05.431161Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-cbffebebb7f3",
"listing_id": "525374890946739055",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cbffebebb7f3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:34:04.720001Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-cbffebebb7f3",
"listing_id": "516368488725299606",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cbffebebb7f3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:34:04.720001Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "496102290329980931",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:33:54.904962Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "516368488725935870",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:33:54.904962Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "503983537173773743",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:33:54.904962Z"
},
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "526501640651499737",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:39:32.904563Z"
},
{
"price": 0.59,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "511864723318980237",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:36:28.074753Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-19:5+collection-set-community-37:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 10.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 10.0% $10.78 Amberline 10.0% $6.11 Galigator 10.0% $5.59 Moonrise 10.0% $5.15 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $4.90 | $16.94 +236.0% | $5.86 +16.3% | 50.0% | +76.4% | $5.04 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 10.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 10.0% $31.66 Amberline 10.0% $18.87 Galigator 10.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $13.85 SWAG-7 10.0% $11.87 | $51.27 +228.7% | $17.12 +9.7% | 30.0% | +76.5% | $15.60 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 18.0% $31.66 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Galigator 18.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $13.85 SWAG-7 2.0% $11.87 | $51.27 +169.4% | $24.25 +27.4% | 36.0% | +71.7% | $19.03 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 16.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 16.0% $31.66 Amberline 16.0% $18.87 Galigator 16.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $13.85 SWAG-7 4.0% $11.87 | $51.27 +184.5% | $22.47 +24.7% | 48.0% | +73.4% | $18.02 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 14.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 14.0% $31.66 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Galigator 14.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $13.85 SWAG-7 6.0% $11.87 | $51.27 +199.8% | $20.68 +21.0% | 42.0% | +75.1% | $17.10 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 12.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 12.0% $31.66 Amberline 12.0% $18.87 Galigator 12.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $13.85 SWAG-7 8.0% $11.87 | $51.27 +217.1% | $18.90 +16.9% | 36.0% | +76.9% | $16.17 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 8.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 8.0% $6.12 Galigator 8.0% $3.49 Amberline 8.0% $2.88 Urban Sovereign 8.0% $2.87 Moonrise 12.0% $2.63 | $10.69 +306.6% | $2.92 +11.0% | 52.0% | +90.7% | $2.63 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight  30.0% $290.04 Cortex  3.3% $66.83 Kintsugi  30.0% $60.46 Deathgaze  30.0% $58.59 Mortis  3.3% $31.39 Stymphalian  3.3% $23.14 | $290.04 +195.9% | $126.77 +29.3% | 30.0% | +109.4% | $98.02 | — |