The Clutch Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Night Riot
2x $0.34
Black Sand
3x $0.36
Fragment
1x $0.43
Fusion
2x $0.59
Bock Blocks
2x $0.63
↓
Possible Outputs
Electrum
10.0% $16.94
Firebreathing
10.0% $10.78
Amberline
10.0% $6.17
Galigator
10.0% $5.63
Moonrise
10.0% $5.15
Urban Sovereign
10.0% $4.88
Max Win
$16.94 (+237.4%)
EV (ROI %)
$5.87 (+17.0%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+89.2%
Cost
$5.02
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $5.02
Ask Price EV $5.87 (+17.0%)
Bid Price EV $4.97 (-0.9%)
Ask Profit $0.85 (+17.0%)
Bid Profit $-0.05 (-0.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.90 (+17.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.85
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.05
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $16.94 (+237.4%)
Worst Case $1.83 (-63.5%)
Volatility +89.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$3.91
Avg Loss -$2.21
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.83 (-63.5%)
Std Dev $4.48
Avg Norm Float 0.1468
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 18m
Oldest Output Price 152h 55m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Black Sand
—
Minimal Wear
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Black Sand
—
Minimal Wear
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Black Sand
—
Minimal Wear
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Minimal Wear
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Field-Tested
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Field-Tested
$0.59 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.63 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Minimal Wear
$0.72 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Minimal Wear
$0.78 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 26M 32S //TOTAL COST $5.02 //ASK PRICE EV $5.87 //BID PRICE EV $4.97 //ASK PROFIT $0.85 (+17.0%) //BID PROFIT $-0.05 (-0.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $16.94 //VOLATILITY +89.2% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
10.0%
$16.94
+$11.92
+237.4%
$14.31
+$9.29
+185.1%
$2.63
15.5%
—
BIG WIN
10.0%
$10.78
+$5.76
+114.7%
$9.15
+$4.13
+82.3%
$1.63
15.1%
—
PAPER WIN
10.0%
$6.17
+$1.15
+22.8%
$4.92
-$0.10
-2.0%
$1.25
20.2%
—
PAPER WIN
10.0%
$5.63
+$0.61
+12.2%
$4.91
-$0.11
-2.2%
$0.72
12.8%
—
PAPER WIN
10.0%
$5.15
+$0.13
+2.7%
$4.28
-$0.74
-14.7%
$0.87
17.0%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$4.88
-$0.14
-2.8%
$4.26
-$0.76
-15.1%
$0.62
12.7%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$3.27
-$1.75
-34.9%
$2.85
-$2.17
-43.2%
$0.42
12.8%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$2.04
-$2.98
-59.4%
$1.69
-$3.33
-66.3%
$0.35
17.2%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$2.04
-$2.98
-59.4%
$1.79
-$3.23
-64.3%
$0.25
12.1%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.83
-$3.19
-63.5%
$1.58
-$3.44
-68.5%
$0.25
13.8%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-19|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.14684,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 10.7765,
"optimistic_value": 10.71,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 9.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.430728Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.14684,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 5.6315,
"optimistic_value": 5.53,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 4.91,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:34:47.458843Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.095446,
"output_skin_id": "skin-52971a3886a2",
"realistic_value": 5.1545,
"optimistic_value": 5.13,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Moonrise",
"conservative_value": 4.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:44:42.556819Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-52971a3886a2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.14684,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 16.936,
"optimistic_value": 16.88,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 14.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.044782Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1350928,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f0063cb51e43",
"realistic_value": 3.2675,
"optimistic_value": 3.25,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7",
"conservative_value": 2.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:47:27.437279Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0063cb51e43.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.14684,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 6.167,
"optimistic_value": 6.16,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 4.92,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:13:54.143621Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.14684,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 4.8785,
"optimistic_value": 4.84,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 4.26,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:34:46.609051Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.080762,
"output_skin_id": "skin-58651a482529",
"realistic_value": 2.04,
"optimistic_value": 2.04,
"output_full_name": "Negev | Lionfish",
"conservative_value": 1.69,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Negev | Lionfish (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:55:08.354047Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-58651a482529.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.11747200000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-85bee1ae1898",
"realistic_value": 1.832,
"optimistic_value": 1.79,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Wild Six",
"conservative_value": 1.58,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Wild Six (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:37:31.847536Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85bee1ae1898.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.11747200000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a4ca18460f2c",
"realistic_value": 2.037,
"optimistic_value": 1.96,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf",
"conservative_value": 1.79,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:22:10.085556Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a4ca18460f2c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_44281707f2275db2762d41ae",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "526501587738401189",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:32:25.041798Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-cbffebebb7f3",
"listing_id": "523123888073153314",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cbffebebb7f3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:32:09.890278Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-cbffebebb7f3",
"listing_id": "635712517303217611",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cbffebebb7f3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:32:09.890278Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-cbffebebb7f3",
"listing_id": "775323495735297198",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cbffebebb7f3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:32:09.890278Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "497227393142459465",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:32:25.041798Z"
},
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
"listing_id": "521998040963095890",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:32:45.262953Z"
},
{
"price": 0.59,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "511864723318980237",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:22:04.099321Z"
},
{
"price": 0.63,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "643593816523454425",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:25:11.362955Z"
},
{
"price": 0.72,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "510739041954246190",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:35:26.010014Z"
},
{
"price": 0.78,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "525375740885184271",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:32:00.021650Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-19:5+collection-set-community-37:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 10.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 10.0% $6.12 Galigator 10.0% $3.49 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $2.90 Amberline 10.0% $2.88 Moonrise 10.0% $2.63 | $10.69 +267.5% | $3.31 +13.7% | 30.0% | +86.4% | $2.91 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 10.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 10.0% $31.66 Amberline 10.0% $18.87 Galigator 10.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $13.85 SWAG-7 10.0% $11.87 | $51.27 +231.0% | $17.14 +10.6% | 30.0% | +77.1% | $15.49 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 18.0% $31.66 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Galigator 18.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $13.85 SWAG-7 2.0% $11.87 | $51.27 +169.9% | $24.25 +27.6% | 36.0% | +71.8% | $19.00 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 16.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 16.0% $31.66 Amberline 16.0% $18.87 Galigator 16.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $13.85 SWAG-7 4.0% $11.87 | $51.27 +186.3% | $22.47 +25.5% | 48.0% | +73.8% | $17.91 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 14.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 14.0% $31.66 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Galigator 14.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $13.85 SWAG-7 6.0% $11.87 | $51.27 +201.8% | $20.70 +21.8% | 42.0% | +75.6% | $16.99 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 12.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 12.0% $10.78 Amberline 12.0% $6.17 Galigator 12.0% $5.81 Moonrise 8.0% $5.15 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $4.97 | $16.94 +207.9% | $6.51 +18.3% | 48.0% | +72.1% | $5.50 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 8.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 8.0% $10.78 Amberline 8.0% $6.17 Galigator 8.0% $5.81 Moonrise 12.0% $5.15 Urban Sovereign 8.0% $4.97 | $16.94 +276.4% | $5.28 +17.4% | 52.0% | +81.2% | $4.50 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight  30.0% $290.04 Cortex  3.3% $61.96 Kintsugi  30.0% $60.46 Deathgaze  30.0% $58.59 Mortis  3.3% $31.41 Stymphalian  3.3% $23.14 | $290.04 +193.8% | $126.61 +28.3% | 30.0% | +108.7% | $98.71 | — |