The Revolution Collection ×7+The Overpass Collection ×3
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear
Inputs
Re.built
2x $0.43
Cyberforce
3x $1.62
Featherweight
1x $1.63
Rebel
1x $2.31
VariCamo Blue
2x $17.06
Nitro
1x $21.36
↓
Possible Outputs
Pink DDPAT
15.0% $135.49
Road Rash
15.0% $124.10
Emphorosaur-S
14.0% $1.62
Banana Cannon
14.0% $1.61
Sakkaku
14.0% $1.43
Umbral Rabbit
14.0% $1.29
Max Win
$135.49 (+91.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$39.93 (-43.5%)
Win %
30.0%
Volatility
+83.4%
Cost
$70.67
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $70.67
Ask Price EV $39.93 (-43.5%)
Bid Price EV $34.68 (-50.9%)
Ask Profit $-30.74 (-43.5%)
Bid Profit $-35.99 (-50.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $5.25 (+7.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$30.74
Bid Slippage Buffer -$35.99
Risk
Win Probability 30.0%
Loss Probability 70.0%
Best Case $135.49 (+91.7%)
Worst Case $1.10 (-98.4%)
Volatility +83.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 70.0%
Avg Win +$59.12
Avg Loss -$69.26
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.10 (-98.4%)
Std Dev $58.91
Avg Norm Float 0.1215
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 142h 12m
Oldest Output Price 88h 51m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P250 | Re.built
—
Minimal Wear
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Factory New
$1.40 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Factory New
$1.62 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Featherweight
—
Factory New
$1.63 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Rebel
—
Factory New
$2.31 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Factory New
$2.41 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Factory New
$3.06 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | VariCamo Blue
—
Field-Tested
$17.06 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | VariCamo Blue
—
Minimal Wear
$19.39 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Nitro
—
Field-Tested
$21.36 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 03M 00S //TOTAL COST $70.67 //ASK PRICE EV $39.93 //BID PRICE EV $34.68 //ASK PROFIT $-30.74 (-43.5%) //BID PROFIT $-35.99 (-50.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 30.0% //BEST CASE $135.49 //VOLATILITY +83.4% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
15.0%
$135.49
+$64.82
+91.7%
$116.22
+$45.55
+64.5%
$19.27
14.2%
—
BIG WIN
15.0%
$124.10
+$53.43
+75.6%
$108.84
+$38.17
+54.0%
$15.25
12.3%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$1.62
-$69.05
-97.7%
$1.44
-$69.23
-98.0%
$0.18
11.1%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$1.61
-$69.06
-97.7%
$1.58
-$69.09
-97.8%
$0.03
2.1%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$1.43
-$69.24
-98.0%
$1.42
-$69.25
-98.0%
$0.01
0.9%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$1.29
-$69.38
-98.2%
$1.19
-$69.48
-98.3%
$0.10
7.5%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$1.10
-$69.57
-98.4%
$0.93
-$69.74
-98.7%
$0.17
15.5%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.1499396,
"output_skin_id": "skin-665b5d16532c",
"realistic_value": 135.48850000000002,
"optimistic_value": 127.68,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Pink DDPAT",
"conservative_value": 116.22,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:41:36.216720Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-665b5d16532c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.12154,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d7d145b204a5",
"realistic_value": 124.095,
"optimistic_value": 120,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Road Rash",
"conservative_value": 108.84,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Road Rash (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T21:13:15.597816Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d7d145b204a5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.091155,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 1.286,
"optimistic_value": 1.23,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 1.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:44:59.503087Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.097232,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 1.6205,
"optimistic_value": 1.61,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 1.44,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:19:09.046078Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.2804932,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 1.4335,
"optimistic_value": 1.43,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 1.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:52:27.189326Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.07292399999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 1.1,
"optimistic_value": 1.1,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 0.93,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:24.279242Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.12154,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 1.6135000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 1.61,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 1.58,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T10:05:40.697941Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_43fb6b80942649859dfefec4",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "497228137695378905",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Re.built (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:45:05.477296Z"
},
{
"price": 1.4,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "499479989895991957",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Re.built (Factory New)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:47:09.026816Z"
},
{
"price": 1.62,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "510738823412252854",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce (Factory New)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:36:53.945038Z"
},
{
"price": 1.63,
"skin_id": "skin-2f564d56b7ff",
"listing_id": "517494222851162194",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Featherweight (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Featherweight",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f564d56b7ff.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:38:55.486232Z"
},
{
"price": 2.31,
"skin_id": "skin-e5141cf036fa",
"listing_id": "751679596833965231",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Rebel (Factory New)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Rebel",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5141cf036fa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:54:13.473461Z"
},
{
"price": 2.41,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "653726915737535379",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce (Factory New)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:36:53.945038Z"
},
{
"price": 3.06,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "511864888984272429",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce (Factory New)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:36:53.945038Z"
},
{
"price": 17.06,
"skin_id": "skin-3a57219a9579",
"listing_id": "655978008938796559",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Field-Tested)",
"name": "XM1014 | VariCamo Blue",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3a57219a9579.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:43:41.506212Z"
},
{
"price": 19.39,
"skin_id": "skin-3a57219a9579",
"listing_id": "496101493258480463",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | VariCamo Blue",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3a57219a9579.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:36:41.893550Z"
},
{
"price": 21.36,
"skin_id": "skin-11ddb95a9bd7",
"listing_id": "501730992847493381",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Nitro (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Nitro",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-11ddb95a9bd7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:41:22.723114Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-32:7+collection-set-overpass:3"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Overpass Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Road Rash 15.0% $701.51 Pink DDPAT 15.0% $135.49 Banana Cannon 14.0% $9.06 Emphorosaur-S 14.0% $5.76 Umbral Rabbit 14.0% $4.30 Neoqueen 14.0% $3.17 | $701.51 +630.5% | $128.87 +34.2% | 30.0% | +250.2% | $96.03 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Overpass Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Road Rash 20.0% $701.51 Pink DDPAT 20.0% $135.49 Banana Cannon 12.0% $9.06 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $5.76 Umbral Rabbit 12.0% $4.30 Neoqueen 12.0% $3.17 | $701.51 +403.7% | $170.25 +22.3% | 20.0% | +189.6% | $139.26 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Overpass Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Road Rash 25.0% $701.51 Pink DDPAT 25.0% $135.49 Banana Cannon 10.0% $9.06 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $5.76 Umbral Rabbit 10.0% $4.30 Neoqueen 10.0% $3.17 | $701.51 +251.6% | $211.62 +6.1% | 25.0% | +140.4% | $199.54 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×8+The Overpass Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Master Piece  20.0% $1,330.91 Wicked Sick  26.7% $34.62 Wild Child  26.7% $33.67 Duality  26.7% $25.85 | $1,330.91 +493.4% | $291.28 +29.9% | 20.0% | +231.8% | $224.29 | — |