The Revolution Collection ×7+The Overpass Collection ×3
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New
Inputs
Cyberforce
5x $2.13
Rebel
2x $2.31
VariCamo Blue
1x $19.39
Nitro
2x $21.36
↓
Possible Outputs
Road Rash
15.0% $701.51
Pink DDPAT
15.0% $135.49
Banana Cannon
14.0% $9.06
Emphorosaur-S
14.0% $5.76
Umbral Rabbit
14.0% $4.30
Neoqueen
14.0% $3.17
Max Win
$701.51 (+630.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$128.87 (+34.2%)
Win %
30.0%
Volatility
+255.0%
Cost
$96.03
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $96.03
Ask Price EV $128.87 (+34.2%)
Bid Price EV $94.36 (-1.7%)
Ask Profit $32.84 (+34.2%)
Bid Profit $-1.67 (-1.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $34.51 (+35.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$32.84
Bid Slippage Buffer -$1.67
Risk
Win Probability 30.0%
Loss Probability 70.0%
Best Case $701.51 (+630.5%)
Worst Case $1.44 (-98.5%)
Volatility +255.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 70.0%
Avg Win +$322.47
Avg Loss -$91.28
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.44 (-98.5%)
Std Dev $244.92
Avg Norm Float 0.0700
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 15m
Oldest Output Price 141h 14m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Factory New
$2.13 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Rebel
—
Factory New
$2.31 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Factory New
$2.41 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Factory New
$2.50 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Factory New
$3.06 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Rebel
—
Factory New
$3.30 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Factory New
$4.37 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | VariCamo Blue
—
Minimal Wear
$19.39 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Nitro
—
Field-Tested
$21.36 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Nitro
—
Minimal Wear
$35.20 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 02M 21S //TOTAL COST $96.03 //ASK PRICE EV $128.87 //BID PRICE EV $94.36 //ASK PROFIT $32.84 (+34.2%) //BID PROFIT $-1.67 (-1.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 30.0% //BEST CASE $701.51 //VOLATILITY +255.0% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
15.0%
$701.51
+$605.48
+630.5%
$490.79
+$394.76
+411.1%
$210.72
30.0%
—
WIN
15.0%
$135.49
+$39.46
+41.1%
$116.22
+$20.19
+21.0%
$19.27
14.2%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$9.06
-$86.97
-90.6%
$9.05
-$86.98
-90.6%
$0.01
0.1%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$5.76
-$90.27
-94.0%
$5.70
-$90.33
-94.1%
$0.06
1.1%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$4.30
-$91.73
-95.5%
$4.29
-$91.74
-95.5%
$0.01
0.2%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$3.17
-$92.86
-96.7%
$3.16
-$92.87
-96.7%
$0.01
0.3%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$1.44
-$94.59
-98.5%
$1.42
-$94.61
-98.5%
$0.02
1.4%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.1117852,
"output_skin_id": "skin-665b5d16532c",
"realistic_value": 135.48850000000002,
"optimistic_value": 127.68,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Pink DDPAT",
"conservative_value": 116.22,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:30:55.021378Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-665b5d16532c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.06998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d7d145b204a5",
"realistic_value": 701.5105,
"optimistic_value": 657.4,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Road Rash",
"conservative_value": 490.79,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Overpass Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:44:32.262681Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d7d145b204a5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.052485000000000004,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 4.3,
"optimistic_value": 4.3,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 4.29,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:48:09.863236Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.055984000000000006,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 5.764,
"optimistic_value": 5.75,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 5.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:56:59.448219Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.2505884,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 1.44,
"optimistic_value": 1.44,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 1.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:14:29.979912Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.041988,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 3.17,
"optimistic_value": 3.17,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 3.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:51:41.879123Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 9.06,
"optimistic_value": 9.06,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 9.05,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:45:10.241022Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_43fb6b80942649859dfefec4",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 2.13,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "509612923502423571",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce (Factory New)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:48:21.565939Z"
},
{
"price": 2.31,
"skin_id": "skin-e5141cf036fa",
"listing_id": "751679596833965231",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Rebel (Factory New)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Rebel",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5141cf036fa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:43:13.137058Z"
},
{
"price": 2.41,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "653726915737535379",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce (Factory New)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:48:21.565939Z"
},
{
"price": 2.5,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "511864091793547593",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce (Factory New)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:48:21.565939Z"
},
{
"price": 3.06,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "511864888984272429",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce (Factory New)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:48:21.565939Z"
},
{
"price": 3.3,
"skin_id": "skin-e5141cf036fa",
"listing_id": "521997822479691330",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Rebel (Factory New)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Rebel",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5141cf036fa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:43:13.137058Z"
},
{
"price": 4.37,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "506234592360066384",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce (Factory New)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:48:21.565939Z"
},
{
"price": 19.39,
"skin_id": "skin-3a57219a9579",
"listing_id": "496101493258480463",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | VariCamo Blue",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3a57219a9579.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:48:21.660304Z"
},
{
"price": 21.36,
"skin_id": "skin-11ddb95a9bd7",
"listing_id": "501730992847493381",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Nitro (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Nitro",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-11ddb95a9bd7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:53:53.788884Z"
},
{
"price": 35.2,
"skin_id": "skin-11ddb95a9bd7",
"listing_id": "634586007403861349",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Nitro (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Nitro",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-11ddb95a9bd7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:47:41.496909Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-32:7+collection-set-overpass:3"
}Related
Related contracts
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Overpass Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Road Rash 20.0% $701.51 Pink DDPAT 20.0% $135.49 Banana Cannon 12.0% $9.06 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $5.76 Umbral Rabbit 12.0% $4.30 Neoqueen 12.0% $3.17 | $701.51 +403.7% | $170.25 +22.3% | 20.0% | +189.6% | $139.26 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Overpass Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Road Rash 25.0% $701.51 Pink DDPAT 25.0% $135.49 Banana Cannon 10.0% $9.06 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $5.76 Umbral Rabbit 10.0% $4.30 Neoqueen 10.0% $3.17 | $701.51 +251.6% | $211.62 +6.1% | 25.0% | +140.4% | $199.54 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×8+The Overpass Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Master Piece  20.0% $1,330.91 Wicked Sick  26.7% $34.62 Wild Child  26.7% $33.66 Duality  26.7% $25.85 | $1,330.91 +493.4% | $291.28 +29.9% | 20.0% | +231.8% | $224.29 | — |