The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Classified → Covert WW ST 10 items
Contract
Classified → Covert Well-Worn StatTrak™
Inputs
Wicked Sick
3x $5.08
Kintsugi
6x $7.86
Deathgaze
1x $10.83
↓
Possible Outputs
Queen's Gambit
35.0% $100.30
Fully Tuned
35.0% $68.52
Temukau
15.0% $52.74
Head Shot
15.0% $39.98
Max Win
$100.30 (+26.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$73.00 (-7.9%)
Win %
35.0%
Volatility
+28.0%
Cost
$79.30
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $79.30
Ask Price EV $73.00 (-7.9%)
Bid Price EV $67.58 (-14.8%)
Ask Profit $-6.30 (-7.9%)
Bid Profit $-11.72 (-14.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $5.42 (+6.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$6.30
Bid Slippage Buffer -$11.72
Risk
Win Probability 35.0%
Loss Probability 65.0%
Best Case $100.30 (+26.5%)
Worst Case $39.98 (-49.6%)
Volatility +28.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 30.0%
Avg Win +$21.00
Avg Loss -$21.01
Bottom 5% Outcome $39.98 (-49.6%)
Std Dev $22.21
Avg Norm Float 0.4153
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 11m
Oldest Output Price 152h 2m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P2000 | Wicked Sick
—
Well-Worn
$5.08 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Wicked Sick
—
Well-Worn
$5.17 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Wicked Sick
—
Well-Worn
$5.26 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Well-Worn
$7.86 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Well-Worn
$8.23 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Well-Worn
$8.70 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Well-Worn
$8.90 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Well-Worn
$9.23 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Well-Worn
$10.04 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Well-Worn
$10.83 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 04M 15S //TOTAL COST $79.30 //ASK PRICE EV $73.00 //BID PRICE EV $67.58 //ASK PROFIT $-6.30 (-7.9%) //BID PROFIT $-11.72 (-14.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 35.0% //BEST CASE $100.30 //VOLATILITY +28.0% //
Possible Outputs · 4
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
WIN
35.0%
$100.30
+$21.00
+26.5%
$94.02
+$14.72
+18.6%
$6.28
6.3%
—
LOSS
35.0%
$68.52
-$10.78
-13.6%
$62.86
-$16.44
-20.7%
$5.66
8.3%
—
LOSS
15.0%
$52.74
-$26.56
-33.5%
$47.24
-$32.06
-40.4%
$5.50
10.4%
—
NUKE
15.0%
$39.98
-$39.32
-49.6%
$37.23
-$42.07
-53.1%
$2.75
6.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Classified|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Classified|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.35,
"output_float": 0.41528,
"output_skin_id": "skin-66197377b028",
"realistic_value": 100.303,
"optimistic_value": 98,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Queen's Gambit",
"conservative_value": 94.02,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Queen's Gambit (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:18:06.195080Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-66197377b028.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.35,
"output_float": 0.41528,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec359b168d17",
"realistic_value": 68.5225,
"optimistic_value": 67,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Fully Tuned",
"conservative_value": 62.86,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:21:31.690768Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec359b168d17.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.41528,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1f95db2031e4",
"realistic_value": 39.978,
"optimistic_value": 39.46,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Head Shot",
"conservative_value": 37.23,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:15:58.726763Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1f95db2031e4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.332224,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1aba3ea9ecc5",
"realistic_value": 52.739,
"optimistic_value": 51.71,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Temukau",
"conservative_value": 47.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:34:13.288982Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1aba3ea9ecc5.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_43b6913def506b40f8063abb",
"input_rarity": "Classified",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 5.08,
"skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
"listing_id": "528753440605428705",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Well-Worn)",
"name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:13:05.442354Z"
},
{
"price": 5.17,
"skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
"listing_id": "523123888072097686",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Well-Worn)",
"name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:13:05.442354Z"
},
{
"price": 5.26,
"skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
"listing_id": "516368541589197674",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Well-Worn)",
"name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:13:05.442354Z"
},
{
"price": 7.86,
"skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"listing_id": "501731842662033473",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
"name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:58.766363Z"
},
{
"price": 8.23,
"skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"listing_id": "503983642533243187",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
"name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:58.766363Z"
},
{
"price": 8.7,
"skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"listing_id": "509613142168111467",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
"name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:58.766363Z"
},
{
"price": 8.9,
"skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"listing_id": "518620341243517168",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
"name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:58.766363Z"
},
{
"price": 9.23,
"skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"listing_id": "516368436281265362",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
"name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:58.766363Z"
},
{
"price": 10.04,
"skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"listing_id": "512990789045613371",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
"name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:58.766363Z"
},
{
"price": 10.83,
"skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"listing_id": "591801811364706824",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Well-Worn)",
"name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:10:34.243637Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Covert",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Classified|Covert|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:3+collection-set-community-37:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 35.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned 35.0% $484.90 Temukau 15.0% $288.76 Head Shot 15.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +108.2% | $536.91 +32.5% | 70.0% | +61.0% | $405.11 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit 35.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned 35.0% $105.54 Temukau 15.0% $52.74 Head Shot 15.0% $46.53 | $141.08 +76.9% | $101.21 +26.9% | 70.0% | +46.3% | $79.74 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Classified → Covert Minimal Wear ST | Queen's Gambit 35.0% $286.65 Fully Tuned 35.0% $201.70 Temukau 15.0% $126.64 Head Shot 15.0% $70.95 | $286.65 +52.8% | $200.56 +6.9% | 70.0% | +41.1% | $187.57 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 30.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned 30.0% $484.90 Temukau 20.0% $288.76 Head Shot 20.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +124.6% | $494.48 +31.7% | 60.0% | +67.1% | $375.48 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 25.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned 25.0% $484.90 Temukau 25.0% $288.76 Head Shot 25.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +141.4% | $452.06 +29.4% | 50.0% | +71.4% | $349.42 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 45.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned 45.0% $484.90 Temukau 5.0% $288.76 Head Shot 5.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +69.8% | $621.76 +25.1% | 45.0% | +42.9% | $496.82 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 20.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned 20.0% $484.90 Temukau 30.0% $288.76 Head Shot 30.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +157.2% | $409.63 +24.9% | 40.0% | +73.1% | $327.94 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 15.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned 15.0% $484.90 Temukau 35.0% $288.76 Head Shot 35.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +171.0% | $367.21 +18.0% | 30.0% | +71.2% | $311.21 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit 10.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned 10.0% $105.54 Temukau 40.0% $52.74 Head Shot 40.0% $46.53 | $141.08 +140.4% | $64.37 +9.7% | 20.0% | +52.2% | $58.69 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum  14.0% $51.27 Firebreathing  14.0% $31.66 Amberline  14.0% $18.87 Galigator  14.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign  14.0% $12.98 Emphorosaur-S  6.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +232.5% | $20.09 +30.3% | 42.0% | +84.7% | $15.42 | — |