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The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7

Classified → Covert MW ST 10 items
Factory New +32.5%Field-Tested +26.9%Minimal Wear +6.9%Well-Worn -7.9%
Contract
Classified → Covert Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Wicked Sick
P2000 | Wicked Sick
2x $11.78
Wild Child
UMP-45 | Wild Child
1x $17.25
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
5x $13.69
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
2x $24.00
↓
Possible Outputs
Queen's Gambit
AWP | Queen's Gambit
35.0% $286.65
Fully Tuned
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
35.0% $201.70
Temukau
M4A4 | Temukau
15.0% $126.64
Head Shot
AK-47 | Head Shot
15.0% $70.95
Max Win
$286.65 (+52.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$200.56 (+6.9%)
Win %
70.0%
Volatility
+41.1%
Cost
$187.57
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGE
Total Cost $187.57
Ask Price EV $200.56 (+6.9%)
Bid Price EV $163.73 (-12.7%)
Ask Profit $12.99 (+6.9%)
Bid Profit $-23.84 (-12.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $36.83 (+19.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$12.99
Bid Slippage Buffer -$23.84
Risk
Win Probability 70.0%
Loss Probability 30.0%
Best Case $286.65 (+52.8%)
Worst Case $70.95 (-62.2%)
Volatility +41.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 30.0%
Avg Win +$56.60
Avg Loss -$88.77
Bottom 5% Outcome $70.95 (-62.2%)
Std Dev $77.03
Avg Norm Float 0.1490
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 152h 1m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Sign in to Validate
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P2000 | Wicked Sick
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear)
$11.78 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Wild Child
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear)
$17.25 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Wicked Sick
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear)
$18.99 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)
$13.69 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)
$16.00 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)
$16.04 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)
$18.40 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)
$20.42 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)
$24.00 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)
$31.00 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 04M 15S //TOTAL COST $187.57 //ASK PRICE EV $200.56 //BID PRICE EV $163.73 //ASK PROFIT $12.99 (+6.9%) //BID PROFIT $-23.84 (-12.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 70.0% //BEST CASE $286.65 //VOLATILITY +41.1% //
Possible Outputs · 4
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Click Spin to start.
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.
Raw payload (JSON) 
{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Classified|stattrak",
      "item_count": 3,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Classified|stattrak",
      "item_count": 7,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.35,
      "output_float": 0.14901,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-66197377b028",
      "realistic_value": 286.65,
      "optimistic_value": 280,
      "output_full_name": "AWP | Queen's Gambit",
      "conservative_value": 225.69,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:16:45.217119Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-66197377b028.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.35,
      "output_float": 0.14901,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-ec359b168d17",
      "realistic_value": 201.6965,
      "optimistic_value": 189.38,
      "output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Fully Tuned",
      "conservative_value": 167.58,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:19:53.158991Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec359b168d17.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.15,
      "output_float": 0.14901,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-1f95db2031e4",
      "realistic_value": 70.9495,
      "optimistic_value": 69,
      "output_full_name": "AK-47 | Head Shot",
      "conservative_value": 62,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:16:44.327515Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1f95db2031e4.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.15,
      "output_float": 0.11920800000000001,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-1aba3ea9ecc5",
      "realistic_value": 126.6415,
      "optimistic_value": 125,
      "output_full_name": "M4A4 | Temukau",
      "conservative_value": 111.91,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:23:23.801392Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1aba3ea9ecc5.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_43b6913def506b40f8063abb",
  "input_rarity": "Classified",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 11.78,
      "skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
      "listing_id": "523123091065567750",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:55:41.423816Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 17.25,
      "skin_id": "skin-f04de3b20f62",
      "listing_id": "641339588745669314",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "UMP-45 | Wild Child",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f04de3b20f62.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:55:48.795165Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 18.99,
      "skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
      "listing_id": "512990736599406455",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:55:41.423816Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 13.69,
      "skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
      "listing_id": "499479937453177105",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:29.145775Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 16,
      "skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
      "listing_id": "500605837398995339",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:29.145775Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 16.04,
      "skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
      "listing_id": "521997191229558426",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:29.145775Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 18.4,
      "skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
      "listing_id": "508486392194532230",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:29.145775Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 20.42,
      "skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
      "listing_id": "490472843632893459",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:07:01.584521Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 24,
      "skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
      "listing_id": "517494441497659822",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:04:00.315394Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 31,
      "skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
      "listing_id": "511864888984349901",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:04:00.315394Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Covert",
  "stattrak_mode": true,
  "composition_key": "Classified|Covert|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:3+collection-set-community-37:7"
}
Related

Related contracts

Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Classified → Covert Factory New ST
Queen's Gambit
AWP | Queen's Gambit
35.0% $843.46
Fully Tuned
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
35.0% $484.90
Temukau
M4A4 | Temukau
15.0% $288.76
Head Shot
AK-47 | Head Shot
15.0% $191.11
$843.46
+108.2%
$536.91
+32.5%
70.0%+61.0%$405.11—
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST
Queen's Gambit
AWP | Queen's Gambit
35.0% $141.08
Fully Tuned
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
35.0% $105.54
Temukau
M4A4 | Temukau
15.0% $52.74
Head Shot
AK-47 | Head Shot
15.0% $46.53
$141.08
+76.9%
$101.21
+26.9%
70.0%+46.3%$79.74—
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6
Classified → Covert Factory New ST
Queen's Gambit
AWP | Queen's Gambit
30.0% $843.46
Fully Tuned
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
30.0% $484.90
Temukau
M4A4 | Temukau
20.0% $288.76
Head Shot
AK-47 | Head Shot
20.0% $191.11
$843.46
+124.6%
$494.48
+31.7%
60.0%+67.1%$375.48—
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5
Classified → Covert Factory New ST
Queen's Gambit
AWP | Queen's Gambit
25.0% $843.46
Fully Tuned
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
25.0% $484.90
Temukau
M4A4 | Temukau
25.0% $288.76
Head Shot
AK-47 | Head Shot
25.0% $191.11
$843.46
+141.4%
$452.06
+29.4%
50.0%+71.4%$349.42—
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9
Classified → Covert Factory New ST
Queen's Gambit
AWP | Queen's Gambit
45.0% $843.46
Fully Tuned
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
45.0% $484.90
Temukau
M4A4 | Temukau
5.0% $288.76
Head Shot
AK-47 | Head Shot
5.0% $191.11
$843.46
+69.8%
$621.76
+25.1%
45.0%+42.9%$496.82—
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4
Classified → Covert Factory New ST
Queen's Gambit
AWP | Queen's Gambit
20.0% $843.46
Fully Tuned
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
20.0% $484.90
Temukau
M4A4 | Temukau
30.0% $288.76
Head Shot
AK-47 | Head Shot
30.0% $191.11
$843.46
+157.2%
$409.63
+24.9%
40.0%+73.1%$327.94—
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3
Classified → Covert Factory New ST
Queen's Gambit
AWP | Queen's Gambit
15.0% $843.46
Fully Tuned
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
15.0% $484.90
Temukau
M4A4 | Temukau
35.0% $288.76
Head Shot
AK-47 | Head Shot
35.0% $191.11
$843.46
+171.0%
$367.21
+18.0%
30.0%+71.2%$311.21—
The Revolution Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2
Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST
Queen's Gambit
AWP | Queen's Gambit
10.0% $141.08
Fully Tuned
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
10.0% $105.54
Temukau
M4A4 | Temukau
40.0% $52.74
Head Shot
AK-47 | Head Shot
40.0% $46.53
$141.08
+140.4%
$64.37
+9.7%
20.0%+52.2%$58.69—
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST
Electrum
M4A1-S | Electrum
14.0% $51.27
Firebreathing
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing
14.0% $31.66
Amberline
MP7 | Amberline
14.0% $18.87
Galigator
Galil AR | Galigator
14.0% $14.51
Urban Sovereign
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
14.0% $12.98
Emphorosaur-S
M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S
6.0% $11.80
$51.27
+232.5%
$20.09
+30.3%
42.0%+84.7%$15.42—
FS

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