The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Classified → Covert FN ST 10 items
Contract
Classified → Covert Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Wild Child
2x $30.94
Wicked Sick
1x $47.00
Deathgaze
2x $20.42
Kintsugi
5x $24.00
↓
Possible Outputs
Queen's Gambit
35.0% $843.46
Fully Tuned
35.0% $484.90
Temukau
15.0% $288.76
Head Shot
15.0% $191.11
Max Win
$843.46 (+104.3%)
EV (ROI %)
$536.91 (+30.0%)
Win %
70.0%
Volatility
+59.8%
Cost
$412.92
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $412.92
Ask Price EV $536.91 (+30.0%)
Bid Price EV $464.37 (+12.5%)
Ask Profit $123.99 (+30.0%)
Bid Profit $51.45 (+12.5%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $72.54 (+17.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$123.99
Bid Slippage Buffer +$51.45
Risk
Win Probability 70.0%
Loss Probability 30.0%
Best Case $843.46 (+104.3%)
Worst Case $191.11 (-53.7%)
Volatility +59.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 30.0%
Avg Win +$251.26
Avg Loss -$172.98
Bottom 5% Outcome $191.11 (-53.7%)
Std Dev $247.00
Avg Norm Float 0.0698
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 18m
Oldest Output Price 151h 7m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
UMP-45 | Wild Child
—
Factory New
$30.94 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Wicked Sick
—
Factory New
$47.00 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Wild Child
—
Factory New
$52.99 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Minimal Wear
$20.42 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Minimal Wear
$24.00 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Minimal Wear
$31.00 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Deathgaze
—
Minimal Wear
$35.00 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Minimal Wear
$43.43 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Factory New
$61.21 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Kintsugi
—
Factory New
$66.93 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 50M 49S //TOTAL COST $412.92 //ASK PRICE EV $536.91 //BID PRICE EV $464.37 //ASK PROFIT $123.99 (+30.0%) //BID PROFIT $51.45 (+12.5%) //WIN PROBABILITY 70.0% //BEST CASE $843.46 //VOLATILITY +59.8% //
Possible Outputs · 4
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
35.0%
$843.46
+$430.54
+104.3%
$729.18
+$316.26
+76.6%
$114.28
13.5%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
35.0%
$484.90
+$71.98
+17.4%
$425.17
+$12.25
+3.0%
$59.73
12.3%
—
LOSS
15.0%
$288.76
-$124.16
-30.1%
$256.42
-$156.50
-37.9%
$32.34
11.2%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
15.0%
$191.11
-$221.81
-53.7%
$145.89
-$267.03
-64.7%
$45.22
23.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Classified|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Classified|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.35,
"output_float": 0.06981,
"output_skin_id": "skin-66197377b028",
"realistic_value": 843.46,
"optimistic_value": 820.92,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Queen's Gambit",
"conservative_value": 729.18,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:16:45.446556Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-66197377b028.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.35,
"output_float": 0.06981,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec359b168d17",
"realistic_value": 484.902,
"optimistic_value": 450,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Fully Tuned",
"conservative_value": 425.17,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:21:30.625100Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec359b168d17.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.06981,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1f95db2031e4",
"realistic_value": 191.11450000000002,
"optimistic_value": 186.33,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Head Shot",
"conservative_value": 145.89,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:16:08.692079Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1f95db2031e4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.055848,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1aba3ea9ecc5",
"realistic_value": 288.75649999999996,
"optimistic_value": 270.28,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Temukau",
"conservative_value": 256.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:23:32.925345Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1aba3ea9ecc5.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_43b6913def506b40f8063abb",
"input_rarity": "Classified",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 30.94,
"skin_id": "skin-f04de3b20f62",
"listing_id": "499480042827690301",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Factory New)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Wild Child",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f04de3b20f62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:04:55.604001Z"
},
{
"price": 47,
"skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
"listing_id": "516368322941506682",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Factory New)",
"name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:05:35.717130Z"
},
{
"price": 52.99,
"skin_id": "skin-f04de3b20f62",
"listing_id": "498353293083594931",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Factory New)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Wild Child",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f04de3b20f62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:04:55.604001Z"
},
{
"price": 20.42,
"skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"listing_id": "490472843632893459",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:18:50.374702Z"
},
{
"price": 24,
"skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"listing_id": "517494441497659822",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:16:07.886004Z"
},
{
"price": 31,
"skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"listing_id": "511864888984349901",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:16:07.886004Z"
},
{
"price": 35,
"skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"listing_id": "645845616401272077",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:18:50.374702Z"
},
{
"price": 43.43,
"skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"listing_id": "500605837398758783",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:16:07.886004Z"
},
{
"price": 61.21,
"skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"listing_id": "508487189340825794",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New)",
"name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:16:10.217943Z"
},
{
"price": 66.93,
"skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"listing_id": "493850438107957924",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New)",
"name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:16:10.217943Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Covert",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Classified|Covert|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:3+collection-set-community-37:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit 35.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned 35.0% $105.54 Temukau 15.0% $52.74 Head Shot 15.0% $46.53 | $141.08 +68.1% | $101.21 +20.6% | 70.0% | +44.0% | $83.93 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Classified → Covert Minimal Wear ST | Queen's Gambit 35.0% $286.65 Fully Tuned 35.0% $201.70 Temukau 15.0% $126.64 Head Shot 15.0% $70.95 | $286.65 +52.8% | $200.56 +6.9% | 70.0% | +41.1% | $187.57 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 30.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned 30.0% $484.90 Temukau 20.0% $288.76 Head Shot 20.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +121.9% | $494.48 +30.1% | 60.0% | +66.3% | $380.06 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 45.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned 45.0% $484.90 Temukau 5.0% $288.76 Head Shot 5.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +73.3% | $621.76 +27.7% | 45.0% | +43.7% | $486.83 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 25.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned 25.0% $484.90 Temukau 25.0% $288.76 Head Shot 25.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +137.2% | $452.06 +27.1% | 50.0% | +70.2% | $355.62 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 20.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned 20.0% $484.90 Temukau 30.0% $288.76 Head Shot 30.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +155.3% | $409.63 +24.0% | 40.0% | +72.6% | $330.40 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 15.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned 15.0% $484.90 Temukau 35.0% $288.76 Head Shot 35.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +172.9% | $367.21 +18.8% | 30.0% | +71.7% | $309.07 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit 10.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned 10.0% $484.90 Temukau 40.0% $288.76 Head Shot 40.0% $191.11 | $843.46 +183.6% | $324.78 +9.2% | 20.0% | +64.8% | $297.46 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum  14.0% $51.27 Firebreathing  14.0% $31.66 Amberline  14.0% $18.87 Galigator  14.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign  14.0% $13.85 Emphorosaur-S  6.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +233.4% | $20.21 +31.4% | 42.0% | +84.3% | $15.38 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight  26.7% $290.04 Kintsugi 26.7% $61.06 Deathgaze 26.7% $59.23 Wicked Sick 6.7% $41.91 Duality  6.7% $37.34 Wild Child 6.7% $31.49 | $290.04 +232.6% | $116.81 +33.9% | 26.7% | +120.2% | $87.21 | — |