The Huntsman Collection ×2+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8
Restricted → Classified MW 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear
Inputs
Heaven Guard
2x $8.20
Night Terror
3x $1.42
Space Cat
1x $1.61
Ticket to Hell
1x $2.23
Zombie Offensive
3x $2.68
↓
Possible Outputs
Orion
5.0% $311.71
Caiman
5.0% $231.58
Atomic Alloy
5.0% $75.62
Cyrex
5.0% $70.90
Rapid Eye Movement
26.7% $11.50
Abyssal Apparition
26.7% $11.39
Max Win
$311.71 (+834.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$43.63 (+30.9%)
Win %
20.0%
Volatility
+237.6%
Cost
$33.34
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $33.34
Ask Price EV $43.63 (+30.9%)
Bid Price EV $41.16 (+23.4%)
Ask Profit $10.29 (+30.9%)
Bid Profit $7.82 (+23.4%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $2.47 (+7.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$10.29
Bid Slippage Buffer +$7.82
Risk
Win Probability 20.0%
Loss Probability 80.0%
Best Case $311.71 (+834.9%)
Worst Case $11.38 (-65.9%)
Volatility +237.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 80.0%
Avg Win +$139.11
Avg Loss -$21.91
Bottom 5% Outcome $11.38 (-65.9%)
Std Dev $79.23
Avg Norm Float 0.1398
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 148h 43m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
XM1014 | Heaven Guard
—
Field-Tested
$8.20 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Heaven Guard
—
Field-Tested
$8.40 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Night Terror
—
Minimal Wear
$1.42 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Night Terror
—
Minimal Wear
$1.58 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Space Cat
—
Minimal Wear
$1.61 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Night Terror
—
Minimal Wear
$1.65 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | Ticket to Hell
—
Minimal Wear
$2.23 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Zombie Offensive
—
Factory New
$2.68 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Zombie Offensive
—
Factory New
$2.69 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Zombie Offensive
—
Factory New
$2.88 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 54M 39S //TOTAL COST $33.34 //ASK PRICE EV $43.63 //BID PRICE EV $41.16 //ASK PROFIT $10.29 (+30.9%) //BID PROFIT $7.82 (+23.4%) //WIN PROBABILITY 20.0% //BEST CASE $311.71 //VOLATILITY +237.6% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
5.0%
$311.71
+$278.37
+834.9%
$292.21
+$258.87
+776.5%
$19.50
6.3%
—
BIG WIN
5.0%
$231.58
+$198.24
+594.6%
$213.49
+$180.15
+540.3%
$18.09
7.8%
—
BIG WIN
5.0%
$75.62
+$42.28
+126.8%
$73.96
+$40.62
+121.8%
$1.66
2.2%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
5.0%
$70.90
+$37.56
+112.7%
$67.82
+$34.48
+103.4%
$3.08
4.3%
—
NUKE
26.7%
$11.50
-$21.84
-65.5%
$10.99
-$22.35
-67.0%
$0.51
4.5%
—
NUKE
26.7%
$11.39
-$21.95
-65.8%
$11.01
-$22.33
-67.0%
$0.38
3.4%
—
NUKE
26.7%
$11.38
-$21.96
-65.9%
$10.94
-$22.40
-67.2%
$0.44
3.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-3|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-3"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-30|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.13982,
"output_skin_id": "skin-53e4dc76b3e5",
"realistic_value": 11.383000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 11.32,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Melondrama",
"conservative_value": 10.94,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:56:03.050335Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53e4dc76b3e5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.13982,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c1ded03e3025",
"realistic_value": 11.5035,
"optimistic_value": 11.5,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement",
"conservative_value": 10.99,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:04:31.539224Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c1ded03e3025.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.13982,
"output_skin_id": "skin-335f1a313262",
"realistic_value": 11.393500000000001,
"optimistic_value": 11.39,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Abyssal Apparition",
"conservative_value": 11.01,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:55:50.279076Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-335f1a313262.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.125838,
"output_skin_id": "skin-196d87753c91",
"realistic_value": 75.6215,
"optimistic_value": 74.75,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy",
"conservative_value": 73.96,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-3",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Huntsman Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T09:13:54.812991Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-196d87753c91.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.06991,
"output_skin_id": "skin-bc6a17b8b04c",
"realistic_value": 70.904,
"optimistic_value": 69,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Cyrex",
"conservative_value": 67.82,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-3",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Huntsman Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:16:45.806757Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-bc6a17b8b04c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.055928000000000005,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6fcc0ba62469",
"realistic_value": 231.58499999999998,
"optimistic_value": 229.73,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Caiman",
"conservative_value": 213.49,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-3",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Huntsman Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Caiman (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:35:49.548678Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6fcc0ba62469.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.06991,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a503e5d8d0b7",
"realistic_value": 311.7075,
"optimistic_value": 305.53,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Orion",
"conservative_value": 292.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-3",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Huntsman Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Orion (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:37:40.775724Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a503e5d8d0b7.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_432a259403de3a742733e5e0",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 8.2,
"skin_id": "skin-817e4764952b",
"listing_id": "490472790737668335",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-3",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Heaven Guard (Field-Tested)",
"name": "XM1014 | Heaven Guard",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-817e4764952b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:57:55.014132Z"
},
{
"price": 8.4,
"skin_id": "skin-817e4764952b",
"listing_id": "524249787961829139",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-3",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Heaven Guard (Field-Tested)",
"name": "XM1014 | Heaven Guard",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-817e4764952b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:57:55.014132Z"
},
{
"price": 1.42,
"skin_id": "skin-ec2dd0814c74",
"listing_id": "494976443341838454",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec2dd0814c74.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:13:08.238029Z"
},
{
"price": 1.58,
"skin_id": "skin-ec2dd0814c74",
"listing_id": "509613089305764999",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec2dd0814c74.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:13:08.238029Z"
},
{
"price": 1.61,
"skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"listing_id": "501731624157815477",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:14:44.431830Z"
},
{
"price": 1.65,
"skin_id": "skin-ec2dd0814c74",
"listing_id": "526501587738271445",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec2dd0814c74.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:13:08.238029Z"
},
{
"price": 2.23,
"skin_id": "skin-f3392bb443bc",
"listing_id": "523123091078926198",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f3392bb443bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:08:11.279023Z"
},
{
"price": 2.68,
"skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"listing_id": "511864888985925369",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New)",
"name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:17:48.897613Z"
},
{
"price": 2.69,
"skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"listing_id": "492724590627009429",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New)",
"name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:17:48.897613Z"
},
{
"price": 2.88,
"skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"listing_id": "492724590627017529",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New)",
"name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:17:48.897613Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|normal|10|collection-set-community-3:2+collection-set-community-30:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Huntsman Collection ×2+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Caiman 5.0% $231.58 Orion 5.0% $90.68 Atomic Alloy 5.0% $75.62 Cyrex 5.0% $49.14 Abyssal Apparition 26.7% $9.30 Rapid Eye Movement 26.7% $9.11 | $231.58 +741.2% | $29.63 +7.6% | 20.0% | +184.2% | $27.53 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Huntsman Collection ×1+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear | Orion 2.5% $311.71 Caiman 2.5% $231.58 Atomic Alloy 2.5% $75.62 Cyrex 2.5% $70.90 Melondrama 30.0% $11.55 Rapid Eye Movement 30.0% $11.32 | $311.71 +1253.5% | $27.41 +19.0% | 10.0% | +250.2% | $23.03 | — |
The Huntsman Collection ×3+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear | Orion 7.5% $311.71 Caiman 7.5% $231.58 Atomic Alloy 7.5% $75.62 Cyrex 7.5% $70.90 Melondrama 23.3% $11.55 Rapid Eye Movement 23.3% $11.32 | $311.71 +502.0% | $59.64 +15.2% | 30.0% | +173.8% | $51.78 | — |
The Huntsman Collection ×4+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear | Orion 10.0% $311.71 Caiman 10.0% $231.58 Atomic Alloy 10.0% $75.62 Cyrex 10.0% $70.90 Melondrama 20.0% $11.55 Rapid Eye Movement 20.0% $11.32 | $311.71 +370.4% | $75.76 +14.3% | 40.0% | +148.3% | $66.27 | — |