The Huntsman Collection ×2+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8
Restricted → Classified FT 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Field-Tested
Inputs
Heaven Guard
1x $9.16
Tatter
1x $9.50
Zombie Offensive
2x $1.22
Space Cat
3x $1.28
Night Terror
2x $1.58
Ticket to Hell
1x $2.23
↓
Possible Outputs
Caiman
5.0% $231.58
Orion
5.0% $90.68
Cyrex
5.0% $49.14
Atomic Alloy
5.0% $41.07
Rapid Eye Movement
26.7% $9.08
Abyssal Apparition
26.7% $9.04
Max Win
$231.58 (+649.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$27.84 (-9.9%)
Win %
20.0%
Volatility
+164.6%
Cost
$30.90
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $30.90
Ask Price EV $27.84 (-9.9%)
Bid Price EV $25.86 (-16.3%)
Ask Profit $-3.06 (-9.9%)
Bid Profit $-5.04 (-16.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.98 (+6.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$3.06
Bid Slippage Buffer -$5.04
Risk
Win Probability 20.0%
Loss Probability 80.0%
Best Case $231.58 (+649.5%)
Worst Case $8.95 (-71.0%)
Volatility +164.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 80.0%
Avg Win +$72.22
Avg Loss -$21.88
Bottom 5% Outcome $8.95 (-71.0%)
Std Dev $50.87
Avg Norm Float 0.1747
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 25m
Oldest Output Price 150h 30m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
XM1014 | Heaven Guard
—
Field-Tested
$9.16 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Tatter
—
Field-Tested
$9.50 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Zombie Offensive
—
Minimal Wear
$1.22 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Zombie Offensive
—
Minimal Wear
$1.23 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Space Cat
—
Minimal Wear
$1.28 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Space Cat
—
Minimal Wear
$1.44 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Night Terror
—
Minimal Wear
$1.58 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Space Cat
—
Minimal Wear
$1.61 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Night Terror
—
Minimal Wear
$1.65 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | Ticket to Hell
—
Minimal Wear
$2.23 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 56M 58S //TOTAL COST $30.90 //ASK PRICE EV $27.84 //BID PRICE EV $25.86 //ASK PROFIT $-3.06 (-9.9%) //BID PROFIT $-5.04 (-16.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 20.0% //BEST CASE $231.58 //VOLATILITY +164.6% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
5.0%
$231.58
+$200.68
+649.5%
$213.49
+$182.59
+590.9%
$18.09
7.8%
—
BIG WIN
5.0%
$90.68
+$59.78
+193.5%
$86.54
+$55.64
+180.1%
$4.14
4.6%
—
BIG WIN
5.0%
$49.14
+$18.24
+59.0%
$37.34
+$6.44
+20.8%
$11.80
24.0%
—
WIN
5.0%
$41.07
+$10.17
+32.9%
$39.74
+$8.84
+28.6%
$1.33
3.2%
—
NUKE
26.7%
$9.08
-$21.82
-70.6%
$9.02
-$21.88
-70.8%
$0.06
0.7%
—
NUKE
26.7%
$9.04
-$21.86
-70.7%
$8.64
-$22.26
-72.0%
$0.40
4.5%
—
NUKE
26.7%
$8.95
-$21.95
-71.0%
$8.60
-$22.30
-72.2%
$0.35
3.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-3|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-3"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-30|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.17467,
"output_skin_id": "skin-53e4dc76b3e5",
"realistic_value": 8.946,
"optimistic_value": 8.89,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Melondrama",
"conservative_value": 8.6,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:39.716696Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53e4dc76b3e5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.17467,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c1ded03e3025",
"realistic_value": 9.08,
"optimistic_value": 9.08,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement",
"conservative_value": 9.02,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:27.173008Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c1ded03e3025.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.17467,
"output_skin_id": "skin-335f1a313262",
"realistic_value": 9.043,
"optimistic_value": 8.91,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Abyssal Apparition",
"conservative_value": 8.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:12:51.187229Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-335f1a313262.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.157203,
"output_skin_id": "skin-196d87753c91",
"realistic_value": 41.07,
"optimistic_value": 41,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy",
"conservative_value": 39.74,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-3",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Huntsman Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:12:30.040802Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-196d87753c91.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.087335,
"output_skin_id": "skin-bc6a17b8b04c",
"realistic_value": 49.142,
"optimistic_value": 48.68,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Cyrex",
"conservative_value": 37.34,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-3",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Huntsman Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:02:43.679538Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-bc6a17b8b04c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.069868,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6fcc0ba62469",
"realistic_value": 231.58499999999998,
"optimistic_value": 229.73,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Caiman",
"conservative_value": 213.49,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-3",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Huntsman Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Caiman (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:35:49.548678Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6fcc0ba62469.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.087335,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a503e5d8d0b7",
"realistic_value": 90.6805,
"optimistic_value": 89.97,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Orion",
"conservative_value": 86.54,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-3",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Huntsman Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Orion (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:50:08.612437Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a503e5d8d0b7.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_432a259403de3a742733e5e0",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 9.16,
"skin_id": "skin-817e4764952b",
"listing_id": "622201646459739120",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-3",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Heaven Guard (Field-Tested)",
"name": "XM1014 | Heaven Guard",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-817e4764952b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:10:19.012322Z"
},
{
"price": 9.5,
"skin_id": "skin-148586fd3375",
"listing_id": "509612923506263439",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-3",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Tatter (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Tatter",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-148586fd3375.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:12:51.383794Z"
},
{
"price": 1.22,
"skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"listing_id": "505108692507778808",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:54:27.918288Z"
},
{
"price": 1.23,
"skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"listing_id": "497228137696133285",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:54:27.918288Z"
},
{
"price": 1.28,
"skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"listing_id": "529879340431891272",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:03:09.389442Z"
},
{
"price": 1.44,
"skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"listing_id": "496102290328391207",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:03:09.389442Z"
},
{
"price": 1.58,
"skin_id": "skin-ec2dd0814c74",
"listing_id": "509613089305764999",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec2dd0814c74.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:00:37.353130Z"
},
{
"price": 1.61,
"skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"listing_id": "501731624157815477",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:03:09.389442Z"
},
{
"price": 1.65,
"skin_id": "skin-ec2dd0814c74",
"listing_id": "526501587738271445",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec2dd0814c74.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:00:37.353130Z"
},
{
"price": 2.23,
"skin_id": "skin-f3392bb443bc",
"listing_id": "523123091078926198",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f3392bb443bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:55:14.969852Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|normal|10|collection-set-community-3:2+collection-set-community-30:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Huntsman Collection ×2+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear | Orion 5.0% $311.71 Caiman 5.0% $231.58 Atomic Alloy 5.0% $75.62 Cyrex 5.0% $70.90 Abyssal Apparition 26.7% $11.38 Rapid Eye Movement 26.7% $11.32 | $311.71 +679.3% | $43.52 +8.8% | 20.0% | +193.7% | $40.00 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Huntsman Collection ×4+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear | Orion 10.0% $311.71 Caiman 10.0% $231.58 Atomic Alloy 10.0% $75.62 Cyrex 10.0% $70.43 Abyssal Apparition 20.0% $11.17 Melondrama 20.0% $11.15 | $311.71 +351.0% | $75.62 +9.4% | 40.0% | +142.3% | $69.11 | — |
The Huntsman Collection ×3+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear | Orion 7.5% $311.71 Caiman 7.5% $231.58 Atomic Alloy 7.5% $75.62 Cyrex 7.5% $70.43 Abyssal Apparition 23.3% $11.17 Melondrama 23.3% $11.15 | $311.71 +472.7% | $59.51 +9.3% | 30.0% | +165.5% | $54.43 | — |
The Huntsman Collection ×1+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear | Orion 2.5% $311.71 Caiman 2.5% $231.58 Atomic Alloy 2.5% $75.62 Cyrex 2.5% $70.90 Abyssal Apparition 30.0% $11.29 Melondrama 30.0% $11.15 | $311.71 +1114.3% | $27.32 +6.4% | 10.0% | +224.7% | $25.67 | — |