The Radiant Collection ×5+The Train 2025 Collection ×5
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade MW 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear
Inputs
Basket Halftone
1x $0.12
Grey Ghost
2x $0.13
Steel Work
2x $0.14
Steel Sentinel
2x $0.11
Copper Fiber
3x $0.17
↓
Possible Outputs
Green Line
12.5% $3.09
Late Night Transit
12.5% $2.82
2A2F
12.5% $2.68
Run Run Run
12.5% $2.26
Coral Bloom
8.3% $1.36
Red Tide
8.3% $1.02
Max Win
$3.09 (+95.4%)
EV (ROI %)
$1.85 (+17.0%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+56.9%
Cost
$1.58
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $1.58
Ask Price EV $1.85 (+17.0%)
Bid Price EV $1.78 (+12.7%)
Ask Profit $0.27 (+17.0%)
Bid Profit $0.20 (+12.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.07 (+4.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.27
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.20
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $3.09 (+95.4%)
Worst Case $0.77 (-51.0%)
Volatility +56.9%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 41.7%
Avg Win +$1.13
Avg Loss -$0.59
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.77 (-51.0%)
Std Dev $0.90
Avg Norm Float 0.1496
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 17m
Oldest Output Price 123h 37m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SG 553 | Basket Halftone
—
Minimal Wear
$0.12 Float: HIDDEN
FAMAS | Grey Ghost
—
Minimal Wear
$0.13 Float: HIDDEN
FAMAS | Grey Ghost
—
Minimal Wear
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Steel Work
—
Minimal Wear
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Steel Work
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Steel Sentinel
—
Field-Tested
$0.11 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Steel Sentinel
—
Field-Tested
$0.12 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber
—
Minimal Wear
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 14M 03S //TOTAL COST $1.58 //ASK PRICE EV $1.85 //BID PRICE EV $1.78 //ASK PROFIT $0.27 (+17.0%) //BID PROFIT $0.20 (+12.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $3.09 //VOLATILITY +56.9% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.5%
$3.09
+$1.51
+95.4%
$3.04
+$1.46
+92.4%
$0.05
1.5%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.5%
$2.82
+$1.24
+78.7%
$2.81
+$1.23
+77.8%
$0.01
0.5%
—
BIG WIN
12.5%
$2.68
+$1.10
+69.6%
$2.64
+$1.06
+67.1%
$0.04
1.5%
—
WIN
12.5%
$2.26
+$0.68
+42.8%
$2.22
+$0.64
+40.5%
$0.04
1.6%
—
LOSS
8.3%
$1.36
-$0.22
-14.2%
$1.15
-$0.43
-27.2%
$0.21
15.2%
—
LOSS
8.3%
$1.02
-$0.56
-35.2%
$1.00
-$0.58
-36.7%
$0.02
2.3%
—
LOSS
8.3%
$1.01
-$0.58
-36.4%
$0.89
-$0.69
-43.7%
$0.11
11.4%
—
NUKE
8.3%
$0.93
-$0.65
-40.9%
$0.82
-$0.76
-48.1%
$0.11
12.2%
—
NUKE
8.3%
$0.82
-$0.76
-48.1%
$0.74
-$0.84
-53.2%
$0.08
9.8%
—
NUKE
8.3%
$0.77
-$0.81
-51.0%
$0.70
-$0.88
-55.7%
$0.07
9.6%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-train-2025|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.1286388,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a57c016a2f7d",
"realistic_value": 2.68,
"optimistic_value": 2.68,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | 2A2F",
"conservative_value": 2.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Train 2025 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:22:00.073440Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a57c016a2f7d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.14958,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7976ca00d006",
"realistic_value": 3.087,
"optimistic_value": 3.08,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Green Line",
"conservative_value": 3.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Train 2025 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:14:34.613138Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7976ca00d006.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.14958,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d5765bdffe44",
"realistic_value": 2.8235,
"optimistic_value": 2.82,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Late Night Transit",
"conservative_value": 2.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Train 2025 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:30:08.136931Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d5765bdffe44.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.11167268849999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-96a9aaa2cbe5",
"realistic_value": 2.257,
"optimistic_value": 2.25,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Run Run Run",
"conservative_value": 2.22,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Train 2025 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:27:48.990202Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96a9aaa2cbe5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.07508332638,
"output_skin_id": "skin-bc79778fcc59",
"realistic_value": 1.005,
"optimistic_value": 0.97,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Arsenic Spill",
"conservative_value": 0.89,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Arsenic Spill (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:27.049249Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-bc79778fcc59.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.11262491477999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-79039995c554",
"realistic_value": 1.3555,
"optimistic_value": 1.31,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Coral Bloom",
"conservative_value": 1.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Coral Bloom (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:19.058336Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79039995c554.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.07479,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d474744b61b7",
"realistic_value": 0.774,
"optimistic_value": 0.76,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex",
"conservative_value": 0.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:12:08.846230Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d474744b61b7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.089748,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5254ad7ed93d",
"realistic_value": 0.82,
"optimistic_value": 0.82,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Shredded",
"conservative_value": 0.74,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:12:09.639073Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5254ad7ed93d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.11218499999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1244c7faf3ea",
"realistic_value": 1.024,
"optimistic_value": 1.01,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Red Tide",
"conservative_value": 1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Red Tide (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:32:49.903305Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1244c7faf3ea.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.10147970898,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0f8b4882d7c6",
"realistic_value": 0.9335,
"optimistic_value": 0.93,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour",
"conservative_value": 0.82,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:24:29.015522Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0f8b4882d7c6.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_403693daaecc62a0ad0dd617",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.12,
"skin_id": "skin-cee47ac22903",
"listing_id": "518620288314188992",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Basket Halftone",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cee47ac22903.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:28:22.947954Z"
},
{
"price": 0.13,
"skin_id": "skin-1a08f20b0116",
"listing_id": "523123091070954826",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Grey Ghost (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "FAMAS | Grey Ghost",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1a08f20b0116.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:35:29.081222Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-1a08f20b0116",
"listing_id": "509613089305540863",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Grey Ghost (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "FAMAS | Grey Ghost",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1a08f20b0116.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:35:29.081222Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-07d3aad223e4",
"listing_id": "505109437006752140",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Steel Work (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Steel Work",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-07d3aad223e4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:35:54.001305Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-07d3aad223e4",
"listing_id": "527627435179952036",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Steel Work (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Steel Work",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-07d3aad223e4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:35:54.001305Z"
},
{
"price": 0.11,
"skin_id": "skin-6305d7d593bd",
"listing_id": "503983642532519875",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Steel Sentinel (Field-Tested)",
"name": "AUG | Steel Sentinel",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6305d7d593bd.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:25:22.348370Z"
},
{
"price": 0.12,
"skin_id": "skin-6305d7d593bd",
"listing_id": "517494441497797306",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Steel Sentinel (Field-Tested)",
"name": "AUG | Steel Sentinel",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6305d7d593bd.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:25:22.348370Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-994bf96d44d4",
"listing_id": "529879340432055360",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-994bf96d44d4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:19:49.535274Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-994bf96d44d4",
"listing_id": "490472790738192387",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-994bf96d44d4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:19:49.535274Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-994bf96d44d4",
"listing_id": "496102343225886671",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-994bf96d44d4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:19:49.535274Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-timed-drops-warm:5+collection-set-train-2025:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Radiant Collection ×5+The Train 2025 Collection ×5 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Green Line 12.5% $28.83 2A2F 12.5% $18.79 Late Night Transit 12.5% $14.75 Run Run Run 12.5% $11.23 Coral Bloom 8.3% $4.96 Red Tide 8.3% $3.32 | $28.83 +261.2% | $10.57 +32.5% | 50.0% | +96.5% | $7.98 | — |
The Radiant Collection ×5+The Train 2025 Collection ×5 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | 2A2F 12.5% $2.68 Run Run Run 12.5% $2.26 Coral Bloom 8.3% $1.36 Red Tide 8.3% $1.02 Arsenic Spill 8.3% $1.01 Green Line 12.5% $0.94 | $2.68 +121.5% | $1.33 +10.2% | 33.3% | +50.2% | $1.21 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Radiant Collection ×3+The Train 2025 Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Green Line 17.5% $28.83 2A2F 17.5% $18.79 Late Night Transit 17.5% $14.75 Run Run Run 17.5% $11.23 Coral Bloom 5.0% $4.96 Red Tide 5.0% $3.32 | $28.83 +177.7% | $13.71 +32.0% | 70.0% | +71.5% | $10.38 | — |
The Radiant Collection ×7+The Train 2025 Collection ×3 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Green Line 7.5% $3.09 Late Night Transit 7.5% $2.82 2A2F 7.5% $2.68 Run Run Run 7.5% $2.46 Arsenic Spill 11.7% $2.16 Rose Hex 11.7% $1.80 | $3.09 +125.6% | $1.77 +29.2% | 53.3% | +42.0% | $1.37 | — |
The Radiant Collection ×6+The Train 2025 Collection ×4 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Green Line 10.0% $28.83 2A2F 10.0% $18.79 Late Night Transit 10.0% $14.75 Run Run Run 10.0% $11.23 Coral Bloom 10.0% $4.96 Red Tide 10.0% $3.32 | $28.83 +306.6% | $9.01 +27.0% | 40.0% | +107.0% | $7.09 | — |
The Radiant Collection ×2+The Train 2025 Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Green Line 20.0% $28.83 2A2F 20.0% $18.79 Late Night Transit 20.0% $14.75 Run Run Run 20.0% $11.23 Coral Bloom 3.3% $4.96 Red Tide 3.3% $3.32 | $28.83 +125.6% | $15.27 +19.5% | 60.0% | +55.8% | $12.78 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Radiant Collection ×6+The Train 2025 Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Whiteout  13.3% $64.86 Derailment  13.3% $42.56 Mulberry  20.0% $33.42 Charged Up  13.3% $22.79 Bleeding Edge  20.0% $16.98 Glitched Paint  20.0% $16.80 | $64.86 +158.1% | $30.80 +22.6% | 46.7% | +64.2% | $25.13 | — |
The Radiant Collection ×5+The Train 2025 Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish  25.0% $597.10 Latte Rush  25.0% $294.44 Nouveau Rouge  50.0% $178.22 | $597.10 +133.1% | $312.00 +21.8% | 50.0% | +66.9% | $256.11 | — |