← Results

The Dead Hand Collection ×8+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×2

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Factory New +7.8%Field-Tested +22.1%Minimal Wear +16.3%
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Zubastick
M4A4 | Zubastick
3x $0.16
Dark Polymer
Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer
2x $0.20
Fragment
UMP-45 | Fragment
3x $0.21
Facility Negative
P90 | Facility Negative
1x $0.16
Exchanger
P250 | Exchanger
1x $0.19
↓
Possible Outputs
Random Access
AUG | Random Access
6.7% $4.28
Electrum
M4A1-S | Electrum
16.0% $4.11
Nuclear Garden
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden
6.7% $3.34
Firebreathing
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing
16.0% $2.79
Galigator
Galil AR | Galigator
16.0% $2.19
Urban Sovereign
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
16.0% $1.73
Max Win
$4.28 (+100.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.60 (+22.1%)
Win %
61.3%
Volatility
+46.3%
Cost
$2.13
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.13
Ask Price EV $2.60 (+22.1%)
Bid Price EV $2.33 (+9.2%)
Ask Profit $0.47 (+22.1%)
Bid Profit $0.20 (+9.2%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.27 (+12.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.47
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.20
Risk
Win Probability 61.3%
Loss Probability 38.7%
Best Case $4.28 (+100.8%)
Worst Case $1.46 (-31.3%)
Volatility +46.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 6.7%
Avg Win +$1.07
Avg Loss -$0.48
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.46 (-31.3%)
Std Dev $0.99
Avg Norm Float 0.2878
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 148h 26m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Sign in to Validate
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
M4A4 | Zubastick
—
Well-Worn
M4A4 | Zubastick (Well-Worn)
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Zubastick
—
Well-Worn
M4A4 | Zubastick (Well-Worn)
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Zubastick
—
Well-Worn
M4A4 | Zubastick (Well-Worn)
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer
—
Field-Tested
Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested)
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Field-Tested
UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested)
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Field-Tested
UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested)
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Field-Tested
UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested)
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer
—
Field-Tested
Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested)
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Facility Negative
—
Field-Tested
P90 | Facility Negative (Field-Tested)
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Exchanger
—
Field-Tested
P250 | Exchanger (Field-Tested)
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 13M 10S //TOTAL COST $2.13 //ASK PRICE EV $2.60 //BID PRICE EV $2.33 //ASK PROFIT $0.47 (+22.1%) //BID PROFIT $0.20 (+9.2%) //WIN PROBABILITY 61.3% //BEST CASE $4.28 //VOLATILITY +46.3% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Click Spin to start.
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.
Raw payload (JSON) 
{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
      "item_count": 8,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-nuke-2|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
      "item_count": 2,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.16,
      "output_float": 0.28776,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
      "realistic_value": 2.787,
      "optimistic_value": 2.78,
      "output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
      "conservative_value": 2.32,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:10:34.264440Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.16,
      "output_float": 0.28776,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
      "realistic_value": 2.1870000000000003,
      "optimistic_value": 2.18,
      "output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
      "conservative_value": 1.74,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Galigator (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T21:44:11.833560Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.16,
      "output_float": 0.28776,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
      "realistic_value": 4.111,
      "optimistic_value": 3.95,
      "output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
      "conservative_value": 3.61,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:18:22.267196Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.16,
      "output_float": 0.28776,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "realistic_value": 1.6469999999999998,
      "optimistic_value": 1.64,
      "output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "conservative_value": 1.63,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:12:04.979710Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.16,
      "output_float": 0.28776,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
      "realistic_value": 1.7335,
      "optimistic_value": 1.73,
      "output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
      "conservative_value": 1.63,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:20:07.501663Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.06666666666666667,
      "output_float": 0.14388,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-8b56130194c8",
      "realistic_value": 4.278,
      "optimistic_value": 4.25,
      "output_full_name": "AUG | Random Access",
      "conservative_value": 4,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:33:46.492379Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8b56130194c8.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.06666666666666667,
      "output_float": 0.201432,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-96e7c9f4d6b6",
      "realistic_value": 3.337,
      "optimistic_value": 3.33,
      "output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden",
      "conservative_value": 3.22,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-05T02:38:41.005343Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96e7c9f4d6b6.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.06666666666666667,
      "output_float": 0.28776,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-7444d53b5e17",
      "realistic_value": 1.4635,
      "optimistic_value": 1.46,
      "output_full_name": "MAG-7 | Core Breach",
      "conservative_value": 1.44,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:29:06.893918Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7444d53b5e17.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_3ef481cf8370d8a18a3e98cb",
  "input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 0.16,
      "skin_id": "skin-ca4c3950bda2",
      "listing_id": "529879340431837596",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Zubastick (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "M4A4 | Zubastick",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ca4c3950bda2.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:23:07.097204Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.17,
      "skin_id": "skin-ca4c3950bda2",
      "listing_id": "529879287550965708",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Zubastick (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "M4A4 | Zubastick",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ca4c3950bda2.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:23:07.097204Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.18,
      "skin_id": "skin-ca4c3950bda2",
      "listing_id": "493850490549435088",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Zubastick (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "M4A4 | Zubastick",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ca4c3950bda2.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:23:07.097204Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.2,
      "skin_id": "skin-19e064301c88",
      "listing_id": "500605942755369827",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-19e064301c88.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:14:41.251867Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.21,
      "skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
      "listing_id": "514116741796997826",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:29:06.309474Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.27,
      "skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
      "listing_id": "523123888072505314",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:29:06.309474Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.28,
      "skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
      "listing_id": "512990789044719455",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:29:06.309474Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.31,
      "skin_id": "skin-19e064301c88",
      "listing_id": "518620341242870212",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-19e064301c88.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:14:41.251867Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.16,
      "skin_id": "skin-ddc69b0796bd",
      "listing_id": "490472843632675515",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
      "market_hash_name": "P90 | Facility Negative (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "P90 | Facility Negative",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ddc69b0796bd.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:17:33.693091Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.19,
      "skin_id": "skin-4609f8421163",
      "listing_id": "526501587737192633",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
      "market_hash_name": "P250 | Exchanger (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "P250 | Exchanger",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4609f8421163.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:20:20.241778Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Restricted",
  "stattrak_mode": false,
  "composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-37:8+collection-set-nuke-2:2"
}
Related

Related contracts

Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Dead Hand Collection ×8+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×2
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear
Random Access
AUG | Random Access
6.7% $19.77
Core Breach
MAG-7 | Core Breach
6.7% $8.43
Nuclear Garden
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden
6.7% $8.25
Electrum
M4A1-S | Electrum
16.0% $7.00
Firebreathing
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing
16.0% $5.02
Galigator
Galil AR | Galigator
16.0% $3.27
$19.77
+290.8%
$5.89
+16.3%
36.0%+76.7%$5.06—
The Dead Hand Collection ×8+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×2
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New
Nuclear Garden
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden
6.7% $55.76
Core Breach
MAG-7 | Core Breach
6.7% $29.13
Random Access
AUG | Random Access
6.7% $19.77
Electrum
M4A1-S | Electrum
16.0% $19.50
Firebreathing
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing
16.0% $12.97
Galigator
Galil AR | Galigator
16.0% $11.08
$55.76
+249.8%
$17.18
+7.8%
36.0%+68.4%$15.94—
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Dead Hand Collection ×4+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×6
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Random Access
AUG | Random Access
20.0% $4.28
Electrum
M4A1-S | Electrum
8.0% $4.11
Nuclear Garden
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden
20.0% $3.34
Firebreathing
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing
8.0% $2.79
Galigator
Galil AR | Galigator
8.0% $2.19
Urban Sovereign
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
8.0% $1.73
$4.28
+103.7%
$2.82
+34.2%
64.0%+41.0%$2.10—
The Dead Hand Collection ×3+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Random Access
AUG | Random Access
23.3% $4.28
Electrum
M4A1-S | Electrum
6.0% $4.11
Nuclear Garden
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden
23.3% $3.34
Firebreathing
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing
6.0% $2.79
Galigator
Galil AR | Galigator
6.0% $2.19
Urban Sovereign
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
6.0% $1.73
$4.28
+94.5%
$2.87
+30.3%
58.7%+38.4%$2.20—
The Dead Hand Collection ×6+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×4
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Random Access
AUG | Random Access
13.3% $4.28
Electrum
M4A1-S | Electrum
12.0% $4.11
Nuclear Garden
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden
13.3% $3.34
Firebreathing
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing
12.0% $2.79
Galigator
Galil AR | Galigator
12.0% $2.19
Urban Sovereign
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
12.0% $1.79
$4.28
+103.7%
$2.72
+29.6%
62.7%+41.1%$2.10—
The Dead Hand Collection ×5+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Random Access
AUG | Random Access
16.7% $4.28
Electrum
M4A1-S | Electrum
10.0% $4.11
Nuclear Garden
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden
16.7% $3.34
Firebreathing
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing
10.0% $2.79
Galigator
Galil AR | Galigator
10.0% $2.19
Urban Sovereign
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
10.0% $1.73
$4.28
+98.1%
$2.76
+27.8%
63.3%+40.4%$2.16—
The Dead Hand Collection ×7+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×3
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Random Access
AUG | Random Access
10.0% $4.28
Electrum
M4A1-S | Electrum
14.0% $4.11
Nuclear Garden
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden
10.0% $3.34
Firebreathing
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing
14.0% $2.79
Galigator
Galil AR | Galigator
14.0% $2.19
Urban Sovereign
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
14.0% $1.73
$4.28
+104.7%
$2.66
+27.3%
62.0%+41.6%$2.09—
The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×1
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New
Nuclear Garden
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden
3.3% $55.76
Core Breach
MAG-7 | Core Breach
3.3% $29.13
Random Access
AUG | Random Access
3.3% $19.77
Electrum
M4A1-S | Electrum
18.0% $19.50
Firebreathing
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing
18.0% $12.97
Galigator
Galil AR | Galigator
18.0% $11.08
$55.76
+304.3%
$14.97
+8.5%
28.0%+60.7%$13.79—
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Dead Hand Collection ×6+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×4
Restricted → Classified Factory New
Control Panel
M4A1-S | Control Panel
20.0% $418.56
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
20.0% $150.19
Remote Control
Tec-9 | Remote Control
20.0% $94.77
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
20.0% $39.85
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
20.0% $38.44
$418.56
+261.0%
$148.36
+28.0%
40.0%+121.8%$115.95—
FS

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