The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×2+The Revolution Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Lifted Spirits
1x $0.14
Foresight
1x $0.30
Fragments
4x $0.14
Re.built
2x $0.18
Cyberforce
2x $0.20
↓
Possible Outputs
Night Terror
4.0% $4.12
Emphorosaur-S
16.0% $4.12
Ticket to Hell
4.0% $3.94
Umbral Rabbit
16.0% $3.08
Sakkaku
16.0% $2.65
Banana Cannon
16.0% $1.73
Max Win
$4.12 (+69.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.55 (+4.7%)
Win %
56.0%
Volatility
+43.5%
Cost
$2.44
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $2.44
Ask Price EV $2.55 (+4.7%)
Bid Price EV $2.22 (-8.9%)
Ask Profit $0.11 (+4.7%)
Bid Profit $-0.22 (-8.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.33 (+13.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.11
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.22
Risk
Win Probability 56.0%
Loss Probability 44.0%
Best Case $4.12 (+69.0%)
Worst Case $1.21 (-50.4%)
Volatility +43.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 44.0%
Avg Win +$0.95
Avg Loss -$0.95
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.22 (-49.8%)
Std Dev $1.06
Avg Norm Float 0.1489
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 147h 5m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P2000 | Lifted Spirits
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Foresight
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Field-Tested
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 06M 46S //TOTAL COST $2.44 //ASK PRICE EV $2.55 //BID PRICE EV $2.22 //ASK PROFIT $0.11 (+4.7%) //BID PROFIT $-0.22 (-8.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 56.0% //BEST CASE $4.12 //VOLATILITY +43.5% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
4.0%
$4.12
+$1.68
+69.0%
$3.46
+$1.02
+41.8%
$0.66
16.1%
—
BIG WIN
16.0%
$4.12
+$1.68
+68.7%
$3.56
+$1.12
+45.9%
$0.56
13.5%
—
BIG WIN
4.0%
$3.94
+$1.50
+61.5%
$3.26
+$0.82
+33.6%
$0.68
17.3%
—
WIN
16.0%
$3.08
+$0.64
+26.3%
$2.72
+$0.28
+11.5%
$0.36
11.7%
—
PAPER WIN
16.0%
$2.65
+$0.21
+8.8%
$2.41
-$0.03
-1.2%
$0.24
9.2%
—
LOSS
16.0%
$1.73
-$0.71
-29.2%
$1.46
-$0.98
-40.2%
$0.27
15.5%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.41
-$1.03
-42.2%
$1.21
-$1.23
-50.4%
$0.20
14.2%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$1.40
-$1.04
-42.6%
$1.22
-$1.22
-50.0%
$0.18
12.9%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$1.22
-$1.22
-49.8%
$1.19
-$1.25
-51.2%
$0.03
2.8%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$1.21
-$1.23
-50.4%
$1.00
-$1.44
-59.0%
$0.21
17.4%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-30|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.11169,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 3.081,
"optimistic_value": 2.99,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 2.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T02:21:55.223530Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.119136,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 4.1175,
"optimistic_value": 4.1,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 3.56,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:22:44.557721Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.2963736,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 2.6535,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 2.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T22:36:48.873772Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.089352,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 1.41,
"optimistic_value": 1.41,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 1.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:20:56.355007Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.14892,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 1.7269999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.72,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 1.46,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:08:48.684206Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.14892,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5efcaeb15ee",
"realistic_value": 1.4004999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.39,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade",
"conservative_value": 1.22,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:08:49.449864Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5efcaeb15ee.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.10424399999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec2dd0814c74",
"realistic_value": 4.1240000000000006,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror",
"conservative_value": 3.46,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:20:15.418096Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec2dd0814c74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.0997764,
"output_skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"realistic_value": 1.2245,
"optimistic_value": 1.2,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"conservative_value": 1.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:06:18.458894Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.1131792,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f3392bb443bc",
"realistic_value": 3.94,
"optimistic_value": 3.94,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell",
"conservative_value": 3.26,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:20:45.994094Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f3392bb443bc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.07446,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"realistic_value": 1.21,
"optimistic_value": 1.21,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"conservative_value": 1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:14:00.575678Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_3cffc36cce36fcbfd10285b8",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-75edb16f0014",
"listing_id": "526501587738250313",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Lifted Spirits",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-75edb16f0014.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:20:36.712158Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-c8ccc993ef98",
"listing_id": "509612292238590183",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Foresight",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c8ccc993ef98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:14:29.359009Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "503983589620342531",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:14:35.474931Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "523123091064930586",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:04:15.724099Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "494976338031886434",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:04:15.724099Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "650349216076116573",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:02:17.692883Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "499479989896449373",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:04:08.864397Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "658230515398900238",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:04:08.864397Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "516368488725172886",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:04:08.864397Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "519746241188332448",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:14:24.271956Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-30:2+collection-set-community-32:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×2+The Revolution Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Night Terror 4.0% $4.12 Emphorosaur-S 16.0% $4.12 Ticket to Hell 4.0% $3.94 Umbral Rabbit 16.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 16.0% $2.65 Neoqueen 16.0% $1.41 | $4.12 +88.3% | $2.39 +9.3% | 56.0% | +44.1% | $2.19 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6+The Revolution Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Night Terror 12.0% $4.12 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $4.12 Ticket to Hell 12.0% $3.94 Umbral Rabbit 8.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 8.0% $2.65 Neoqueen 8.0% $1.36 | $4.12 +114.8% | $2.34 +21.6% | 48.0% | +54.0% | $1.92 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4+The Revolution Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Night Terror 8.0% $4.12 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $4.12 Ticket to Hell 8.0% $3.94 Umbral Rabbit 12.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 12.0% $2.65 Neoqueen 12.0% $1.41 | $4.12 +108.3% | $2.37 +19.6% | 52.0% | +50.3% | $1.98 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5+The Revolution Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Night Terror 10.0% $4.12 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $4.12 Ticket to Hell 10.0% $3.94 Umbral Rabbit 10.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 10.0% $2.65 Neoqueen 10.0% $1.36 | $4.12 +109.3% | $2.35 +19.3% | 50.0% | +51.7% | $1.97 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×7+The Revolution Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Night Terror 14.0% $4.12 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $4.12 Ticket to Hell 14.0% $3.94 Umbral Rabbit 6.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 6.0% $2.65 Neoqueen 6.0% $1.36 | $4.12 +94.5% | $2.33 +9.7% | 46.0% | +49.6% | $2.12 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8+The Revolution Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Night Terror 16.0% $4.12 Emphorosaur-S 4.0% $4.12 Ticket to Hell 16.0% $3.94 Umbral Rabbit 4.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 4.0% $2.65 Neoqueen 4.0% $1.36 | $4.12 +83.3% | $2.32 +3.0% | 44.0% | +47.4% | $2.25 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4+The Revolution Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Temukau  30.0% $126.64 Starlight Protector  20.0% $98.54 Nightwish  20.0% $92.29 Head Shot  30.0% $46.53 | $126.64 +60.9% | $90.12 +14.5% | 70.0% | +39.9% | $78.70 | — |