The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×2+The Revolution Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Ensnared
1x $0.14
Lifted Spirits
1x $0.14
Fragments
4x $0.16
Re.built
3x $0.17
Cyberforce
1x $0.20
↓
Possible Outputs
Night Terror
4.0% $4.12
Emphorosaur-S
16.0% $4.12
Ticket to Hell
4.0% $3.94
Umbral Rabbit
16.0% $3.08
Sakkaku
16.0% $2.65
Neoqueen
16.0% $1.36
Max Win
$4.12 (+110.4%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.39 (+21.8%)
Win %
56.0%
Volatility
+63.1%
Cost
$1.96
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $1.96
Ask Price EV $2.39 (+21.8%)
Bid Price EV $2.09 (+6.9%)
Ask Profit $0.43 (+21.8%)
Bid Profit $0.13 (+6.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.29 (+14.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.43
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.13
Risk
Win Probability 56.0%
Loss Probability 44.0%
Best Case $4.12 (+110.4%)
Worst Case $0.85 (-56.8%)
Volatility +63.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 44.0%
Avg Win +$1.43
Avg Loss -$0.85
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.85 (-56.8%)
Std Dev $1.24
Avg Norm Float 0.1872
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 17m
Oldest Output Price 146h 2m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAC-10 | Ensnared
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Lifted Spirits
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Field-Tested
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Field-Tested
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Field-Tested
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 01M 42S //TOTAL COST $1.96 //ASK PRICE EV $2.39 //BID PRICE EV $2.09 //ASK PROFIT $0.43 (+21.8%) //BID PROFIT $0.13 (+6.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 56.0% //BEST CASE $4.12 //VOLATILITY +63.1% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
4.0%
$4.12
+$2.16
+110.4%
$3.46
+$1.50
+76.5%
$0.66
16.1%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$4.12
+$2.16
+110.1%
$3.56
+$1.60
+81.6%
$0.56
13.5%
—
BIG WIN
4.0%
$3.94
+$1.98
+101.0%
$3.26
+$1.30
+66.3%
$0.68
17.3%
—
BIG WIN
16.0%
$3.08
+$1.12
+57.2%
$2.72
+$0.76
+38.8%
$0.36
11.7%
—
WIN
16.0%
$2.65
+$0.69
+35.4%
$2.41
+$0.45
+23.0%
$0.24
9.2%
—
LOSS
16.0%
$1.36
-$0.60
-30.4%
$1.21
-$0.75
-38.3%
$0.15
11.3%
—
LOSS
4.0%
$1.32
-$0.64
-32.6%
$1.19
-$0.77
-39.3%
$0.13
9.9%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$1.14
-$0.82
-41.9%
$1.00
-$0.96
-49.0%
$0.14
12.2%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$0.90
-$1.06
-54.2%
$0.81
-$1.15
-58.7%
$0.09
9.7%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$0.85
-$1.11
-56.8%
$0.76
-$1.20
-61.2%
$0.09
10.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-30|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.1403925,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 3.081,
"optimistic_value": 2.99,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 2.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T02:21:55.223530Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.149752,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 4.1175,
"optimistic_value": 4.1,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 3.56,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:22:44.557721Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.3185702,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 2.6535,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 2.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T22:36:48.873772Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.112314,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 1.3645,
"optimistic_value": 1.34,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 1.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:10:17.783099Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.18719,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 0.8474999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 0.83,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 0.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:20:03.432973Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.18719,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5efcaeb15ee",
"realistic_value": 0.8975,
"optimistic_value": 0.88,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade",
"conservative_value": 0.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:14:40.735280Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5efcaeb15ee.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.13103299999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec2dd0814c74",
"realistic_value": 4.1240000000000006,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror",
"conservative_value": 3.46,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:20:15.418096Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec2dd0814c74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.1254173,
"output_skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"realistic_value": 1.3205,
"optimistic_value": 1.31,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"conservative_value": 1.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:19:39.183451Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.14226439999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f3392bb443bc",
"realistic_value": 3.94,
"optimistic_value": 3.94,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell",
"conservative_value": 3.26,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:20:45.994094Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f3392bb443bc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.093595,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"realistic_value": 1.1385,
"optimistic_value": 1.1,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"conservative_value": 1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:05:22.775433Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_3cffc36cce36fcbfd10285b8",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-7b9cc6bc31ef",
"listing_id": "525375688037659579",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Ensnared",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7b9cc6bc31ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:12:51.504331Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-75edb16f0014",
"listing_id": "526501587738250313",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Lifted Spirits",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-75edb16f0014.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:10:12.641721Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "503983589619977599",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:05:28.486412Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "518620288314374104",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:05:28.486412Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "642467916647706593",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:17:39.240294Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "523123091064930586",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:17:39.240294Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "494976338031886434",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:17:39.240294Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "650349216076116573",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:15:21.118913Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "499479989896449373",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:17:28.179049Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "658230515398900238",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:17:28.179049Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-30:2+collection-set-community-32:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×2+The Revolution Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Emphorosaur-S 16.0% $11.80 Ticket to Hell 4.0% $10.13 Night Terror 4.0% $8.09 Umbral Rabbit 16.0% $6.96 Neoqueen 16.0% $3.33 Space Cat 4.0% $2.99 | $11.80 +140.4% | $5.23 +6.6% | 40.0% | +62.6% | $4.91 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4+The Revolution Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Night Terror 8.0% $4.12 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $4.12 Ticket to Hell 8.0% $3.94 Umbral Rabbit 12.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 12.0% $2.65 Neoqueen 12.0% $1.36 | $4.12 +108.3% | $2.37 +19.5% | 52.0% | +50.6% | $1.98 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5+The Revolution Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Night Terror 10.0% $4.12 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $4.12 Ticket to Hell 10.0% $3.94 Umbral Rabbit 10.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 10.0% $2.65 Neoqueen 10.0% $1.41 | $4.12 +107.2% | $2.36 +18.4% | 50.0% | +50.9% | $1.99 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6+The Revolution Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Night Terror 12.0% $4.12 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $4.12 Ticket to Hell 12.0% $3.94 Umbral Rabbit 8.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 8.0% $2.65 Neoqueen 8.0% $1.41 | $4.12 +107.2% | $2.34 +17.7% | 48.0% | +51.7% | $1.99 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8+The Revolution Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Night Terror 16.0% $4.12 Ticket to Hell 16.0% $3.94 Umbral Rabbit 4.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 4.0% $2.65 Emphorosaur-S 4.0% $1.82 Neoqueen 4.0% $1.41 | $4.12 +117.1% | $2.22 +16.9% | 40.0% | +55.7% | $1.90 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×7+The Revolution Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Night Terror 14.0% $4.12 Ticket to Hell 14.0% $3.94 Umbral Rabbit 6.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 6.0% $2.65 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $1.82 Neoqueen 6.0% $1.41 | $4.12 +119.4% | $2.19 +16.5% | 40.0% | +54.7% | $1.88 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4+The Revolution Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Temukau  30.0% $126.64 Starlight Protector  20.0% $98.54 Nightwish  20.0% $92.29 Head Shot  30.0% $46.53 | $126.64 +63.3% | $90.12 +16.2% | 70.0% | +40.5% | $77.56 | — |