The Revolution Collection ×6+The Genesis Collection ×4
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Fragments
5x $0.16
Insomnia
1x $0.34
Red Wing
1x $0.40
Trigger Discipline
2x $0.49
Caged
1x $0.65
↓
Possible Outputs
Liquidation
8.0% $21.44
Cat Fight
8.0% $4.32
Angel Eyes
8.0% $4.21
Emphorosaur-S
12.0% $4.12
Continuum
8.0% $4.02
Ocular
8.0% $3.96
Max Win
$21.44 (+470.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.59 (+22.1%)
Win %
52.0%
Volatility
+135.0%
Cost
$3.76
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.76
Ask Price EV $4.59 (+22.1%)
Bid Price EV $4.04 (+7.5%)
Ask Profit $0.83 (+22.1%)
Bid Profit $0.28 (+7.5%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.55 (+14.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.83
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.28
Risk
Win Probability 52.0%
Loss Probability 48.0%
Best Case $21.44 (+470.2%)
Worst Case $1.36 (-63.7%)
Volatility +135.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 36.0%
Avg Win +$3.03
Avg Loss -$1.55
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.36 (-63.7%)
Std Dev $5.08
Avg Norm Float 0.1497
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 146h 40m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Field-Tested
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Insomnia
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Red Wing
—
Field-Tested
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Trigger Discipline
—
Field-Tested
$0.49 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Trigger Discipline
—
Field-Tested
$0.50 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Caged
—
Minimal Wear
$0.65 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 03M 30S //TOTAL COST $3.76 //ASK PRICE EV $4.59 //BID PRICE EV $4.04 //ASK PROFIT $0.83 (+22.1%) //BID PROFIT $0.28 (+7.5%) //WIN PROBABILITY 52.0% //BEST CASE $21.44 //VOLATILITY +135.0% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$21.44
+$17.68
+470.2%
$18.66
+$14.90
+396.3%
$2.78
13.0%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$4.32
+$0.56
+15.0%
$3.83
+$0.07
+1.9%
$0.49
11.4%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$4.21
+$0.45
+11.8%
$3.72
-$0.04
-1.1%
$0.49
11.5%
—
PAPER WIN
12.0%
$4.12
+$0.36
+9.5%
$3.56
-$0.20
-5.3%
$0.56
13.5%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$4.02
+$0.26
+6.9%
$3.63
-$0.13
-3.5%
$0.39
9.7%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$3.96
+$0.20
+5.4%
$3.65
-$0.11
-2.9%
$0.31
7.9%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$3.08
-$0.68
-18.1%
$2.72
-$1.04
-27.7%
$0.36
11.7%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$2.65
-$1.11
-29.4%
$2.41
-$1.35
-35.9%
$0.24
9.2%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$1.74
-$2.02
-53.6%
$1.46
-$2.30
-61.2%
$0.28
16.3%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$1.36
-$2.40
-63.7%
$1.21
-$2.55
-67.8%
$0.15
11.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-36|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.1123125,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 3.081,
"optimistic_value": 2.99,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 2.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T02:21:55.223530Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.1198,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 4.1175,
"optimistic_value": 4.1,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 3.56,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:22:44.557721Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.296855,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 2.6535,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 2.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T22:36:48.873772Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.08985,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 1.3645,
"optimistic_value": 1.34,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 1.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:10:17.783099Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.14975,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 1.7435,
"optimistic_value": 1.74,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 1.46,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:00:07.401805Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14975,
"output_skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
"realistic_value": 4.2055,
"optimistic_value": 4.09,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
"conservative_value": 3.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T21:16:32.226410Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14975,
"output_skin_id": "skin-41345355b55a",
"realistic_value": 21.439,
"optimistic_value": 21.32,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Liquidation",
"conservative_value": 18.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:44:31.788316Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41345355b55a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14975,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0befed15aba5",
"realistic_value": 4.3245,
"optimistic_value": 4.3,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight",
"conservative_value": 3.83,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:13:12.522234Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0befed15aba5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14975,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"realistic_value": 3.9615,
"optimistic_value": 3.93,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Ocular",
"conservative_value": 3.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:57:42.941190Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14975,
"output_skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"realistic_value": 4.0200000000000005,
"optimistic_value": 3.95,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"conservative_value": 3.63,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:00:00.634826Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_3c3157073975f2aa9a0ae838",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "503983589619977599",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:05:28.486412Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "515242588555261033",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:17:28.179049Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "499479989896449373",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:17:28.179049Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "658230515398900238",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:17:28.179049Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "516368488725172886",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:17:28.179049Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-e6a7543c4187",
"listing_id": "515241791650778785",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Insomnia (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Insomnia",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e6a7543c4187.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:18:04.804970Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-53b81168eea3",
"listing_id": "496102290329494463",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Red Wing",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53b81168eea3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:02:25.538926Z"
},
{
"price": 0.49,
"skin_id": "skin-ab9a15ef8110",
"listing_id": "505109489449413236",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AUG | Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "AUG | Trigger Discipline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ab9a15ef8110.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:14:57.841652Z"
},
{
"price": 0.5,
"skin_id": "skin-ab9a15ef8110",
"listing_id": "527627487624881960",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AUG | Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "AUG | Trigger Discipline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ab9a15ef8110.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:14:57.841652Z"
},
{
"price": 0.65,
"skin_id": "skin-e8ce6f07d5e7",
"listing_id": "518620288312820488",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Caged",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8ce6f07d5e7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:22:04.545534Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:6+collection-set-community-36:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Genesis Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Liquidation 8.0% $11.18 Sakkaku 12.0% $2.65 Cat Fight 8.0% $2.29 Angel Eyes 8.0% $2.07 Ocular 8.0% $2.07 Continuum 8.0% $1.85 | $11.18 +406.1% | $2.47 +11.6% | 28.0% | +112.1% | $2.21 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Genesis Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Liquidation 8.0% $46.21 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $11.80 Continuum 8.0% $10.66 Cat Fight 8.0% $10.59 Ocular 8.0% $10.40 Angel Eyes 8.0% $10.13 | $46.21 +332.6% | $11.01 +3.1% | 20.0% | +93.3% | $10.68 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Genesis Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 10.0% $21.44 Cat Fight 10.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 10.0% $4.21 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $4.12 Continuum 10.0% $4.02 Ocular 10.0% $3.96 | $21.44 +419.1% | $5.10 +23.4% | 30.0% | +126.3% | $4.13 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Genesis Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 12.0% $21.44 Cat Fight 12.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 12.0% $4.21 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $4.12 Continuum 12.0% $4.02 Ocular 12.0% $3.96 | $21.44 +372.2% | $5.59 +23.2% | 12.0% | +123.3% | $4.54 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Genesis Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 14.0% $21.44 Cat Fight 14.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 14.0% $4.21 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $4.12 Continuum 14.0% $4.02 Ocular 14.0% $3.96 | $21.44 +331.4% | $6.09 +22.6% | 14.0% | +119.7% | $4.97 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×2+The Genesis Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 16.0% $21.44 Cat Fight 16.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 16.0% $4.21 Emphorosaur-S 4.0% $4.12 Continuum 16.0% $4.02 Ocular 16.0% $3.96 | $21.44 +296.3% | $6.59 +21.8% | 16.0% | +116.0% | $5.41 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Genesis Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 18.0% $21.44 Cat Fight 18.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 18.0% $4.21 Emphorosaur-S 2.0% $4.12 Continuum 18.0% $4.02 Ocular 18.0% $3.96 | $21.44 +266.5% | $7.09 +21.2% | 18.0% | +112.8% | $5.85 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Genesis Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 6.0% $21.44 Cat Fight 6.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 6.0% $4.21 Emphorosaur-S 14.0% $4.12 Continuum 6.0% $4.02 Ocular 6.0% $3.96 | $21.44 +526.9% | $4.10 +19.8% | 44.0% | +124.2% | $3.42 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Genesis Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Ice Coaled  23.3% $26.55 Smoking Kills  23.3% $21.84 Mirror Mosaic  23.3% $19.60 Duality  10.0% $9.41 Wild Child  10.0% $5.53 Wicked Sick  10.0% $5.23 | $26.55 +77.5% | $17.88 +19.5% | 70.0% | +51.9% | $14.96 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Genesis Collection ×4 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | The Oligarch  20.0% $961.24 Full Throttle  20.0% $708.03 Temukau  30.0% $288.76 Head Shot  30.0% $191.11 | $961.24 +129.7% | $477.82 +14.2% | 40.0% | +72.8% | $418.43 | — |