The Revolution Collection ×6+The Genesis Collection ×4
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Fragments
3x $0.31
Cyberforce
1x $0.34
Liquidation
1x $0.49
Rebel
1x $1.88
Red Wing
1x $0.76
Caged
2x $0.86
↓
Possible Outputs
Liquidation
8.0% $46.21
Emphorosaur-S
12.0% $11.80
Cat Fight
8.0% $10.59
Continuum
8.0% $10.41
Ocular
8.0% $10.40
Angel Eyes
8.0% $9.94
Max Win
$46.21 (+337.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$10.94 (+3.6%)
Win %
28.0%
Volatility
+102.8%
Cost
$10.56
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $10.56
Ask Price EV $10.94 (+3.6%)
Bid Price EV $9.40 (-11.0%)
Ask Profit $0.38 (+3.6%)
Bid Profit $-1.16 (-11.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.54 (+14.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.38
Bid Slippage Buffer -$1.16
Risk
Win Probability 28.0%
Loss Probability 72.0%
Best Case $46.21 (+337.5%)
Worst Case $2.65 (-74.9%)
Volatility +102.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 36.0%
Avg Win +$10.73
Avg Loss -$3.65
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.65 (-74.9%)
Std Dev $10.86
Avg Norm Float 0.0698
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 147h 31m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Liquidation
—
Minimal Wear
$0.49 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Factory New
$0.95 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Factory New
$1.76 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Rebel
—
Factory New
$1.88 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Red Wing
—
Minimal Wear
$0.76 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Caged
—
Minimal Wear
$0.86 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | MAGnitude
—
Minimal Wear
$1.26 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Caged
—
Factory New
$1.95 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 07M 24S //TOTAL COST $10.56 //ASK PRICE EV $10.94 //BID PRICE EV $9.40 //ASK PROFIT $0.38 (+3.6%) //BID PROFIT $-1.16 (-11.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 28.0% //BEST CASE $46.21 //VOLATILITY +102.8% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$46.21
+$35.64
+337.5%
$40.17
+$29.61
+280.4%
$6.03
13.1%
—
PAPER WIN
12.0%
$11.80
+$1.24
+11.8%
$10.16
-$0.40
-3.8%
$1.64
13.9%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$10.59
+$0.03
+0.3%
$9.06
-$1.50
-14.2%
$1.53
14.5%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$10.41
-$0.15
-1.5%
$8.34
-$2.22
-21.0%
$2.07
19.9%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$10.40
-$0.16
-1.5%
$8.24
-$2.32
-22.0%
$2.16
20.8%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$9.94
-$0.62
-5.9%
$8.90
-$1.66
-15.7%
$1.04
10.4%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$8.11
-$2.45
-23.2%
$6.70
-$3.86
-36.6%
$1.41
17.3%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$6.89
-$3.67
-34.7%
$6.18
-$4.38
-41.5%
$0.71
10.3%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$3.33
-$7.23
-68.5%
$3.08
-$7.48
-70.8%
$0.25
7.5%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$2.65
-$7.91
-74.9%
$2.41
-$8.15
-77.2%
$0.24
9.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-36|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.052312500000000005,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 6.893,
"optimistic_value": 6.62,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 6.18,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:22:47.851934Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.05580000000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 11.804499999999999,
"optimistic_value": 11.5,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 10.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:54:46.328444Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.250455,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 2.6535,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 2.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T22:36:48.873772Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.041850000000000005,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 3.331,
"optimistic_value": 3.31,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 3.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:08:47.151798Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.06975,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 8.105,
"optimistic_value": 8,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 6.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:53:54.534429Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.06975,
"output_skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
"realistic_value": 9.938,
"optimistic_value": 9.7,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
"conservative_value": 8.9,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:01:33.275601Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.06975,
"output_skin_id": "skin-41345355b55a",
"realistic_value": 46.205,
"optimistic_value": 46.03,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Liquidation",
"conservative_value": 40.17,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:30:27.351229Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41345355b55a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.06975,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0befed15aba5",
"realistic_value": 10.5945,
"optimistic_value": 10.5,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight",
"conservative_value": 9.06,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:11:39.094655Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0befed15aba5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.06975,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"realistic_value": 10.402,
"optimistic_value": 10.36,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Ocular",
"conservative_value": 8.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:06:00.239197Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.06975,
"output_skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"realistic_value": 10.405999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 10.35,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"conservative_value": 8.34,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:20:33.333233Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_3c3157073975f2aa9a0ae838",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "658230515398900238",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:04:08.864397Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "519746241188332448",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:14:24.271956Z"
},
{
"price": 0.49,
"skin_id": "skin-d87f89df4191",
"listing_id": "502857637416920044",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Liquidation (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Liquidation",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d87f89df4191.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:09:05.903745Z"
},
{
"price": 0.95,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "521997988016650110",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:06:23.598194Z"
},
{
"price": 1.76,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "515241791644842529",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:06:23.598194Z"
},
{
"price": 1.88,
"skin_id": "skin-e5141cf036fa",
"listing_id": "496102237882665215",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Rebel (Factory New)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Rebel",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5141cf036fa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:22:57.420423Z"
},
{
"price": 0.76,
"skin_id": "skin-53b81168eea3",
"listing_id": "526500790828169165",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Red Wing",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53b81168eea3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:23:07.095752Z"
},
{
"price": 0.86,
"skin_id": "skin-e8ce6f07d5e7",
"listing_id": "509612923503326559",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Caged",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8ce6f07d5e7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:08:49.640988Z"
},
{
"price": 1.26,
"skin_id": "skin-e8947585ba24",
"listing_id": "516368488726592006",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | MAGnitude",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8947585ba24.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:17:54.995139Z"
},
{
"price": 1.95,
"skin_id": "skin-e8ce6f07d5e7",
"listing_id": "518620288314673192",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Factory New)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Caged",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8ce6f07d5e7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:11:01.446805Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:6+collection-set-community-36:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Genesis Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 8.0% $21.44 Cat Fight 8.0% $4.24 Angel Eyes 8.0% $4.21 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $4.12 Continuum 8.0% $4.01 Ocular 8.0% $3.92 | $21.44 +474.8% | $4.58 +22.9% | 52.0% | +128.1% | $3.73 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Genesis Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Liquidation 8.0% $11.18 Sakkaku 12.0% $2.65 Cat Fight 8.0% $2.29 Angel Eyes 8.0% $2.07 Ocular 8.0% $2.07 Continuum 8.0% $1.85 | $11.18 +356.5% | $2.53 +3.4% | 20.0% | +100.5% | $2.45 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Genesis Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 10.0% $21.44 Cat Fight 10.0% $4.24 Angel Eyes 10.0% $4.21 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $4.12 Continuum 10.0% $4.01 Ocular 10.0% $3.92 | $21.44 +425.5% | $5.08 +24.4% | 40.0% | +128.0% | $4.08 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Genesis Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 12.0% $21.44 Cat Fight 12.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 12.0% $4.21 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $4.12 Continuum 12.0% $3.98 Ocular 12.0% $3.96 | $21.44 +371.2% | $5.59 +22.8% | 12.0% | +123.1% | $4.55 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Genesis Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 14.0% $21.44 Cat Fight 14.0% $4.24 Angel Eyes 14.0% $4.21 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $4.12 Continuum 14.0% $3.98 Ocular 14.0% $3.96 | $21.44 +333.1% | $6.07 +22.7% | 14.0% | +120.3% | $4.95 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×2+The Genesis Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 16.0% $21.44 Cat Fight 16.0% $4.24 Angel Eyes 16.0% $4.21 Emphorosaur-S 4.0% $4.12 Continuum 16.0% $4.01 Ocular 16.0% $3.92 | $21.44 +300.0% | $6.57 +22.6% | 16.0% | +117.3% | $5.36 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Genesis Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 18.0% $21.44 Cat Fight 18.0% $4.24 Angel Eyes 18.0% $4.21 Emphorosaur-S 2.0% $4.12 Continuum 18.0% $4.01 Ocular 18.0% $3.92 | $21.44 +269.0% | $7.07 +21.6% | 18.0% | +113.8% | $5.81 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Genesis Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 6.0% $21.44 Cat Fight 6.0% $4.24 Angel Eyes 6.0% $4.21 Emphorosaur-S 14.0% $4.12 Continuum 6.0% $4.01 Ocular 6.0% $3.92 | $21.44 +538.1% | $4.08 +21.5% | 44.0% | +126.6% | $3.36 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Genesis Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Ice Coaled  16.7% $52.09 Smoking Kills  16.7% $41.37 Mirror Mosaic  16.7% $37.54 Duality  16.7% $18.23 Wild Child  16.7% $10.25 Wicked Sick  16.7% $9.59 | $52.09 +118.9% | $28.18 +18.4% | 50.0% | +68.6% | $23.79 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Genesis Collection ×4 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | The Oligarch  20.0% $961.24 Full Throttle  20.0% $708.03 Temukau  30.0% $288.76 Head Shot  30.0% $191.11 | $961.24 +129.7% | $477.82 +14.2% | 40.0% | +72.8% | $418.43 | — |