The Revolution Collection ×6+The Genesis Collection ×4
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Fragments
2x $0.14
Re.built
2x $0.18
Cyberforce
2x $0.20
Bullfrog
1x $0.20
Red Wing
3x $0.23
↓
Possible Outputs
Liquidation
8.0% $11.18
Sakkaku
12.0% $2.65
Cat Fight
8.0% $2.29
Angel Eyes
8.0% $2.07
Ocular
8.0% $2.07
Continuum
8.0% $1.85
Max Win
$11.18 (+356.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.53 (+3.4%)
Win %
20.0%
Volatility
+106.2%
Cost
$2.45
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $2.45
Ask Price EV $2.53 (+3.4%)
Bid Price EV $2.22 (-9.5%)
Ask Profit $0.08 (+3.4%)
Bid Profit $-0.23 (-9.5%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.31 (+12.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.08
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.23
Risk
Win Probability 20.0%
Loss Probability 80.0%
Best Case $11.18 (+356.5%)
Worst Case $0.86 (-64.9%)
Volatility +106.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 48.0%
Avg Win +$3.62
Avg Loss -$0.80
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.86 (-64.9%)
Std Dev $2.60
Avg Norm Float 0.2498
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 147h 31m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Field-Tested
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Bullfrog
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Red Wing
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Red Wing
—
Field-Tested
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Red Wing
—
Field-Tested
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 07M 49S //TOTAL COST $2.45 //ASK PRICE EV $2.53 //BID PRICE EV $2.22 //ASK PROFIT $0.08 (+3.4%) //BID PROFIT $-0.23 (-9.5%) //WIN PROBABILITY 20.0% //BEST CASE $11.18 //VOLATILITY +106.2% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
8.0%
$11.18
+$8.73
+356.5%
$9.26
+$6.81
+278.0%
$1.92
17.2%
—
PAPER WIN
12.0%
$2.65
+$0.20
+8.3%
$2.41
-$0.04
-1.6%
$0.24
9.2%
—
LOSS
8.0%
$2.29
-$0.16
-6.6%
$1.96
-$0.49
-20.0%
$0.33
14.3%
—
LOSS
8.0%
$2.07
-$0.38
-15.4%
$1.85
-$0.60
-24.5%
$0.22
10.8%
—
LOSS
8.0%
$2.07
-$0.38
-15.7%
$1.81
-$0.64
-26.1%
$0.26
12.4%
—
LOSS
8.0%
$1.85
-$0.60
-24.3%
$1.84
-$0.61
-24.9%
$0.01
0.7%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$1.82
-$0.63
-25.7%
$1.79
-$0.66
-26.9%
$0.03
1.7%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$1.41
-$1.04
-42.4%
$1.21
-$1.24
-50.6%
$0.20
14.2%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$1.38
-$1.07
-43.7%
$1.11
-$1.34
-54.7%
$0.27
19.6%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$0.86
-$1.59
-64.9%
$0.82
-$1.63
-66.5%
$0.04
4.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-36|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.18738,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 1.38,
"optimistic_value": 1.38,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 1.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:20:57.002230Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.19987200000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 1.8210000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 1.8,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 1.79,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:25:56.308257Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.3549072,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 2.6535,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 2.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T22:36:48.873772Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.149904,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 1.41,
"optimistic_value": 1.41,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 1.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:20:56.355007Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.24984,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 0.8605,
"optimistic_value": 0.85,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 0.82,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:44:21.681226Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.24984,
"output_skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
"realistic_value": 2.0735,
"optimistic_value": 2.07,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
"conservative_value": 1.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:10:59.291108Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.24984,
"output_skin_id": "skin-41345355b55a",
"realistic_value": 11.1845,
"optimistic_value": 11.09,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Liquidation",
"conservative_value": 9.26,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:54:37.549162Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41345355b55a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.24984,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0befed15aba5",
"realistic_value": 2.2875,
"optimistic_value": 2.27,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight",
"conservative_value": 1.96,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:22:55.796945Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0befed15aba5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.24984,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"realistic_value": 2.0665,
"optimistic_value": 2,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Ocular",
"conservative_value": 1.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T06:00:08.287380Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.24984,
"output_skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"realistic_value": 1.8535000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 1.85,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"conservative_value": 1.84,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:01:09.004338Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_3c3157073975f2aa9a0ae838",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "503983589620342531",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:14:35.474931Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "523123091064930586",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:04:15.724099Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "494976338031886434",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:04:15.724099Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "650349216076116573",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:26:18.246739Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "515242588555261033",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:04:08.864397Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "508487189340982466",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:14:24.271956Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-8ec9dd302f30",
"listing_id": "515242588555276153",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P250 | Bullfrog",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8ec9dd302f30.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:06:24.848287Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-53b81168eea3",
"listing_id": "512990789044186079",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P2000 | Red Wing",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53b81168eea3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:11:15.113185Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-53b81168eea3",
"listing_id": "514116688950832242",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Red Wing",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53b81168eea3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:11:17.791740Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-53b81168eea3",
"listing_id": "496102290329494463",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Red Wing",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53b81168eea3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:11:17.791740Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:6+collection-set-community-36:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Genesis Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 8.0% $21.44 Cat Fight 8.0% $4.24 Angel Eyes 8.0% $4.21 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $4.12 Continuum 8.0% $4.01 Ocular 8.0% $3.92 | $21.44 +474.8% | $4.58 +22.9% | 52.0% | +128.1% | $3.73 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Genesis Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Liquidation 8.0% $46.21 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $11.80 Cat Fight 8.0% $10.59 Continuum 8.0% $10.41 Ocular 8.0% $10.40 Angel Eyes 8.0% $9.94 | $46.21 +337.5% | $10.94 +3.6% | 28.0% | +94.6% | $10.56 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Genesis Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 10.0% $21.44 Cat Fight 10.0% $4.24 Angel Eyes 10.0% $4.21 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $4.12 Continuum 10.0% $4.01 Ocular 10.0% $3.92 | $21.44 +425.5% | $5.08 +24.4% | 40.0% | +128.0% | $4.08 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Genesis Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 12.0% $21.44 Cat Fight 12.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 12.0% $4.21 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $4.12 Continuum 12.0% $3.98 Ocular 12.0% $3.96 | $21.44 +371.2% | $5.59 +22.8% | 12.0% | +123.1% | $4.55 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Genesis Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 14.0% $21.44 Cat Fight 14.0% $4.24 Angel Eyes 14.0% $4.21 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $4.12 Continuum 14.0% $3.98 Ocular 14.0% $3.96 | $21.44 +333.1% | $6.07 +22.7% | 14.0% | +120.3% | $4.95 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×2+The Genesis Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 16.0% $21.44 Cat Fight 16.0% $4.24 Angel Eyes 16.0% $4.21 Emphorosaur-S 4.0% $4.12 Continuum 16.0% $4.01 Ocular 16.0% $3.92 | $21.44 +300.0% | $6.57 +22.6% | 16.0% | +117.3% | $5.36 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Genesis Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 18.0% $21.44 Cat Fight 18.0% $4.24 Angel Eyes 18.0% $4.21 Emphorosaur-S 2.0% $4.12 Continuum 18.0% $4.01 Ocular 18.0% $3.92 | $21.44 +269.0% | $7.07 +21.6% | 18.0% | +113.8% | $5.81 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Genesis Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 6.0% $21.44 Cat Fight 6.0% $4.24 Angel Eyes 6.0% $4.21 Emphorosaur-S 14.0% $4.12 Continuum 6.0% $4.01 Ocular 6.0% $3.92 | $21.44 +538.1% | $4.08 +21.5% | 44.0% | +126.6% | $3.36 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Genesis Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Ice Coaled  16.7% $52.09 Smoking Kills  16.7% $41.37 Mirror Mosaic  16.7% $37.54 Duality  16.7% $18.23 Wild Child  16.7% $10.25 Wicked Sick  16.7% $9.59 | $52.09 +118.9% | $28.18 +18.4% | 50.0% | +68.6% | $23.79 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Genesis Collection ×4 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | The Oligarch  20.0% $961.24 Full Throttle  20.0% $708.03 Temukau  30.0% $288.76 Head Shot  30.0% $191.11 | $961.24 +129.7% | $477.82 +14.2% | 40.0% | +72.8% | $418.43 | — |