The 2018 Nuke Collection ×6+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×4
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade MW 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear
Inputs
Cold Fusion
4x $0.07
Mainframe
2x $0.11
Midnight Paintover
1x $0.10
Wash me plz
2x $0.15
Wall Bang
1x $0.17
↓
Possible Outputs
Acheron
15.0% $2.59
Exchanger
15.0% $2.44
Co-Processor
15.0% $2.25
Facility Negative
15.0% $2.23
Teal Graf
10.0% $2.19
Pipsqueak
10.0% $1.22
Max Win
$2.59 (+77.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$1.96 (+34.4%)
Win %
70.0%
Volatility
+42.1%
Cost
$1.46
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $1.46
Ask Price EV $1.96 (+34.4%)
Bid Price EV $1.83 (+25.3%)
Ask Profit $0.50 (+34.4%)
Bid Profit $0.37 (+25.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.13 (+9.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.50
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.37
Risk
Win Probability 70.0%
Loss Probability 30.0%
Best Case $2.59 (+77.1%)
Worst Case $0.78 (-46.6%)
Volatility +42.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 10.0%
Avg Win +$0.89
Avg Loss -$0.40
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.78 (-46.6%)
Std Dev $0.62
Avg Norm Float 0.1389
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 16m
Oldest Output Price 12h 31m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Galil AR | Cold Fusion
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Cold Fusion
—
Field-Tested
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Mainframe
—
Minimal Wear
$0.11 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Mainframe
—
Minimal Wear
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Cold Fusion
—
Minimal Wear
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Cold Fusion
—
Minimal Wear
$0.25 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover
—
Minimal Wear
$0.10 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Wash me plz
—
Minimal Wear
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Wash me plz
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Negev | Wall Bang
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 08M 20S //TOTAL COST $1.46 //ASK PRICE EV $1.96 //BID PRICE EV $1.83 //ASK PROFIT $0.50 (+34.4%) //BID PROFIT $0.37 (+25.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 70.0% //BEST CASE $2.59 //VOLATILITY +42.1% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
15.0%
$2.59
+$1.13
+77.1%
$2.19
+$0.73
+50.0%
$0.40
15.3%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
15.0%
$2.44
+$0.98
+67.2%
$2.37
+$0.91
+62.3%
$0.07
2.9%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
15.0%
$2.25
+$0.79
+54.3%
$2.04
+$0.58
+39.7%
$0.21
9.5%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
15.0%
$2.23
+$0.77
+52.5%
$2.16
+$0.70
+47.9%
$0.07
3.0%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$2.19
+$0.73
+49.9%
$2.13
+$0.67
+45.9%
$0.06
2.7%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$1.22
-$0.24
-16.6%
$1.12
-$0.34
-23.3%
$0.10
8.0%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$1.17
-$0.29
-19.6%
$1.16
-$0.30
-20.5%
$0.01
1.2%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.78
-$0.68
-46.6%
$0.74
-$0.72
-49.3%
$0.04
5.1%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-nuke-2|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.1153119,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9e9b9cd050d5",
"realistic_value": 2.585,
"optimistic_value": 2.55,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Acheron",
"conservative_value": 2.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Acheron (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:58:43.451115Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9e9b9cd050d5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.069465,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1a3115020d99",
"realistic_value": 2.2535,
"optimistic_value": 2.25,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor",
"conservative_value": 2.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:08:57.644268Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1a3115020d99.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.069465,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4609f8421163",
"realistic_value": 2.4415,
"optimistic_value": 2.41,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Exchanger",
"conservative_value": 2.37,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Exchanger (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:04:03.775421Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4609f8421163.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.069465,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ddc69b0796bd",
"realistic_value": 2.2270000000000003,
"optimistic_value": 2.22,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Facility Negative",
"conservative_value": 2.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:06:36.345890Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ddc69b0796bd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.083358,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0df7ea666c3d",
"realistic_value": 0.78,
"optimistic_value": 0.78,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer",
"conservative_value": 0.74,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:59:16.308997Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0df7ea666c3d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.069465,
"output_skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"realistic_value": 2.188,
"optimistic_value": 2.16,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"conservative_value": 2.13,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:01:37.852688Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.125037,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"realistic_value": 1.2169999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.21,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"conservative_value": 1.12,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T11:42:04.443708Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.13893,
"output_skin_id": "skin-791e6727b6a9",
"realistic_value": 1.1735,
"optimistic_value": 1.17,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle",
"conservative_value": 1.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:59:16.044541Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-791e6727b6a9.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_356e7edda6348acd1db5eb29",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-373e7e49f479",
"listing_id": "494976390476434362",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-373e7e49f479.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:02:18.562303Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-373e7e49f479",
"listing_id": "502856892583739272",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-373e7e49f479.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:02:18.562303Z"
},
{
"price": 0.11,
"skin_id": "skin-810cb4b6d950",
"listing_id": "510738936594594550",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Mainframe (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Mainframe",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-810cb4b6d950.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:04:39.863991Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-810cb4b6d950",
"listing_id": "497227393161145157",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Mainframe (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Mainframe",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-810cb4b6d950.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:04:39.863991Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-373e7e49f479",
"listing_id": "497228137696325273",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-373e7e49f479.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:56:51.789602Z"
},
{
"price": 0.25,
"skin_id": "skin-373e7e49f479",
"listing_id": "500605889840729975",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-373e7e49f479.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:56:51.789602Z"
},
{
"price": 0.1,
"skin_id": "skin-aec4b9b50be0",
"listing_id": "493850438105573824",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aec4b9b50be0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:05:11.497300Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-85f1f4db456f",
"listing_id": "519746135814609704",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Wash me plz (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Wash me plz",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85f1f4db456f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:09:39.295848Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-85f1f4db456f",
"listing_id": "515242536108092773",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Wash me plz (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Wash me plz",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85f1f4db456f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:09:39.295848Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-c5f7f8d41bc2",
"listing_id": "490472790736935195",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Wall Bang (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Negev | Wall Bang",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c5f7f8d41bc2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:59:32.993955Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-nuke-2:6+collection-set-overpass-2024:4"
}Related
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Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The 2018 Nuke Collection ×8+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Crakow!  10.0% $47.63 Dragon Snore  10.0% $33.50 Control Panel  40.0% $26.29 Remote Control  40.0% $4.11 | $47.63 +154.9% | $20.27 +8.5% | 60.0% | +77.8% | $18.69 | — |