The 2018 Nuke Collection ×6+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×4
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FT 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested
Inputs
Cold Fusion
2x $0.07
Bulkhead
1x $0.09
Mainframe
3x $0.10
Wall Bang
2x $0.07
Midnight Paintover
2x $0.09
↓
Possible Outputs
Acheron
15.0% $2.55
Metallic Squeezer
10.0% $0.77
Teal Graf
10.0% $0.69
Wurst Hölle
10.0% $0.50
Facility Negative
15.0% $0.45
Pipsqueak
10.0% $0.42
Max Win
$2.55 (+174.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$0.81 (-13.0%)
Win %
15.0%
Volatility
+79.9%
Cost
$0.93
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $0.93
Ask Price EV $0.81 (-13.0%)
Bid Price EV $0.73 (-21.6%)
Ask Profit $-0.12 (-13.0%)
Bid Profit $-0.20 (-21.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.08 (+8.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.12
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.20
Risk
Win Probability 15.0%
Loss Probability 85.0%
Best Case $2.55 (+174.5%)
Worst Case $0.39 (-58.1%)
Volatility +79.9%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 75.0%
Avg Win +$1.62
Avg Loss -$0.43
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.39 (-58.1%)
Std Dev $0.74
Avg Norm Float 0.1799
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 24m
Oldest Output Price 58h 22m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Galil AR | Cold Fusion
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Cold Fusion
—
Field-Tested
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
Negev | Bulkhead
—
Minimal Wear
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Mainframe
—
Minimal Wear
$0.10 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Mainframe
—
Minimal Wear
$0.11 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Mainframe
—
Minimal Wear
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
Negev | Wall Bang
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
Negev | Wall Bang
—
Field-Tested
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover
—
Minimal Wear
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover
—
Minimal Wear
$0.10 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 14M 48S //TOTAL COST $0.93 //ASK PRICE EV $0.81 //BID PRICE EV $0.73 //ASK PROFIT $-0.12 (-13.0%) //BID PROFIT $-0.20 (-21.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 15.0% //BEST CASE $2.55 //VOLATILITY +79.9% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
15.0%
$2.55
+$1.62
+174.5%
$2.19
+$1.26
+135.5%
$0.36
14.2%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$0.77
-$0.16
-16.8%
$0.74
-$0.19
-20.4%
$0.03
4.3%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$0.69
-$0.24
-25.8%
$0.66
-$0.27
-29.0%
$0.03
4.3%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.50
-$0.43
-46.2%
$0.49
-$0.44
-47.3%
$0.01
2.0%
—
NUKE
15.0%
$0.45
-$0.48
-51.9%
$0.38
-$0.55
-59.1%
$0.07
15.1%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.42
-$0.51
-54.8%
$0.39
-$0.54
-58.1%
$0.03
7.1%
—
NUKE
15.0%
$0.41
-$0.52
-55.5%
$0.39
-$0.54
-58.1%
$0.02
5.7%
—
NUKE
15.0%
$0.39
-$0.54
-58.1%
$0.38
-$0.55
-59.1%
$0.01
2.6%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-nuke-2|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.1493004,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9e9b9cd050d5",
"realistic_value": 2.5524999999999998,
"optimistic_value": 2.5,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Acheron",
"conservative_value": 2.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Acheron (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:09:49.877905Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9e9b9cd050d5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.08994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1a3115020d99",
"realistic_value": 0.4135,
"optimistic_value": 0.41,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor",
"conservative_value": 0.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T13:13:25.549450Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1a3115020d99.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.08994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4609f8421163",
"realistic_value": 0.39,
"optimistic_value": 0.39,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Exchanger",
"conservative_value": 0.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Exchanger (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:59:27.228942Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4609f8421163.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.08994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ddc69b0796bd",
"realistic_value": 0.4475,
"optimistic_value": 0.43,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Facility Negative",
"conservative_value": 0.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:52:44.531229Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ddc69b0796bd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.10792800000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0df7ea666c3d",
"realistic_value": 0.7735,
"optimistic_value": 0.77,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer",
"conservative_value": 0.74,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:10:36.381438Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0df7ea666c3d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.08994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"realistic_value": 0.69,
"optimistic_value": 0.69,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"conservative_value": 0.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:53:07.323005Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.161892,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"realistic_value": 0.42,
"optimistic_value": 0.42,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"conservative_value": 0.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:57:47.264701Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.17988,
"output_skin_id": "skin-791e6727b6a9",
"realistic_value": 0.5,
"optimistic_value": 0.5,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle",
"conservative_value": 0.49,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-05T14:53:19.262329Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-791e6727b6a9.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_356e7edda6348acd1db5eb29",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-373e7e49f479",
"listing_id": "496102290328404239",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-373e7e49f479.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:51:09.551504Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-373e7e49f479",
"listing_id": "502856892583739272",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-373e7e49f479.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:51:09.551504Z"
},
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-09caec0af065",
"listing_id": "499479989896393249",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Bulkhead (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Negev | Bulkhead",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-09caec0af065.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:53:20.752781Z"
},
{
"price": 0.1,
"skin_id": "skin-810cb4b6d950",
"listing_id": "515242588554249181",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Mainframe (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Mainframe",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-810cb4b6d950.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:53:31.574660Z"
},
{
"price": 0.11,
"skin_id": "skin-810cb4b6d950",
"listing_id": "510738936594594550",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Mainframe (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Mainframe",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-810cb4b6d950.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:53:31.574660Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-810cb4b6d950",
"listing_id": "520871291151570312",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Mainframe (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Mainframe",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-810cb4b6d950.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:53:31.574660Z"
},
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-c5f7f8d41bc2",
"listing_id": "509613089304713799",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Wall Bang (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Negev | Wall Bang",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c5f7f8d41bc2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:55:24.086549Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-c5f7f8d41bc2",
"listing_id": "524249735517159423",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Wall Bang (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Negev | Wall Bang",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c5f7f8d41bc2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:55:24.086549Z"
},
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-aec4b9b50be0",
"listing_id": "497228190140367113",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aec4b9b50be0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:53:40.026971Z"
},
{
"price": 0.1,
"skin_id": "skin-aec4b9b50be0",
"listing_id": "493850438105573824",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aec4b9b50be0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:53:40.026971Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-nuke-2:6+collection-set-overpass-2024:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The 2018 Nuke Collection ×6+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×4 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Acheron 15.0% $2.55 Exchanger 15.0% $2.42 Co-Processor 15.0% $2.26 Facility Negative 15.0% $2.23 Teal Graf 10.0% $2.19 Pipsqueak 10.0% $1.22 | $2.55 +73.6% | $1.95 +33.0% | 70.0% | +28.2% | $1.47 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The 2018 Nuke Collection ×8+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Crakow!  10.0% $47.63 Dragon Snore  10.0% $33.50 Control Panel  40.0% $26.29 Remote Control  40.0% $4.11 | $47.63 +152.4% | $20.27 +7.4% | 60.0% | +77.0% | $18.87 | — |