The Fever Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Sure Grip
1x $0.14
Mockingbird
1x $0.16
Resupply
1x $0.18
Fragment
3x $0.30
RMX
2x $0.38
Bock Blocks
2x $0.46
↓
Possible Outputs
Electrum
14.0% $10.69
Firebreathing
14.0% $6.12
Galigator
14.0% $3.26
Amberline
14.0% $3.21
Urban Sovereign
14.0% $3.19
Serpent Strike
6.0% $1.64
Max Win
$10.69 (+239.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.10 (+30.1%)
Win %
70.0%
Volatility
+97.0%
Cost
$3.15
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.15
Ask Price EV $4.10 (+30.1%)
Bid Price EV $3.46 (+10.0%)
Ask Profit $0.95 (+30.1%)
Bid Profit $0.31 (+10.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.63 (+20.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.95
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.31
Risk
Win Probability 70.0%
Loss Probability 30.0%
Best Case $10.69 (+239.5%)
Worst Case $1.18 (-62.4%)
Volatility +97.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 30.0%
Avg Win +$2.15
Avg Loss -$1.84
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.18 (-62.4%)
Std Dev $3.05
Avg Norm Float 0.3793
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 20m
Oldest Output Price 141h 55m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P2000 | Sure Grip
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Mockingbird
—
Field-Tested
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Resupply
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Well-Worn
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Well-Worn
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.46 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.47 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 35M 36S //TOTAL COST $3.15 //ASK PRICE EV $4.10 //BID PRICE EV $3.46 //ASK PROFIT $0.95 (+30.1%) //BID PROFIT $0.31 (+10.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 70.0% //BEST CASE $10.69 //VOLATILITY +97.0% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$10.69
+$7.54
+239.5%
$9.15
+$6.00
+190.5%
$1.54
14.4%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$6.12
+$2.97
+94.2%
$4.98
+$1.83
+58.1%
$1.14
18.6%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$3.26
+$0.11
+3.6%
$2.91
-$0.24
-7.6%
$0.35
10.8%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$3.21
+$0.06
+2.0%
$2.61
-$0.54
-17.1%
$0.60
18.7%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$3.19
+$0.04
+1.3%
$2.57
-$0.58
-18.4%
$0.62
19.4%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$1.64
-$1.51
-47.9%
$1.55
-$1.60
-50.8%
$0.09
5.6%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$1.33
-$1.82
-57.7%
$1.17
-$1.98
-62.9%
$0.16
12.1%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$1.19
-$1.96
-62.2%
$1.01
-$2.14
-67.9%
$0.18
15.1%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$1.19
-$1.96
-62.2%
$1.09
-$2.06
-65.4%
$0.10
8.4%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$1.18
-$1.97
-62.4%
$1.07
-$2.08
-66.0%
$0.11
9.6%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-35|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.3793,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 6.117,
"optimistic_value": 6.11,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 4.98,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:41.545500Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.3793,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 3.2635,
"optimistic_value": 3.19,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 2.91,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:45.477369Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.3793,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 10.693000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 10.63,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 9.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:48.376233Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.3793,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 3.2119999999999997,
"optimistic_value": 3.17,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 2.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:01:26.718335Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.3793,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 3.19,
"optimistic_value": 3.19,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 2.57,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:59:17.210220Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.216201,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4515a7cdcc74",
"realistic_value": 1.6415,
"optimistic_value": 1.61,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike",
"conservative_value": 1.55,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:18:40.795294Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4515a7cdcc74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.30305880350000003,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f2567cfebfb7",
"realistic_value": 1.19,
"optimistic_value": 1.19,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Control",
"conservative_value": 1.01,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:07:54.434631Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f2567cfebfb7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.3793,
"output_skin_id": "skin-aef077455139",
"realistic_value": 1.331,
"optimistic_value": 1.24,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Rising Sun",
"conservative_value": 1.17,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:54:33.246105Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aef077455139.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.3605432357,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ff75c4a68dbd",
"realistic_value": 1.19,
"optimistic_value": 1.19,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Wave Breaker",
"conservative_value": 1.09,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:09:09.166994Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ff75c4a68dbd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.26551,
"output_skin_id": "skin-27a11235665e",
"realistic_value": 1.1835,
"optimistic_value": 1.18,
"output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Tosai",
"conservative_value": 1.07,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:59:53.722966Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-27a11235665e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_31eb74a0da445f79ab5bcf7c",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-8bda61ff439a",
"listing_id": "518620288313886340",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Sure Grip",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8bda61ff439a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:59:30.061118Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-e0eec3353ea4",
"listing_id": "505109489448500852",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested)",
"name": "XM1014 | Mockingbird",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e0eec3353ea4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:09:44.751714Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-78ea15f33e22",
"listing_id": "526501535293091861",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Resupply",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-78ea15f33e22.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:56:19.791381Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
"listing_id": "502857689862472948",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:59:24.029554Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
"listing_id": "507361289452778197",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:59:24.029554Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
"listing_id": "499479989896168933",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:59:24.029554Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "508487136897691262",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:12:24.905175Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "506235389469140196",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:12:24.905175Z"
},
{
"price": 0.46,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "503983589618557651",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:54:04.542706Z"
},
{
"price": 0.47,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "508487189339291906",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:54:04.542706Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-35:3+collection-set-community-37:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 14.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 14.0% $31.66 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Galigator 14.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $13.79 Rising Sun 6.0% $12.22 | $51.27 +202.0% | $21.04 +23.9% | 42.0% | +75.1% | $16.98 | — |
The Fever Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 14.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 14.0% $10.78 Amberline 14.0% $6.48 Galigator 14.0% $5.66 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $4.80 Serpent Strike 6.0% $4.41 | $16.94 +141.9% | $7.16 +2.4% | 28.0% | +58.6% | $7.00 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 16.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 16.0% $6.12 Galigator 16.0% $3.26 Amberline 16.0% $3.21 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $3.19 Serpent Strike 4.0% $1.64 | $10.69 +212.7% | $4.50 +31.5% | 32.0% | +81.0% | $3.42 | — |
The Fever Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 12.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 12.0% $6.12 Galigator 12.0% $3.26 Amberline 12.0% $3.21 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $3.18 Serpent Strike 8.0% $1.64 | $10.69 +277.8% | $3.70 +30.8% | 60.0% | +93.4% | $2.83 | — |
The Fever Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 18.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 18.0% $6.12 Galigator 18.0% $3.26 Amberline 18.0% $3.22 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $3.19 Serpent Strike 2.0% $1.64 | $10.69 +183.6% | $4.90 +29.9% | 36.0% | +75.2% | $3.77 | — |
The Fever Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 10.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 10.0% $6.12 Galigator 10.0% $3.26 Amberline 10.0% $3.21 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $3.19 Serpent Strike 10.0% $1.64 | $10.69 +317.7% | $3.30 +29.1% | 50.0% | +99.8% | $2.56 | — |
The Fever Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 8.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 8.0% $31.66 Amberline 8.0% $18.87 Galigator 8.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 8.0% $13.79 Rising Sun 12.0% $12.22 | $51.27 +289.9% | $16.06 +22.1% | 40.0% | +83.9% | $13.15 | — |
The Fever Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 6.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 6.0% $31.66 Amberline 6.0% $18.87 Galigator 6.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 6.0% $13.79 Rising Sun 14.0% $12.22 | $51.27 +321.3% | $14.40 +18.3% | 44.0% | +82.7% | $12.17 | — |
The Fever Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 4.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 4.0% $31.66 Amberline 4.0% $18.87 Galigator 4.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 4.0% $13.79 Rising Sun 16.0% $12.22 | $51.27 +354.2% | $12.74 +12.9% | 36.0% | +76.9% | $11.29 | — |
The Fever Collection ×9+The Dead Hand Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 2.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 2.0% $6.12 Serpent Strike 18.0% $4.41 Galigator 2.0% $3.26 Amberline 2.0% $3.21 Urban Sovereign 2.0% $3.19 | $10.69 +362.9% | $2.45 +6.0% | 46.0% | +66.5% | $2.31 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit  20.0% $141.08 Printstream  30.0% $127.68 Fully Tuned  20.0% $105.54 Bad Trip  30.0% $74.69 | $141.08 +68.2% | $110.03 +31.2% | 70.0% | +30.7% | $83.89 | — |