The Fever Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Sure Grip
2x $0.58
Resupply
1x $1.80
Bock Blocks
5x $0.87
RMX
2x $1.72
↓
Possible Outputs
Electrum
14.0% $51.27
Firebreathing
14.0% $31.66
Amberline
14.0% $18.87
Galigator
14.0% $14.51
Urban Sovereign
14.0% $13.79
Rising Sun
6.0% $12.22
Max Win
$51.27 (+208.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$21.04 (+26.6%)
Win %
42.0%
Volatility
+85.0%
Cost
$16.62
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $16.62
Ask Price EV $21.04 (+26.6%)
Bid Price EV $18.08 (+8.8%)
Ask Profit $4.42 (+26.6%)
Bid Profit $1.46 (+8.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $2.97 (+17.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$4.42
Bid Slippage Buffer +$1.46
Risk
Win Probability 42.0%
Loss Probability 58.0%
Best Case $51.27 (+208.5%)
Worst Case $5.86 (-64.7%)
Volatility +85.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 30.0%
Avg Win +$17.31
Avg Loss -$4.92
Bottom 5% Outcome $5.86 (-64.7%)
Std Dev $14.13
Avg Norm Float 0.0695
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 20m
Oldest Output Price 124h 7m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P2000 | Sure Grip
—
Minimal Wear
$0.58 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Sure Grip
—
Minimal Wear
$0.59 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Resupply
—
Factory New
$1.80 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Minimal Wear
$0.87 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Minimal Wear
$0.95 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Minimal Wear
$1.72 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Minimal Wear
$1.75 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Factory New
$2.55 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Factory New
$2.59 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Factory New
$3.22 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 43M 20S //TOTAL COST $16.62 //ASK PRICE EV $21.04 //BID PRICE EV $18.08 //ASK PROFIT $4.42 (+26.6%) //BID PROFIT $1.46 (+8.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 42.0% //BEST CASE $51.27 //VOLATILITY +85.0% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$51.27
+$34.65
+208.5%
$43.51
+$26.89
+161.8%
$7.76
15.1%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$31.66
+$15.04
+90.5%
$29.45
+$12.83
+77.2%
$2.21
7.0%
—
PAPER WIN THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$18.87
+$2.25
+13.5%
$12.97
-$3.65
-22.0%
$5.90
31.3%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$14.51
-$2.11
-12.7%
$13.05
-$3.57
-21.5%
$1.46
10.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$13.79
-$2.84
-17.1%
$11.82
-$4.80
-28.9%
$1.96
14.3%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$12.22
-$4.40
-26.4%
$11.96
-$4.66
-28.0%
$0.26
2.2%
—
LOSS
6.0%
$10.28
-$6.34
-38.2%
$9.00
-$7.62
-45.8%
$1.28
12.4%
—
LOSS
6.0%
$10.05
-$6.57
-39.5%
$8.52
-$8.10
-48.7%
$1.53
15.2%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$8.70
-$7.92
-47.6%
$7.63
-$8.99
-54.1%
$1.07
12.3%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$5.86
-$10.76
-64.7%
$5.61
-$11.01
-66.2%
$0.25
4.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-35|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06952,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 31.657,
"optimistic_value": 31.02,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 29.45,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.490012Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06952,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 14.512,
"optimistic_value": 14.33,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 13.05,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:43.833807Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06952,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 51.274,
"optimistic_value": 50.91,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 43.51,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.200704Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06952,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 18.869,
"optimistic_value": 17.56,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 12.97,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:36:10.284461Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06952,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 13.785,
"optimistic_value": 13.68,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 11.82,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:08:29.570033Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.0396264,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4515a7cdcc74",
"realistic_value": 8.704,
"optimistic_value": 8.48,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike",
"conservative_value": 7.63,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:17:12.916885Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4515a7cdcc74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.055546132399999996,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f2567cfebfb7",
"realistic_value": 10.051,
"optimistic_value": 9.89,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Control",
"conservative_value": 8.52,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T23:11:45.509281Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f2567cfebfb7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.06952,
"output_skin_id": "skin-aef077455139",
"realistic_value": 12.2245,
"optimistic_value": 11.99,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Rising Sun",
"conservative_value": 11.96,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:08:18.361340Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aef077455139.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.06608216648,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ff75c4a68dbd",
"realistic_value": 10.2765,
"optimistic_value": 10.21,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Wave Breaker",
"conservative_value": 9,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:16:16.302116Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ff75c4a68dbd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.048664,
"output_skin_id": "skin-27a11235665e",
"realistic_value": 5.8635,
"optimistic_value": 5.79,
"output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Tosai",
"conservative_value": 5.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:01:12.578888Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-27a11235665e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_31eb74a0da445f79ab5bcf7c",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.58,
"skin_id": "skin-8bda61ff439a",
"listing_id": "622201718411883996",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Sure Grip",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8bda61ff439a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:04:10.179608Z"
},
{
"price": 0.59,
"skin_id": "skin-8bda61ff439a",
"listing_id": "626705318055649559",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Sure Grip",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8bda61ff439a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:04:10.179608Z"
},
{
"price": 1.8,
"skin_id": "skin-78ea15f33e22",
"listing_id": "500605092753353075",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Factory New)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Resupply",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-78ea15f33e22.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:58:24.389848Z"
},
{
"price": 0.87,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "520872088106561496",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:03:39.761870Z"
},
{
"price": 0.95,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "492724590626343393",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:03:39.761870Z"
},
{
"price": 1.72,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "517493591317579006",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:01:13.981487Z"
},
{
"price": 1.75,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "492724538182380753",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:01:13.981487Z"
},
{
"price": 2.55,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "509613089304746343",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Factory New)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:03:32.027745Z"
},
{
"price": 2.59,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "499479989895893281",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Factory New)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:03:32.027745Z"
},
{
"price": 3.22,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "518620122758487316",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Factory New)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:03:32.027745Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-35:3+collection-set-community-37:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 14.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 14.0% $6.12 Galigator 14.0% $3.26 Amberline 14.0% $3.22 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $3.19 Serpent Strike 6.0% $1.64 | $10.69 +243.8% | $4.10 +31.9% | 70.0% | +87.1% | $3.11 | — |
The Fever Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 14.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 14.0% $10.78 Amberline 14.0% $6.48 Galigator 14.0% $5.68 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $4.73 Serpent Strike 6.0% $4.41 | $16.94 +141.9% | $7.15 +2.2% | 28.0% | +58.7% | $7.00 | — |
The Fever Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn ST | Electrum 14.0% $7.45 Firebreathing 14.0% $3.97 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $2.69 Galigator 14.0% $2.39 Amberline 14.0% $2.30 Serpent Strike 6.0% $1.64 | $7.45 +150.1% | $3.00 +0.8% | 28.0% | +59.5% | $2.98 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 12.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 12.0% $6.12 Galigator 12.0% $3.26 Amberline 12.0% $3.22 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $3.19 Serpent Strike 8.0% $1.64 | $10.69 +279.2% | $3.70 +31.3% | 60.0% | +93.7% | $2.82 | — |
The Fever Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 10.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 10.0% $6.12 Galigator 10.0% $3.26 Amberline 10.0% $3.22 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $3.19 Serpent Strike 10.0% $1.64 | $10.69 +308.1% | $3.30 +26.1% | 50.0% | +97.5% | $2.62 | — |
The Fever Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 8.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 8.0% $6.12 Galigator 8.0% $3.26 Amberline 8.0% $3.22 Urban Sovereign 8.0% $3.19 Serpent Strike 12.0% $1.64 | $10.69 +362.9% | $2.91 +25.8% | 40.0% | +105.1% | $2.31 | — |
The Fever Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 18.0% $31.66 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Galigator 18.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $13.79 Rising Sun 2.0% $12.22 | $51.27 +161.5% | $24.36 +24.2% | 36.0% | +69.5% | $19.61 | — |
The Fever Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 16.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 16.0% $31.66 Amberline 16.0% $18.87 Galigator 16.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $13.92 Rising Sun 4.0% $12.22 | $51.27 +180.2% | $22.72 +24.2% | 48.0% | +71.9% | $18.30 | — |
The Fever Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 6.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 6.0% $31.66 Amberline 6.0% $18.87 Galigator 6.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 6.0% $13.79 Rising Sun 14.0% $12.22 | $51.27 +324.5% | $14.40 +19.2% | 44.0% | +83.3% | $12.08 | — |
The Fever Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 4.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 4.0% $6.12 Serpent Strike 16.0% $4.41 Galigator 4.0% $3.26 Amberline 4.0% $3.22 Urban Sovereign 4.0% $3.19 | $10.69 +377.4% | $2.55 +14.0% | 36.0% | +86.6% | $2.24 | — |
The Fever Collection ×9+The Dead Hand Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 2.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 2.0% $6.12 Serpent Strike 18.0% $4.41 Galigator 2.0% $3.26 Amberline 2.0% $3.22 Urban Sovereign 2.0% $3.19 | $10.69 +416.6% | $2.21 +6.7% | 28.0% | +79.1% | $2.07 | — |